Drought Information Statement for SW Idaho and SE Oregon Issued By: NWS Boise, ID Contact information: w-boi.webmaster@noaa.gov Current Status, Impacts, and Outlook [Beta Test 2023] [area] can be a single WFO CWA, or can be a different geographic area in the case of collaborated products Webmaster email or public phone line likely preferred, but individuals may choose to include their contact information directly. 1 U.S. Drought Monitor Link to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor Map National Weather Service Boise, ID Image Caption: U.S. Drought Monitor valid 8am EDT September 5th, 2023 Drought intensity and Extent D1 Moderate Drought: NW Harney County in Oregon D0 Abnormally Dry: Portions of Harney & Baker Counties in Oregon, and portions of Adams, Valley, Camas, Jerome, and Twin Falls Counties in Idaho THIS SLIDE IS REQUIRED Geography Availability: United States WFO: https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/data/png/current/current_wfoabq_text.png Where it says “wfoabq” change the last 3 letters to the desired CWA in terms of “wfoxxx” (excluding SJU, PPG, or GUM, only regional data available) State: Replace where it says “wfoabq” change to the state’s abbreviation Regional: Replace where it says “wfoabq” change to either of the following… Caribbean → current_caribbean_text Pacific Islands→current_usapi_text Ex; southeast → current_southeast_text Ex; midwest → current_midwest_text Ex; high plains → current_high_planes_text Ex; south → current_south_text pdf National (including HI, AK, and PR): https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/data/png/20220823/20220823_usdm.png USAPI and Virgin Islands: https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/data/png/20220823/20220823_usdm_pg2.png Recent Change in Drought Intensity Link to the latest 4-week change map National Weather Service Boise, ID Four Week Drought Monitor Class Change Drought Improved: Northern Baker County in Oregon, and Washington, Adams, and Valley Counties in Idaho Image Caption: U.S. Drought Monitor 4-week change map valid 8am EDT September 5th. Feel free to use other timescales if they tell a better story, or hide this slide if there’s no notable changes in your region. 4 weeks is a good default if you’re producing this product ~once per month as required by the directive. 1-Week Monitor Class Change (replace CHS with your WFO ID): https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/data/chng/png/current/current_wfoCHS_chng_1W.png Comparison of current drought monitor with drought monitor from 4 weeks ago for a desired WFO station: https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/data/chng/png/current/current_wfoCHS_chng_4W.png Changing date: Replace where it says “current” twice with the date in terms of “YYYYMMDD” Ex; July 5th, 2022 → 20220705 Precipitation National Weather Service Boise, ID Main Takeaways Unusually wet conditions occurred across the area, primarily due to the remnants of Hurricane Hilary which produced 2 to 3 inches of rain across portions of Malheur and Baker Counties in Oregon, and Washington County in Idaho Rainfall exceeded 150% of normal across SW Idaho and SE Oregon, with much of the area exceeding 400% of normal. Image Captions: Left - Precipitation Amount for Western US Right - Percent of Normal Precipitation for Western US Data Courtesy High Plains Regional Climate Center. Data over the past 30 days ending September 12, 2023 THIS SLIDE IS REQUIRED. The time frame used and precipitation source can be different, but you must include this slide. If you prefer a higher resolution precip source such as AHPS (https://water.weather.gov/precip/), that’s also okay but will have to be added manually each time. If no imagery is available for your area (i.e. USAPI) you may consider a data table. Some USAPI precipitation imagery available here:https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/monthly-report/drought/202303#regional-usapi If longer-term drought is dominating in your region, you can use longer-timescale imagery to support that message. All data can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/maps.php?maps=ACISClimateMaps Other options: Precipitation Station Data from USGS: Geography Availability: United States Stations in each State: https://waterdata.usgs.gov/al/nwis/current/?type=precip&group_key=NONE To change state, alter link where it says “/al/” and change to desired state’s abbreviation. Date Previous 1 Hour Previous 24 Hours Previous 7 Days Homepage https://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis Precipitation Reports for Basins from