429 FXUS64 KLCH 052114 AFDLCH AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 314 PM CST SAT MAR 5 2016 .DISCUSSION... WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN TRANQUIL THROUGH MONDAY. THEREAFTER TROUGH DIGS INTO THE WEST WITH INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS AND INCREASING MOISTURE. PATTERN TURNS WET FROM TUESDAY AND CONTINUES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. PATTERN SET UP DOES INDICATE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE A CONCERN...ESPECIALLY TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY OVER A LARGE PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. EARLY GUIDANCE DOES INDICATE THAT MODERATE FLOOD POTENTIAL ON SOME OF THE AREA RIVERS WITH STORM TOTAL RAINFALL CURRENTLY FORECAST INTO 6-9 INCH RANGE. SETUP ALSO FAVORS SOME SEVERE STORMS AS WELL TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY. WITH STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS IN THE COASTAL WATERS...COASTAL FLOODING MAY BECOME A CONCERN AND WILL LIKELY NEED SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES AS WELL. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AEX 49 75 52 73 / 0 0 10 10 LCH 51 74 57 73 / 0 0 10 10 LFT 51 75 54 74 / 0 0 0 10 BPT 52 74 60 74 / 0 0 10 10 && .LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...NONE. TX...NONE. GM...NONE. && $$ PUBLIC...27