Drought Information Statement for South Central Texas Valid September 4, 2025 Issued By: NWS Austin/San Antonio Contact Information: sr-ewx.webmaster@noaa.gov This product will be updated October 2, 2025 or sooner if drought conditions change significantly. Please see all currently available products at https://drought.gov/drought-information-statements. Please visit https://www.weather.gov/ewx/DroughtInformationStatement for previous statements. Please visit https://www.drought.gov/drought-status-updates/ for regional drought status updates. The trend of above normal rainfall continued for some locations over the past 30 days. Most streamflows continue to show improvement from recent significant rainfall while western reservoirs continue to struggle with low storage. Influence of significant rain since mid June continues to promote improvement to the short term and long term drought. 1 U.S. Drought Monitor Drought intensity and Extent D4 (Exceptional Drought): Covers southeast Medina and northeast Frio. Percent of Area: 1.05% D3 (Extreme Drought): Covers portions of Bexar, Atascosa, Medina, Val Verde, and Kinney counties. Percent of Area: 9.77% D2 (Severe Drought): Covers portions of the Southern Edwards Plateau, Bexar County, and portions of the Winter Garden and Rio Grande Plains. Percent of Area: 24.24% D1 (Moderate Drought): Encompasses portions of the Coastal Plains, Rio Grande Plains, and I-35 Corridor. Percent of Area: 48.61% U.S. Drought Monitor for south central Texas https://storage.googleapis.com/noaa-nidis-drought-gov-data/current-conditions/nws-dgt-images/nws-u.s.-drought-monitor-southern.png Recent Change in Drought Intensity 4-week change map for south central Texas Four Week Drought Monitor Class Change. Drought Worsened: Portions of the I-35 Corridor and Coastal Plains. No Change: I-35 Corridor and portions of the southern Edwards Plateau and Rio Grande Plains. Drought Improved: Much of the southern Edwards Plateau and Hill Country. Precipitation Precipitation Accumulation and Percent of Normal over the past 30 days The majority of the service area saw near to above normal rainfall over the past 30 days with some areas seeing significant rainfall in mid to late August. A swath of 150-300% of normal rainfall over the past 30 days stretches from the Rio Grande Plains through the Hill Country and Edwards Plateau. Portions of the Winter Garden, I-35 corridor, and Coastal Plains saw 25-75% of normal rainfall over the past 30 days. Summary of Impacts See/submit Condition Monitoring Observer Reports (CMOR) and view the Drought Impacts Reporter Hydrologic Impacts The majority of streamflows across the service area fall within the Normal to Below Normal range (USGS) Storage remains near all time lows at Medina, with Canyon Lake and Amistad remaining below normal. See next page for more details. Agricultural Impacts Please see the latest Crop & Weather Report from Texas A&M Agrilife. Soil moistures across the service area are shown in the near normal range as of September 3rd. (NWS Climate Prediction Center) Fire Hazard Impacts Normal wildland fire danger is expected for the months of September and October. (National Interagency Coordination Center) See Fire Hazard page for more details. Drought Mitigation Actions Please refer to your municipality and/or water provider for mitigation information. Select Municipality Restrictions (as of 9/4/2025) City of Uvalde: Stage 5 City of Fredericksburg: Stage 4 City of Kerrville: Stage 2 City of San Antonio: Stage 3 City of Universal City: Stage 3 City of Llano: Stage 1 City of Georgetown: Stage 1 City of New Braunfels: Stage 2 City of Austin: Stage 2 City of Del Rio: Stage 2 Hydrologic Conditions and Impacts Reservoir Pool Elevation Current Elevation Percent Full Amistad 1117.00 feet 1056.43 feet 34.0% Lake Austin 492.9 feet 492.04 feet 95.1% Lake Buchanan 1020.00 feet 1019.03 feet 97.5% Canyon Lake 909.00 feet 892.12 feet 67.6% Georgetown Lake 791.00 feet 788.35 feet 91.1% Granger Lake 504.00 feet 504.27 feet 100% Lake LBJ 825.00 feet 824.73 feet 98.5% Lake Marble Falls 738.00 feet 736.37 feet 95.0% Medina Lake 1064.2 feet 983.59 feet 6.0% Lake Travis 681.00 feet 673.52 feet 87.6% Figure Caption: USGS 7 day streamflows for Texas, valid Sep 4, 2025. Table caption: TWDB Reservoir conditions as of Sep 4, 2025. The majority of streamflows across the service area fall within the Normal to Much above normal percentile. Several watersheds along the I-35 corridor and Coastal Plains fall within the below normal to much below normal percentile. Additional data: Edwards Aquifer, Bexar Index Well J-17 as of Sep 4, 2025: 10 day average: 628.72 Historical Monthly Average: 659.6 Departure from Average: -29.4 Agricultural Impacts Soil Moisture Ranking Percentile and Crop Moisture Index by Division. Soil moistures across the service area are shown in the near to below range as of September 3rd. Crop moisture index values show near normal conditions to below normal conditions due to lack of recent rain in the month of August. Fire Hazard Impacts Keetch Byram Drought Index values of less than 200 are noted for portions of Edwards, Real, Gillespie, and Kerr Counties. Values range between 400 and 800 over the rest of the area. The Significant Wildland Fire Potential Outlook for September calls for near normal conditions. Burn bans remain for 14 of our 33 counties as of Sep 4, 2025. Latest County Burn Ban map available here. Wildfire Potential Outlooks from the National Interagency Coordination Center. Climate Prediction Center 8 to 14 day Temperature Outlook and Precipitation Outlook. Long-Range Outlooks The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks can be found on the CPC homepage The temperature outlook for the month of September shows near normal temperatures. The precipitation outlook the month of August leans towards equal chances for above, below, or normal rainfall for much of the area. Drought Outlook The monthly drought outlook for September shows drought improving for some and ending for others. The three month drought outlook shows drought improving for some and ending for others. Climate Prediction Center Monthly Drought Outlook Climate Prediction Center Seasonal Drought Outlook The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks can be found on the CPC homepage