WCC Geography Availability: SNOTEL and COOP stations for each state in the west including Alaska. State: https://www.wcc.nrcs.usda.gov/ftpref/support/water/SummaryReports/AZ/BPrecip_8_2022.pdf Where it says “AZ” change to desired state abbreviation to other states such as AK, CA, CO, ID, MT, NV, NM, OR, UT, WA, and WY. Date: Monthly Replace where it says “Precip_8_2022” and change the “8” to the desired month of year and “2022” to the year wanted. Homepage: https://www.nrcs.usda.gov/wps/portal/wcc/home/snowClimateMonitoring/snowpack/basinDataReports/ Island Climate Update for ENSO: Geography Availability: Pacific Islands Date Monthly Report: https://niwa.co.nz/sites/niwa.co.nz/files/ICU-revision-August-2022.pdf To get desired month and year, change in link where it says “August-2022”. 30-Day Precipitation 90-Day Precipitation Homepage https://niwa.co.nz/sites/niwa.co.nz/files/ICU-revision-August-2022.pdf Temperature National Weather Service Boise, ID Main Takeaways Temperatures over the past 30 days have been above normal, generally 2 to 4 degrees above normal over a widespread area Possible Impact Possible Impact Goes Here Image Captions: Left - Average Temperature Right - Departure from Normal Temperature Data Courtesy High Plains Regional Climate Center. Data over the past 30 days ending September 12, 2023 Abnormal warmth or coolness can play a role in the rate of evaporation and thus accelerate or slow drought development and spread. If you feel this is currently playing a role, you can include this slide, otherwise leave it skipped. Summary of Impacts National Weather Service Boise, ID Hydrologic Impacts There are no known impacts at this time Agricultural Impacts There are no known impacts at this time Fire Hazard Impacts There are no known impacts at this time Other Impacts There are no known impacts at this time Mitigation actions “None reported” or “Please refer to your municipality and/or water provider for mitigation information.” THIS SLIDE IS REQUIRED Briefly summarize known impacts and mitigation actions here for each of the categories. If there are no known impacts, you may state that. If you’d like to include more information and images by sector, feel free to utilize any of the following four slides you wish, but they are NOT required. You may also link in the slide to your state’s USDM State Impact page: https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/StateImpacts.aspx Also can optionally include any mitigation actions being taken, i.e. local water use restrictions. If none known, perhaps refer users to their local municipalities for more info. Hydrologic Conditions National Weather Service Boise, ID Main Takeaways Main Takeaway Main Takeaway Impacts Hydrologic Impacts Go Here Image Caption: USGS 7 day average streamflow HUC map valid 09/12/2023 You may consider the following (scroll down for options): A table with current reservoir & lake levels/storage Groundwater info Soil moisture (can also be included in agricultural impacts section) Streamflow data from USGS https://waterwatch.usgs.gov/ - this can be set to auto-update for a single timescale (7 day avg streamflow is often a good option, all you’d need to do is change the ‘tx’ at the end of the link in the app to your state ID in lower case) HYDROLOGICAL STATUS (Be sure to mention the source of the impact that’s being cited) Streamflow USGS: https://waterwatch.usgs.gov/?m=real&r=nj Geography Availability: United States State: https://waterwatch.usgs.gov/?m=real&r=nj Use drop down menu to change state on website (excluding Pacific Islands) Pacific Islands: https://waterdata.usgs.gov/gu/nwis/rt Water-Resources Region Date Real-Time (To access any of the time series below, hover cursor over “Current Streamflow” on the left side of the website. Other time scales not available for Pacific Islands) Yesterday 7-Day 14-Day 28-Day Month Homepage: https://waterwatch.usgs.gov/index.php?id=ww Soil Moisture Drought.gov: https://www.drought.gov/topics/soil-moisture Geography Availability: CONUS National Date Daily Homepage: https://www.drought.gov/ Groundwater USGS: https://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/current/?type=gw&group_key=state_cd Geography: Availability: United States Use drop-down menu called “Geographic Area” to access area desired. Date Real-Time Homepage: https://www.usgs.gov/ Reservoir and Lake Levels USGS: https://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/current/?type=lake&group_key=state_cd Geography Availability: United States Stations separated by state Date Real-Time Homepage: https://www.usgs.gov/ WCC Reservoir Storage: