Drought Information Statement for 
East Central Florida
Valid August 15th, 2025
Issued By: WFO Melbourne, FL
Contact Information: sr-mlb.webmaster@noaa.gov
This will be the last issuance. The product will resume when severe drought (D2) returns to the area.  
Please see all currently available products at https://drought.gov/drought-information-statements.
Please visit https://www.weather.gov/mlb/DroughtInformationStatement for previous statements. 
Please visit https://www.drought.gov/drought-status-updates/ for regional drought status updates.

Rainfall has been near to above normal over much of east central Florida during the past 60 to 90 days, but some lingering abnormally dry (D0) to moderate drought (D1) conditions persist across portions of the region.

Rainfall outlook leans toward a greater potential (around a 40-45% chance) of above normal rainfall through August-October. This should lower the potential for additional drought development over the next few months. 


U.S. Drought Monitor

Drought intensity and Extent
D4 (Exceptional Drought): None
D3 (Extreme Drought):  None
D2 (Severe Drought): None
D1 (Moderate Drought): Portions of extreme southern Lake County
D0: (Abnormally Dry): Portions of Lake County, as well as extreme southwest Orange and northwest Osceola counties. Also, southern Brevard County and along the immediate Treasure Coast


Precipitation
Rainfall has generally been near to above normal over the past 90 days across much of east central Florida, especially across inland areas.  

However, there remain some lingering rainfall deficits, especially across southern Lake County and along the immediate coast of southern Brevard County and Treasure Coast. Rainfall amounts across these areas are up to 5-7” below normal over the past 3 months, or around 60-75% of normal. 


Temperature
Warmer than normal conditions have largely prevailed from mid-May into mid-August. Past 90-day average temperatures range around 1-3 degrees above normal across the area. 


Summary of Impacts

Hydrologic Impacts 
The latest 7-day average streamflow indicates values are near normal (25-75% of normal) across much of the area. 
(https://waterwatch.usgs.gov/) 

Agricultural Impacts
There have been no reports of impacts to the agricultural and livestock communities over the past 30 days. 
(Condition Monitoring Observer Reports (CMOR))

Fire Hazard Impacts
There are currently no burn bans in effect across east central Florida and the potential for significant wildland fires remains around normal through August and September. 
(https://www.nifc.gov/nicc/predictive-services/outlooks)  

Other Impacts
Keetch-Byram Drought Index (KBDI) values have increased slightly (worsened) over the past 30 days. However, values are still relatively low around 100-399 across east central Florida. 
(https://fireweather.fdacs.gov/wx/kbdi_index.html)

Mitigation Actions
Please refer to your municipality and/or water provider for mitigation information.


Hydrologic Conditions and Impacts
Streamflows are near normal (25-75% of normal) across much of the region.  


Fire Hazard Impacts
There are currently no burn bans in effect across east central Florida. 
The potential for significant wildland fires is around normal through August. 


Seven Day Precipitation Forecast
Coverage of showers and storms are forecast to be near to above normal through August 18th, with more normal rain chances thereafter through the 22nd. Widespread rainfall of 0.5-1.5” is generally forecast across the area over the next 7 days, with locally higher totals possible, especially inland.   
  

Long-Range Outlooks
The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks can be found on the CPC homepage

The outlook for the 3-month period from August-October favors average temperatures ending up above normal across central Florida (~50-55% chance).

The outlook for the 3-month period from August-October favors above normal rainfall across central Florida (~40-45% chance).

Drought Outlook
The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks can be found on the CPC homepage

With the wet season continuing, and an outlook that leans toward a greater potential for above normal rainfall from August through October, any potential for additional drought development remains low across east central Florida over the next few months.