Drought Information Statement for 
East Central Florida
Valid July 18, 2025
Issued By: WFO Melbourne, FL
Contact Information: sr-mlb.webmaster@noaa.gov
This product will be updated August 15th or sooner if drought conditions change significantly.  
Please see all currently available products at https://drought.gov/drought-information-statements.
Please visit https://www.weather.gov/mlb/DroughtInformationStatement for previous statements. 
Please visit https://www.drought.gov/drought-status-updates/ for regional drought status updates.

A wetter start to July has allowed for additional improvement in drought conditions across east central Florida. However, lingering abnormally dry (D0) to moderate drought (D1) conditions persist for portions of the area. 

Rainfall outlook leans toward a greater potential (around a 40-45% chance) of above normal rainfall into August-October. This should allow any lingering drought conditions to end across the area over the next few months. 

U.S. Drought Monitor

Drought intensity and Extent
D4 (Exceptional Drought): None
D3 (Extreme Drought):  None
D2 (Severe Drought): None
D1 (Moderate Drought): Portions of coastal southern Brevard and Indian River counties
D0: (Abnormally Dry): Portions of Lake and northwest Volusia counties, as well as portions of Brevard County and the Treasure Coast

Recent Change in Drought Intensity
One Week Drought Monitor Class Change. 

Drought Worsened: none
 
No Change: Portions of Lake and northwest Volusia counties

Drought Improved: much of Brevard and Okeechobee counties, as well as the Treasure Coast


Precipitation
A wetter than normal May and first half of July has led to near to above normal rainfall across much of the region over the past 90 days.  

However, lingering rainfall deficits exist over the past 90 days, mainly along the coast of southern Brevard County and along the Treasure Coast. Rainfall amounts across this area are still around 3-6” below normal over the past 3 months, or around 60-75% of normal. 


Temperature
Warmer than normal conditions have largely prevailed from mid-April into mid-July. Past 90-day average temperatures range around 1-3 degrees above normal across the area. 


Summary of Impacts

Hydrologic Impacts 
The latest 7-day average streamflow indicates values are either near normal (25-75% of normal) or above normal (76-90% of normal) across much of the area. (https://waterwatch.usgs.gov/) 

Agricultural Impacts
There have been no reports of impacts to the agricultural and livestock communities over the past 30 days. (Condition Monitoring Observer Reports (CMOR))

Fire Hazard Impacts
There are currently no burn bans in effect across east central Florida and the potential for significant wildland fires remains around normal through August. (https://www.nifc.gov/nicc/predictive-services/outlooks)  

Other Impacts
Keetch-Byram Drought Index (KBDI) values have mostly decreased (improved) over the past 30 days for much of the area due to a wetter than normal start to July. Values are mostly below 100 across all of east central Florida, except between 100-150 across Brevard County. (https://fireweather.fdacs.gov/wx/kbdi_index.html)

Mitigation Actions
Please refer to your municipality and/or water provider for mitigation information.


Hydrologic Conditions and Impacts
A wetter start to July has led to increasing streamflows, with values either near normal (25-75% of normal) or above normal (76-90% of normal) across much of the region.  


Fire Hazard Impacts
There are currently no burn bans in effect across east central Florida. 
The potential for significant wildland fires is around normal through August. 


Seven Day Precipitation Forecast
Coverage of showers and storms are forecast to be near to below normal through July 21, but then a wetter pattern develops into next week. Widespread rainfall of 1-3” is generally forecast for Osceola and Brevard counties northward over the next 7 days, with totals overall less than an inch for Okeechobee County and the Treasure Coast. However, locally higher totals will still likely occur.   

With lower rainfall amounts forecast over the next week across southern portions of east central Florida, this should lead to lingering areas of abnormally dry to moderate drought conditions across coastal Brevard County and the Treasure Coast in the short term.  


Long-Range Outlooks
The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks can be found on the CPC homepage

The outlook for the 3-month period from August-October favors average temperatures ending up above normal across central Florida (~50-55% chance).

The outlook for the 3-month period from August-October favors above normal rainfall across central Florida (~40-45% chance).

Drought Outlook
The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks can be found on the CPC homepage

With the wet season continuing, and an outlook that leans toward a greater potential for overall above normal rainfall, any lingering drought conditions are generally forecast to diminish and eventually end across Florida over the next few months.