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000
FXUS64 KHGX 132047
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
347 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

.DISCUSSION...
WHILE THE CENTER OF IKE HAS MOVED OUT OF THE CWA...WE ARE STILL
SEEING A FAIR (BUT DECREASING) AMOUNT OF PCPN COVERAGE OVER OUR
NRN ZONES ATTM. WILL LIKELY BE DROPPING ALL TROPICAL ADVISORIES
WITH THE NEXT PACKAGE BUT WILL RETAIN WIND ADVISORIES THRU THIS
EVENING GIVEN THE PROXIMITY OF THE STORM. ALONG THOSE LINE WILL
ALSO KEEP THE FFA IN PLACE THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING. HOWEVER...
THIS RESPITE LOOKS TO BE SHORT-LIVED AS MODELS CONTINUE TO IND-
ICATE A GOOD CHC OF POPS WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COOL FRONT (THAT
HAS BEEN ADVERTISED OF LATE). LINGERING DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE/
A SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE AIRMASS/ADDITIONAL AFTN HEATING WILL AID IN
THE DEVELOPMENT OF SH/TSRAS ALONG/JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT. ATTM
GOING TO GO WITH FROPA OVER THE NRN AREAS AROUND 3-5PM THEN OFF
THE COAST AROUND 6-9PM. THESE TIMES WILL LIKELY BE TWEAKED WITH
LATER RUNS AS IKE MOVES FURTHER AWAY. PROGS FOR THE REST OF THE
WEEK INDICATE A FAIRLY NICE GO OF THINGS AS A DRIER/COOLER AIR-
MASS PREVAILS. 41


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      78  88  70  85  61 /  60  50  50  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              77  88  72  84  64 /  60  60  60  20  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            79  86  76  82  70 /  50  60  60  20  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRAZORIA...CHAMBERS...FORT BEND...GALVESTON...HARRIS...
     HOUSTON...LIBERTY...MONTGOMERY...POLK...SAN JACINTO...
     TRINITY...WALKER...WALLER.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: HOUSTON...MADISON...POLK...SAN JACINTO...TRINITY...
     WALKER.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: GALVESTON BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL
     20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP
     CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20
     TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$