Winter/Spring Flood Outlook for 
Central Pennsylvania 
Valid May 13, 2025
Issued by: WFO State College
Contact Information: ctp.stormreports@noaa.gov
This is the final Winter/Spring Flood Outlook for the 2025 Spring season.
Please visit https://www.weather.gov/ctp/moreWater?tabName=Outlooks for previous statements.

The overall flood potential over the next two weeks is AVERAGE across Central Pennsylvania.
See presentation for additional details.

30-Day and 60-Day Precipitation Departures:
Both 30-Day and 60-Day Precipitation Departures have been below to well below average across most of central Pennsylvania, with the exception of the western highlands which have been near to slightly above average.

Latest Snow Water Equivalent (SWE):
The latest Snow Water Equivalent (SWE) map shows that there was no snow cover across central Pennsylvania as of May 13, 2025.

Hydrologic Conditions and Impacts:
Streamflows were generally running near to above average across most of central Pennsylvania, with the exception of the Lower Susquehanna Valley continues to run below to well below average.

Soil Moisture Conditions:
As of April 16, 2025, soil moisture conditions were running near to below average across central Pennsylvania, with the largest deficits being across the Lower Susquehanna Valley.

Seven Day Precipitation Forecast:
The 7-Day precipitation forecast ranges from 0.75-1.00” across far northern Pennsylvania to 1.00-2.50” across the remainder of the commonwealth.

8-14 Day Temperature and Precipitation Outlooks:
The 8-14 day forecast for the week of April 25 to May 1, 2025 calls for a trend towards below average temperatures and above average precipitation across central Pennsylvania. The latest 6-10 Day , 8-14 Day, monthly and seasonal outlooks can be found on the CPC homepage.

Long-Range River Outlook (25% Probability):
These model forecasts take into consideration current, future, and historical trends.
River forecast points across Central Pennsylvania have less than a 25% chance of reaching flood stage this Spring.
Please see the National Water Prediction Service (NWPS) webpage for additional details on long range flood outlooks at river gauge points.

Flood Outlook Summary
Current and expected conditions:

Recent precipitation:		Below average for all but western highlands
Snow conditions:		N/A
River Ice:			N/A
Streamflow Conditions:		Near to above average outside of Lower Susquehanna Valley, which is below average
Soil Moisture Conditions:	Near to below average
Groundwater:			Near average
Reservoir Conditions:		Near average
Precipitation Forecast: 	Above average

The overall flood potential over the next two weeks is AVERAGE across central Pennsylvania.

The is the final update for Spring 2025.