Winter/Spring Flood Outlook for 
Central Pennsylvania 
Valid April 18, 2025
Issued by: WFO State College
Contact Information: ctp.stormreports@noaa.gov
Next update due by May 2, 2025
This product will be updated approximately every two weeks through early Spring, and more frequently if conditions change significantly.

The overall flood potential over the next two weeks is BELOW AVERAGE across Central Pennsylvania.

30-Day and 60-Day Precipitation Departures:
Both 30-Day and 60-Day Precipitation Departures have been below average across most of Central Pennsylvania, with the exception of the Laurel Highlands which have been slightly above average.

Latest Snow Water Equivalent (SWE):
The latest Snow Water Equivalent (SWE) map shows that there was no snow cover across Central Pennsylvania as of April 18, 2025.

Hydrologic Conditions and Impacts:
Streamflows were generally running near average across much of Central Pennsylvania, with the exception of the Lower Susquehanna Valley which is running below to well below average.

Soil Moisture Conditions:
As of April 16, 2025, soil moisture conditions were running below to well below average across Central Pennsylvania.

Seven Day Precipitation Forecast:
The 7-Day precipitation forecast ranges from around 0.10 inches across south-central and southeastern Pennsylvania up to 0.50-1.00 inches across northwestern Pennsylvania.

8-14 Day Temperature and Precipitation Outlooks:
The 8-14 day forecast for the week of April 25 to May 1, 2025 calls for a trend towards above average temperatures and near to above average precipitation across Central Pennsylvania. The latest 6-10 Day , 8-14 Day, monthly and seasonal outlooks can be found on the CPC homepage.

Long-Range River Outlook (25% Probability):
River forecast points across Central Pennsylvania have less than a 25% chance of reaching flood stage this Spring. These model forecasts take into consideration current, future, and historical trends. Please see the National Water Prediction Service (NWPS) webpage for additional details on long range flood outlooks at river gauge points.

Flood Outlook Summary current and expected conditions:

Recent precipitation:		Below average for all but Laurel Highlands
Snow conditions:		N/A
River Ice:			N/A
Streamflow Conditions:		Near average outside of Lower Susquehanna Valley, which is below avg
Soil Moisture Conditions:	Below to well below average
Groundwater:			Near to below average
Reservoir Conditions:		Near to below average
Precipitation Forecast: 	Above average west to near average east

The overall flood potential over the next two weeks is BELOW AVERAGE across Central Pennsylvania.

Next update by: May 2, 2025