Probabilistic forecasts account for uncertainty in weather guidance, allowing for more accurate risk assessments and better decision-making. This is especially useful for extended outlooks where guidance can differ more substantially.
Use drop downs above to sort by county and select a location. Click buttons below to toggle between thresholds. Available thresholds in the table will change seasonally.
Location Forecast
Trend indicates if the forecast has recently shifted warmer or colder for that date. Confidence reflects agreement among guidance and the forecast spread. The experimental probabilities in this table are from bias-adjusted statistical guidance and may differ slightly from the official NWS forecast.