WFO - DDC net error & bias Forecast Exceedance Percentage 95to5pct 90to10pct 95% 90% 75% 50% 25% 10% 5% MAE ME MAE ME ============================================================================================================================= Location Observed Exceedance Percentage PCT (sum/cnt) PCT (sum/cnt) PCT (sum/cnt) PCT (sum/cnt) PCT (sum/cnt) PCT (sum/cnt) PCT (sum/cnt) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ARNK1 78 (120/153) 100 (197/197) 71 (108/153) 53 (104/197) 17 ( 26/153) 8 ( 16/197) 1 ( 1/153) over 17 under -10 over 4 under -3 over 8 over 2 over 4 6.9 3.1 5.4 0.2 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- HYSK1 99 (152/153) 100 (197/197) 98 (150/153) 92 (181/197) 63 ( 96/153) 25 ( 49/197) 14 ( 21/153) under -4 under -10 under -23 under -42 under -38 under -15 under -9 20.1 -20.1 25.6 -25.6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SCSK1 88 (135/153) 100 (197/197) 84 (129/153) 60 (118/197) 35 ( 53/153) 11 ( 21/197) 7 ( 11/153) over 7 under -10 under -9 under -10 under -10 under -1 under -2 7.0 -5.0 8.0 -8.0 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- WAAK1 89 (136/153) 100 (197/197) 85 (130/153) 76 (150/197) 48 ( 73/153) 19 ( 37/197) 11 ( 17/153) over 6 under -10 under -10 under -26 under -23 under -9 under -6 12.9 -11.1 15.6 -15.6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- sum - number of times max observed >= forecast cnt - total number of forecasts =============================================================================================================================