Drought Information Statement for Southeast Texas Valid November 14, 2025 Issued By: NWS Houston/Galveston Contact Information: This product will be updated around December 5, 2025 or sooner if drought conditions change significantly. Please see all currently available products at https://drought.gov/drought-information-statements. Please visit https://www.weather.gov/hgx/DroughtInformationStatement for previous statements. 1 U.S. Drought Monitor Image Caption: U.S. Drought Monitor valid 6am CST November 11, 2025. Extreme Drought has expanded into parts of Southeast Texas Maximum Drought Intensity and Extent D4 (Exceptional Drought): None. D3 (Extreme Drought): Colorado, Jackson, Austin, Wharton counties D2 (Severe Drought): Fort Bend, Waller, Harris, Montgomery, Brazoria, San Jacinto, Liberty, Polk, Chambers, Washington counties D1 (Moderate Drought): Matagorda, Galveston, Trinity, Walker, Houston, Madison, Grimes, Brazos, Burleson counties D0 (Abnormally Dry): None. Recent Change in Drought Intensity Four Week Drought Monitor Class Change. Drought Worsened: Colorado, Jackson, Austin, Wharton, Fort Bend, Waller, Harris, Montgomery, Brazoria, San Jacinto, Liberty, Polk, Chambers, Washington, Matagorda, Galveston, Trinity, Walker, Grimes, Brazos, Burleson Drought Improved: Houston, Madison Image Caption: U.S. Drought Monitor 4-week change map valid 6am CST November 11, 20225. Precipitation Rainfall amounts across SE Texas over the last 30 days was generally 1-2” along and south of I-10 with some locally higher amounts, and then 2-4” in the Piney Woods and Brazos Valley Overall the area had below normal rainfall amounts- around 25-50% of normal. Image Captions: Left - Precipitation Amount for SE Texas Right - Percent of Normal Precipitation for SE Texas Data Courtesy of Drought.gov. Data over the past 30 days ending on 11/12/2025 Temperature The average temperatures was above normal over the last 7 days and over the last month by around 4-8 degrees. The above normal temperatures and below normal precipitation led to the expansion of the drought across the area. Image Captions: Left - 7 Day Temperature Anomaly Right - 30 Day Temperature Anomaly Data Courtesy of Drought.gov. Data over the past 7 and 30 days ending on 11/09/25 Summary of Impacts Hydrologic Impacts Below to much below normal streamflows are being reported for the rivers and streams along and west of the Brazos River. Agricultural Impacts Soil moisture is low across Southeast Texas. Fire Hazard Impacts As of 11/14/2025, Outdoor Burn Bans have been declared for Trinity, Walker, San Jacinto, Liberty, Harris, Galveston, Fort Bend, Matagorda, Wharton, Jackson, Colorado, Austin, Waller, Washington, Burleson, Brazos, and Grimes counties. Reservoir Levels (as of November 14, 2025): Somerville Lake: 83.2% Lake Conroe: 94.5% Houston County Lake: 99.9% Livingston Reservoir: 95.2% Lake Texana: 71.6% Lake Houston: 97.8% Gibbons Creek Reservoir: 98.6% Hydrologic Conditions and Impacts Below to Much Below Normal streamflows are being reported across the Brazos, Colorado, Lavaca-Navidad river basins Image Caption: USGS 7 day average streamflow HUC map valid November 13, 2025 Agricultural Impacts Soil moisture is low across SE Texas. Generally, soil moisture is lowest south of I-10 (around the 1st to 5th percentile) Soil moisture north of I-10 is in the 5th to 20th percentile. Image Caption: CPC Calculated Soil Moisture Ranking Percentile valid November 13, 2025 Fire Hazard Impacts Dry vegetation has led to the establishment of burn bans across parts of the region. As of 11/14/2025, Outdoor Burn Bans have been declared for Trinity, Walker, San Jacinto, Liberty, Harris, Galveston, Fort Bend, Matagorda, Wharton, Jackson, Colorado, Austin, Waller, Washington, Burleson, Brazos, and Grimes counties. Significant Wildland Fire Potential is Normal for November Image Caption: Significant Wildland Fire Potential Monthly Outlook for November, 2025 Link to Wildfire Potential Outlooks from the National Interagency Coordination Center. Seven Day Precipitation Forecast A cold front is expected to pass through the area sometime between Thursday, November 20 and Friday, November 21. Shower and thunderstorm activity is possible ahead of and along the cold front. Greater chance of precipitation north of I-10, but at least some shower activity is expected all the way to the coast. Confidence is low on exact timing, amounts, and location as of the publishing of this statement. Image Caption: Weather Prediction Center 7-day precipitation forecast valid 6 AM CST November 14, 2025 to 6 AM CST November 21, 2025 Image Captions: Left - Climate Prediction Center Monthly Temperature Outlook. Right - Climate Prediction Center Monthly Precipitation Outlook. Valid MM YYYY Image Captions: Left - Climate Prediction Center Seasonal Temperature Outlook. Right - Climate Prediction Center Seasonal Precipitation Outlook. Valid MM to MM YYYY Long-Range Outlooks The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks can be found on the CPC homepage For the month of November: Higher probability (40-60%) of Above-Normal Temperatures Equal chances of Above-Normal, Near-Normal, and Below-Normal Precipitation. Image Captions: Left - Climate Prediction Center Monthly Temperature Outlook. Right - Climate Prediction Center Monthly Precipitation Outlook. Valid 10/16/2025 Image Caption: Drought Outlook The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks can be found on the CPC homepage The CPC is expecting drought conditions to persist across SE Texas through the month of November. Image Caption: Climate Prediction Center Monthly Drought Outlook Released 10/31/20225 valid for November 2025 Links to the latest: Climate Prediction Center Monthly Drought Outlook Climate Prediction Center Seasonal Drought Outlook