Drought Information Statement for the Mid-South Valid February 1, 2026 Issued By: National Weather Service Memphis, TN Contact Information: nws.memphis@noaa.gov This product will be updated February 7, 2026 or sooner if drought conditions change significantly. Please see all currently available products at https://drought.gov/drought-information-statements. Please visit https://www.weather.gov/MEG/DroughtInformationStatement for previous statements. Please visit https://www.drought.gov/drought-status-updates for regional drought status updates. Extreme (D3) drought conditions continue in parts of northeast Arkansas, with Severe (D2), Moderate (D1), and Abnormally Dry (D0) drought conditions elsewhere All current drought conditions are favored to end or improve by the end of April. U.S. Drought Monitor Drought intensity and extent D4 (Exceptional Drought): None. D3 (Extreme Drought): A small portion of northeast Arkansas D2 (Severe Drought): Portions of northeast Arkansas, the Missouri Bootheel, West Tennessee, and north Mississippi. D1 (Moderate Drought): Portions of eastern Arkansas, north Mississippi, and West Tennessee. D0: (Abnormally Dry): Portions of north Mississippi and West Tennessee. {{DROUGHT_MONITOR}} Required slide Recent Change in Drought Intensity One Week Drought Monitor Class Change. Drought Worsened: None. No Change: Most of West Tennessee, portions of northeast and eastern Arkansas, the Missouri Bootheel, and northwest Mississippi. Drought Improved: Portions of north Mississippi and West Tennessee. Precipitation Precipitation was below normal across northern portions of the Mid-South over the last 30 days with near normal precipitation across most of north MS and a sliver of West TN. Northern portions of the region ranged from 1-4” of accumulation with 4-6” in the south. Temperature Temperatures were widely below normal, by 8 or more degrees, over the last week. Temperatures leaned above normal by 1-4 degrees over the last 30 days. Summary of Impacts See/submit Condition Monitoring Observer Reports (CMOR) and view the Drought Impacts Reporter Hydrologic Impacts Streamflow is below normal across the lower Mississippi River Basin and the Tennessee River Basin. Agricultural Impacts There are no known impacts at this time. Fire Hazard Impacts There are no known impacts at this time. Other Impacts There are no known impacts at this time. Mitigation Actions Please refer to your municipality and/or water provider for mitigation information. Hydrologic Conditions and Impacts The Mississippi River at Memphis is currently experiencing below normal flow. The extended river forecast shows a slow rise before another steady decline, but remaining above low water thresholds (-8ft). The Tennessee River is also experiencing near normal to below normal flow at Savannah, TN, and Bruceton, TN. Agricultural Impacts Due to recent precipitation from a winter storm, the crop moisture index is favoring above normal water available across southeast Arkansas and north Mississippi. Fire Hazard Impacts The wildland fire outlook for the Mid-South is expected to be above normal across West Tennessee, eastern Arkansas, and the Missouri Bootheel with normal conditions expected across north Mississippi in February. Seven Day Precipitation Forecast Increased rain chances over the next seven days with an inch or less across the Mid-South. Long-Range Outlooks The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks can be found on the CPC homepage There is a 33-40% chance of experiencing above normal precipitation along and north of the I-40 corridor for February. There are equal chances of experiencing above or below normal temperatures for February for the entire Mid-South. Drought Outlook The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks can be found on the CPC homepage All of the drought across the Mid-South is favored to come to an end or at least improve by the end of April.