Drought Information Statement for South Central Texas
Valid June 5, 2026
Issued By: National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio
Contact Information: nws.sanantonio@noaa.gov
This product will be updated July 3, 2026 or sooner if drought conditions change significantly.  
Please see all currently available products at https://drought.gov/drought-information-statements.
Please visit https://www.weather.gov/EWX/DroughtInformationStatement for previous statements. 
Please visit https://www.drought.gov/drought-status-updates for regional drought status updates.
Beneficial rainfall occurred for much of South Central Texas in the month of May with improvements noted in short term drought across the board.
Streamflows and western reservoirs continue to trend low with nearly all watersheds reporting less than normal percentiles. 
The seasonal drought outlook does bode well for south central Texas with drought improvement and removal likely for portions of the service area.
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U.S. Drought Monitor
U.S. Drought Monitor for South Central Texas
Drought intensity and Extent
D4 (Exceptional Drought): None
Percent of Area: 0%

D3 (Extreme Drought): Covers portions of the  I-35 Corridor and Rio Grande Plains.
Percent of Area: 5.6%

D2 (Severe Drought): Covers portions of the Rio Grande Plains, I-35 Corridor, and Coastal Plains.
Percent of Area: 29.82%

D1 (Moderate Drought): Covers portions of the Hill Country, Edwards Plateau, I-35 Corridor, Coastal Plains, and Rio Grande Plains.
Percent of Area: 68.22%

D0: (Abnormally Dry): Covers the Hill Country and Edwards Plateau.
Percent of Area: 83.62%
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Recent Change in Drought Intensity
 4-week change map for South Central Texas
Four Week Drought Monitor Class Change. 

Drought Worsened: None
 
No Change: Large portions of the service area.

Drought Improved: Portions of the Coastal Plains, I-35 Corridor, and Rio Grande Plains.
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Precipitation Accumulation and Percent of Normal over the past 30 days
Precipitation
Much of the service area saw above normal rainfall over the past 30 days.
Localized pockets saw greater than 200-300% of normal rainfall over the last 30 days.
The northern Rio Grande Plains largely missed out on significant rains in May.
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Summary of Impacts
See/submit Condition Monitoring Observer Reports (CMOR) and view the Drought Impacts Reporter
Hydrologic Impacts 
The majority of streamflows across the service area fall within the normal to below normal percentile. (USGS)
Several watersheds in the I-35 Corridor, Hill Country, and Coastal Plains fall within the normal to above normal percentile. (USGS)
Storage in area reservoirs remain low at Medina, Canyon Lake,  and Amistad.
See next page for more details.

Agricultural Impacts
Please see the latest Crop & Weather Report from Texas A&M Agrilife.
Crop moisture index values show near normal conditions over the region. (NWS Climate Prediction Center) 

Fire Hazard Impacts
The Significant Wildland Fire Potential Outlook calls for above normal fire potential in July and August.
 (National Interagency Coordination Center)   
See Fire Hazard page for more details.

Mitigation Actions
Please refer to your municipality and/or water provider for mitigation information.


Hydrologic Conditions and Impacts
The majority of streamflows across the service area fall within near normal to below normal range.

Most watersheds in the I-35 corridor and Coastal Plains, and Hill Country fall within the above normal category.

Additional data: 
Edwards Aquifer, Bexar Index Well J-17 as
of June 5, 2026:
10 day average: 641.6
Historical Monthly Average: 661.7
Departure from Average: -20.6

 
Reservoir
Pool Elevation 
Current Elevation 
Percent Full
Amistad
1117.00 feet
1047.21 feet
29.4%
Lake Austin
492.9 feet
492.38 feet
97.8%
Lake Buchanan
1020.00 feet
1019.87 feet
99.7%
Canyon Lake
909.00 feet
886.74 feet
59.0%
Georgetown Lake
791.00 feet
794.49 feet
100%
Granger Lake
504.00 feet
508.47 feet
100%
Lake LBJ
825.00 feet
824.80 feet
98.9%
Lake Marble Falls
738.00 feet
736.30 feet
94.4%
Medina Lake
1064.2 feet
977.09 feet
4.0%
Lake Travis
681.00 feet
669.88 feet
82.0%
Figure Caption: Daily historical percentile discharge, valid June 5, 2026.
Table caption: TWDB Reservoir conditions as of June 5, 2026
Figure Caption: USGS 7 day streamflows for Texas, valid Mar 5, 2026.
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Crop Moisture Index by Division.
Agricultural Impacts
Crop moisture index values show near normal to slightly above normal indices.
Slightly below normal over the northern Rio Grande Plains.
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Fire Hazard Impacts
Keetch Byram Drought Index values of 0-200 are noted for much of the region.
Portions of the Rio Grande Plains and Edwards Plateau fall between 200-400.
The Significant Wildland Fire Potential Outlook calls above normal conditions in July and August.
Wildfire Potential Outlooks from the National Interagency Coordination Center.
Burn bans remain for 10 of our 33 counties as of June 5, 2026. Latest County Burn Ban map available here.
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Long-Range Outlooks
The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks can be found on the CPC homepage
Most of the area leaning towards near normal precipitation for June. 
The entire service area is shown to lean towards normal temperatures for the month of May.


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Drought Outlook
The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks can be found on the CPC homepage
The three month drought outlook shows drought improving for all of the area with  drought ending for portions of the Hill Country, Rio Grande Plains, I-35 Corridor, and Coastal Plains.
Climate Prediction Center Monthly Drought Outlook 
Climate Prediction Center Seasonal Drought Outlook 
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