Geography Availability: SNOTEL and COOP stations for each state in the west including Alaska. State: https://www.wcc.nrcs.usda.gov/ftpref/support/water/SummaryReports/AZ/BRes_8_2022.pdf? Where it says “AZ” change to desired state abbreviation to other states such as AK, CA, CO, ID, MT, NV, NM, OR, UT, WA, and WY. Date: Monthly Replace where it says “Precip_8_2022” and change the “8” to the desired month of year and “2022” to the year wanted. Homepage: https://www.nrcs.usda.gov/wps/portal/wcc/home/snowClimateMonitoring/snowpack/basinDataReports/ SnowPack WCC Geography Availability: SNOTEL and COOP stations for each state in the west including Alaska. State: https://www.wcc.nrcs.usda.gov/ftpref/support/water/SummaryReports/AZ/BSnow_6_2022.pdf? Where it says “AZ” change to desired state abbreviation to other states such as AK, CA, CO, ID, MT, NV, NM, OR, UT, WA, and WY. Date Monthly Replace where it says “Precip_8_2022” and change the “8” to the desired month of year and “2022” to the year wanted Homepage https://www.nrcs.usda.gov/wps/portal/wcc/home/snowClimateMonitoring/snowpack/basinDataReports/ Agricultural Impacts National Weather Service Boise, ID Main Takeaways Main Takeaway Main Takeaway Impacts Agricultural Impacts Go Here Image Captions: Left: CPC Calculated Soil Moisture Ranking Percentile valid April 20, 2023 Right: Crop Moisture Index by Division. Weekly value for period ending April 15, 2023 If you have notable images of agricultural impacts and permission to share them, they can be included on this slide. Consider linking to crop and weather reports or other resources. National resources: NASS crop progress reports: https://agindrought.unl.edu/Other.aspx Percentage of various crops affected by drought: https://agindrought.unl.edu/Home.aspx table: https://agindrought.unl.edu/Table.aspx?2 Regional resource for the midwest: https://mrcc.purdue.edu/U2U/ Fire Hazard Impacts National Weather Service Boise, ID Main Takeaways Main Takeaway Main Takeaway Latest TX Burn Ban map available here. Image Caption: Significant Wildland Fire Potential Monthly Outlook for April 2023 If using this slide: NICC outlook maps are set to auto-update. New maps are produced on the first weekday of each month. You can include as many or as few as you want on the slide, but fewer is typically better. Can also include Burn Ban info here. If your area or state has other parameters available (i.e KBDI, ERC, etc) you can add these as well. 1-Month: https://www.predictiveservices.nifc.gov/outlooks/month1_outlook.png 2-Month: http://www.predictiveservices.nifc.gov/outlooks/month2_outlook.png 3-Month: https://www.predictiveservices.nifc.gov/outlooks/month3_outlook.png 4-Month: http://www.predictiveservices.nifc.gov/outlooks/month4_outlook.png Homepage: https://www.predictiveservices.nifc.gov/outlooks/outlooks.htm Other Impacts National Weather Service Boise, ID Main Takeaways Main Takeaway Main Takeaway Impacts Impacts Go Here Other impacts (e.g., navigation, environmental, recreation/tourism) Seven Day Precipitation Forecast National Weather Service Boise, ID Next 7 days: Main Takeaway Image Caption: Weather Prediction Center 7-day precipitation forecast valid Friday April 21 to Friday April 28 AT LEAST ONE DROUGHT OUTLOOK SLIDE (21) IS REQUIRED, but you may include any of the other slides between here (11) and 20 that you deem appropriate to support the message. Can use a polygon to highlight your region if using the WPC QPF map. 6-10 Day Outlook Temperature and Precipitation Outlook National Weather Service Boise, ID Main Takeaways Main Takeaway Main Takeaway Possible Impact Possible Impact Goes Here Image Captions: Left - Climate Prediction Center 6-10 Day Temperature Outlook. Right - Climate Prediction Center 6-10 Day Precipitation Outlook. Valid Month DD to DD. 8-14 Day Outlook Temperature and Precipitation Outlook National Weather Service Boise, ID Main Takeaways Main Takeaway Main Takeaway Possible Impact Possible Impact Goes Here Image Captions: Left - Climate Prediction Center 8-14 Day Temperature Outlook. Right - Climate Prediction Center 8-14 Day Precipitation Outlook. Valid Month DD to DD. Weeks 3-4 Outlook Temperature and Precipitation Outlook National Weather Service Boise, ID Main Takeaways Main Takeaway Main Takeaway Possible Impact Possible Impact Goes Here Image Captions: Left - Climate Prediction Center Weeks 3-4 Temperature Outlook. Right - Climate Prediction Center Weeks 3-4 Precipitation Outlook. Valid Month DD to DD. ENSO Status El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) National Weather Service Boise, ID ENSO Status Headline Summary