Drought Information Statement for East Central Florida Valid June 26, 2025 Issued By: WFO Melbourne, FL Contact Information: sr-mlb.webmaster@noaa.gov This product will be updated July 24th or sooner if drought conditions change significantly. Please see all currently available products at https://drought.gov/drought-information-statements. Please visit https://www.weather.gov/mlb/DroughtInformationStatement for previous statements. Please visit https://www.drought.gov/drought-status-updates/ for regional drought status updates. Daily scattered showers and storms associated with the wet season across east central Florida has led to hit or miss rainfall in June. This has improved drought in some locations, but has led to worsening drought conditions elsewhere. Rainfall outlook leans toward greater potential (around a 35-40% chance) of above normal rainfall into July-September. This should continue to ease drought conditions across the area over the next few months. U.S. Drought Monitor Drought intensity and Extent D4 (Exceptional Drought): None D3 (Extreme Drought): None D2 (Severe Drought): Southern coastal Brevard County, and coastal Indian River County D1 (Moderate Drought): Portions of northern Lake, northwest Volusia and southern Brevard counties, as well as inland Indian River County and coastal St. Lucie and coastal Martin counties D0: (Abnormally Dry): Much of northern Lake and Volusia counties, and much of the interior of east central Florida, south of Orlando. Recent Change in Drought Intensity One Week Drought Monitor Class Change. Drought Worsened: coastal portions of Martin and St Lucie counties and southern Brevard County; a majority of Indian River County No Change: Okeechobee, inland St. Lucie, and Martin counties, as well as portions of Osceola, Brevard, and Lake counties Drought Improved: Northern Lake and Volusia counties Precipitation Rainfall in May was above normal, especially near to just southeast of the I-4 corridor. This has led to near to above normal rainfall in this region over the past 90 days. However, where precipitation was not as high in May, combined with an overall drier than normal April and June has led to lingering rainfall deficits over the past 90 days for much of the rest of the region. Greatest rainfall departures are around 4-10” below normal over the past 3 months, or around 30-60% of normal for southern Brevard and much of Indian River counties, as well as coastal St. Lucie and Martin counties. Temperature Warmer than normal conditions have largely prevailed from April into June, and past 90-day average temperatures range up to 2-4 degrees above normal across the area. Summary of Impacts Hydrologic Impacts The latest 7-day average streamflow indicates values are near normal (25-75% of normal) across the South Florida Water Management District areas of east central Florida, but are below normal (10-25% of normal) to much below normal (less than 10% of normal) across the St. Johns River basin. (https://waterwatch.usgs.gov/) Agricultural Impacts There have been no reports of impacts to the agricultural and livestock communities over the past 30 days. (See Condition Monitoring Observer Reports (CMOR)) Fire Hazard Impacts There are currently no burn bans in effect across east central Florida and the potential for significant wildland fires remains around normal for July. (https://www.nifc.gov/nicc/predictive-services/outlooks) Other Impacts Keetch-Byram Drought Index (KBDI) values have mostly remained steady or decreased (improved) over the past 30 days for much of the area due to a wetter than normal May and the onset of the wet season. However, where rainfall has been especially lacking across southern Brevard County and Indian River County, values have increased (worsened). (https://fireweather.fdacs.gov/wx/kbdi_index.html) Mitigation Actions Please refer to your municipality and/or water provider for mitigation information. Hydrologic Conditions and Impacts Despite near to above normal rainfall in May, rainfall in June has been below normal, leading to decreasing streamflows that are now below normal (10-24% of normal) to much below normal (less than 10% of normal) across much of the St. Johns River basin. However, across the South Florida Water Management District areas of east central Florida, streamflows remain around normal (25-75% of normal). Fire Hazard Impacts There are currently no burn bans in effect across east central Florida. The potential for significant wildland fires is around normal for July. Seven Day Precipitation Forecast Daily scattered showers and storms will continue across the area over the next several days, with overall coverage of this activity remaining near to above normal. Widespread rainfall of 1-3” is generally forecast over the next 7 days, with locally higher totals occurring. With near to above normal rainfall generally forecast, this should continue to help ease some of the abnormally dry and drought conditions across the area. However, due to the scattered coverage of this activity, rainfall will continue to be hit or miss for some locations. Long-Range Outlooks The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks can be found on the CPC homepage The outlook for the 3-month period from July-September favors average temperatures ending up above normal across central Florida (~40-50% chance). The outlook for the 3-month period from July-September favors above normal rainfall across central Florida (~35-40% chance). Drought Outlook The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks can be found on the CPC homepage With the wet season continuing, and an outlook that leans toward a greater potential for overall above normal rainfall over the next few months, drought conditions are generally forecast to diminish and eventually end across Florida over the next few months.