FGUS64 KFWR 071456 ESPFWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEST GULF RIVER FORECAST CENTER YEAR 2020 WATER SUPPLY FORECAST FOR JANUARY 01, 2021 ISSUED JANUARY 07, 2021 NORTHWESTERN RIO GRANDE IN COLORADO 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- RWGC2 RIO GRANDE AT WAGON WHEEL GAP APR-SEP 222 65 22 169 292 393 340 SRGC2 SF RIO GRANDE AT SOUTH FORK APR-SEP 135 106 13 109 172 227 127 DNRC2 RIO GRANDE NR DEL NORTE APR-SEP 420 81 42 317 515 656 515 SCKC2 SAGUACHE CK NR SAGUACHE APR-SEP 29 90 3.5 22 34 48 32 TERC2 ALAMOSA CK AB TERRACE RESERVOIR APR-SEP 78 114 8.0 55 105 153 68 MOGC2 CONEJOS R NR MOGOTE APR-SEP 152 78 10 114 192 275 194 NORTHEASTERN RIO GRANDE IN COLORADO 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- SLUC2 CULEBRA CK AT SAN LUIS APR-SEP 25 108 2.6 16 32 43 23 MIDDLE SANGRE MTNS IN NEW MEXICO 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- RRFN5 RED R BL FISH HATCHERY NR QUESTA MAR-JUL 22 64 4.2 14 28 35 34 VADN5 RIO HONDO NR VALDEZ MAR-JUL 13 70 2.0 9.7 17 24 18 TBCN5 RIO PUEBLO DE TAOS BL LOS CORDOVAS MAR-JUL 30 83 4.1 23 39 70 36 DIXN5 EMBUDO CK AT DIXON MAR-JUL 27 56 1.5 18 36 61 48 CYON5 SANTA CRUZ R AT CUNDIYO MAR-JUL 9.0 49 1.4 6.1 10 22 18 EL VADO 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- RCEN5 EL VADO RESERVOIR INFLOW MAR-JUL 184 81 13 137 244 361 225 MAINSTEM ROUTINGS 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- OTWN5 RIO GRANDE AT OTOWI BRIDGE*** MAR-JUL 962 NA 141 732 1221 1642 720 SMFN5 RIO GRANDE AT SAN MARCIAL*** MAR-JUL 833 NA 145 639 1039 1419 510 PECOS 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- PCON5 PECOS R NR PECOS MAR-JUL 19 33 4.6 13 27 52 57 ATCN5 PECOS R NR ANTON CHICO MAR-JUL 28 44 7.1 21 36 74 63 MTZN5 GALLINAS CK NR MONTEZUMA MAR-JUL 6.5 66 0.5 4.2 10 19 9.8 SRDN5 PECOS R AB SANTA ROSA LK MAR-JUL 35 62 8.6 26 51 85 56 RIO CHAMA SYSTEM 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- LMDN5 RIO OJO CALIENTE AT LA MADERA MAR-JUN 25 55 1.2 12 50 72 45 CMTN5 RIO CHAMA NR CHAMITA MAR-MAY 242 77 24 164 312 496 312 ***RUNOFF FORECAST VOLUMES AT OTWN5 AND SMFN5 REPRESENT THE TOTAL NATURAL VOLUME YIELDS. FORECASTS AT THESE LOCATIONS DO NOT ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACTS OF REGULATION, STORAGE, DIVERSIONS AND/OR RETURNS. PERCENT OF AVERAGE VALUES ARE NOT CALCULATED BECAUSE THE FORECAST VOLUME SHOULD NOT BE DIRECTLY COMPARED TO THE 30-YEAR AVERAGE OBSERVED VOLUME. 5%, 25%, 50%, 75% 95% CHANCE THAT ACTUAL VOLUME WILL EXCEED FORECAST. AVERAGES ARE FOR THE 1981-2010 PERIOD. ALL VOLUMES ARE IN THOUSANDS OF ACRE-FEET. MEDIAN VALUE ARE USED IN PLACE OF AVERAGE **************************************************************** * CONTACT DAVID.CAZIER@NOAA.GOV FOR QUESTIONS * * FOR BASIN SNOWPACK INFORMATION PLEASE REFER TO * * HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/WGRFC/WWGRF_SOIL_MOISTURE * * FOR USGS SURFACE-WATER DATA FOR COLORADO - REFER TO * * HTTPS://WATERDATA.USGS.GOV/CO/NWIS/SW * * CURRENT CONDITIONS FOR NEW MEXICO RESERVOIRS - REFER TO * * HTTPS://WATERDATA.USGS.GOV/NM/NWIS/CURRENT?TYPE=LAKE * * * ****************************************************************