Text (Example: La Niña conditions continue in the Pacific and remain reflected in the ocean and atmospheric indicators) Main Takeaway Main Takeaway Impact(s) Impact(s) goes here Image Caption: Daily 5km SST Anomaly map for the Pacific Ocean, valid April 9, 2023. The Nino3.4 region is highlighted within the red box. Image from: https://coralreefwatch.noaa.gov/product/5km/ Discussion: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/laNiña/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/current/?enso_tab=enso-sst_table https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/current/?enso_tab=enso-iri_plume ENSO Outlook El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) National Weather Service Boise, ID ENSO Forecast - Headline Summary Text (Example: La Niña conditions are favored to continue through winter and into spring, with a 90% chance of La Niña continuing through DJF with 50% chance of La Niña continuing into MAM.) Image Captions: Left - Climate Prediction Center El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Probabilities Outlook Issued MM YYYY Right - North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) Niño 3.4 Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly forecast Discussion: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/laNiña/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/current/?enso_tab=enso-sst_table https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/current/?enso_tab=enso-iri_plume ENSO Teleconnections El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Impacts National Weather Service Boise, ID Typical ENSO Impacts Typical La Niña Winters Favor drier conditions along the southern tier of the CONUS with warmer conditions favored across the southeast Favor wetter conditions in the Pacific Northwest as well as across the Ohio Valley region Typical El Niño Winters Favors warmer conditions across the northern tier of the CONUS northward into Canada and Alaska. An extended Pacific jet stream tends to bring wetter conditions along the southern tier of the CONUS with drier conditions favored across the Ohio Valley. These teleconnections can extend beyond winter into late fall and/or early spring as well. Feel free to localize this context to your area using tools available via LCAT and NOAA PSL pages. Monthly Outlooks Monthly Temperature and Precipitation Outlook National Weather Service Boise, ID Main Takeaways Main Takeaway Main Takeaway Possible Impact Possible Impact Goes Here Image Captions: Left - Climate Prediction Center Monthly Temperature Outlook. Right - Climate Prediction Center Monthly Precipitation Outlook. Valid MM YYYY Discussion: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/fxus07.html If you are creating this after the 3rd thursday but before the end of the month, use this slide and skip the next one. If creating this before the 3rd thursday, use the next slide and skip this one. Monthly Climate Outlook Monthly Temperature and Precipitation Outlook National Weather Service Boise, ID Main Takeaways Main Takeaway Main Takeaway Possible Impact Possible Impact Goes Here Image Captions: Left - Climate Prediction Center Monthly Temperature Outlook. Right - Climate Prediction Center Monthly Precipitation Outlook. Valid MM YYYY. Discussion: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/fxus07.html If you are creating this after the 3rd thursday but before the end of the month, skip this slide and use slide 18 instead. Seasonal Climate Outlook Seasonal Temperature and Precipitation Outlook National Weather Service Boise, ID Main Takeaways Main Takeaway Main Takeaway Possible Impact Possible Impact Goes Here Image Captions: Left - Climate Prediction Center Seasonal Temperature Outlook. Right - Climate Prediction Center Seasonal Precipitation Outlook. Valid MM to MM YYYY. Discussion: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/fxus05.html Drought Outlook National Weather Service Boise, ID Main Takeaways Main Takeaway Main Takeaway Possible Impact Possible Impact Goes Here Image Captions: Left - Climate Prediction Center Monthly Drought Outlook Released MM DD, YYYY valid for MM YYYY Right - Climate Prediction Center Seasonal Drought Outlook Released MM DD, YYYY valid for MM-MM YYYY This slide is required. Discussions: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/expert_assessment/mdo_summary.php https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/expert_assessment/sdo_summary.php For USAPI, can consider using NMME imagery for temperature and/or precipitation to help message potential drought improvement/degradation/amelioration.