Flood Warning
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
803 AM MDT Sat Sep 26 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in New
Mexico...
Pecos River Near Lake Arthur affecting Chaves County.
.Heavy rains within the Pecos River drainage basin will result in
significant rises on the river today. Pay attention to river
forecasts for changes in height and timing information. The most
recent forecast has lowered the peak crest from moderate flood to
minor flood but with a longer duration of elevated flows.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/abq.
The next statement will be issued this evening at 915 PM MDT.
&&
NMC005-270315-
/O.EXT.KABQ.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-260927T1200Z/
/LATN5.1.ER.260926T1309Z.260927T0000Z.260927T0034Z.NR/
803 AM MDT Sat Sep 26 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Pecos River near Lake Arthur.
* WHEN...Until Sunday morning.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:15 AM MDT Saturday the stage was 16.1 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 17.5 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late
this afternoon to a crest of 20.2 feet this evening. It will then
fall below flood stage this evening.
- Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.6
feet on 10/07/1954.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
All Times MDT Fld Observed Forecasts (6 am)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sun Mon Tue
Pecos River
Lake Arthur 20.0 16.1 Sat 7 am 13.5 5.0 4.1
&&
LAT...LON 3343 10432 3320 10425 3296 10422 3296 10440
3318 10438 3343 10445
$$
Guyer
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
318 AM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026
TXZ021>044-270830-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd-
Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-Yoakum-
Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
318 AM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling
Plains, and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Scattered thunderstorms early this morning may lead to localized
flash flooding across the far southwest Texas Panhandle.
Isolated thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and evening,
primarily off the Caprock. Sporadic wind gusts up to 65 mph and hail
up to the size of quarters are possible.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Thunderstorm chances return for much of the region Monday through
Thursday. Rain is expected to be the most widespread on Tuesday, and
locally heavy amounts may lead to flooding.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
208 AM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026
OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-261915-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
208 AM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
There is a slight chance for thunderstorms in the southeastern
Texas Panhandle late this afternoon. There will be a potential for
large hail and damaging winds if storms do form.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
A strong upper trough and the remnants of a hurricane spreading
tropical moisture into the area could set the stage for another
heavy rain event by the middle of next week. While this is still
several days away the models are trending in a direction that
warrants attention on this situation. We will continue to monitor
this situation over the weekend and provide further updates.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.
$$
Hydrologic Outlook
Hydrologic Outlook
COC007-033-051-053-067-083-091-111-113-UTC019-037-301200-
Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
221 PM MDT Fri Sep 25 2026
In the wake of today`s precipitation, our attention will turn to the
Eastern Pacific. Tropical moisture is anticipated to spread across
the Desert Southwest early next week, drawing moisture from a pair of
Hurricanes; Odalys and Polo. The forecast becomes increasing complex
due to a closed low currently forecast to drive across the Southwest
CONUS as Hurricane Polo approaches the Baja California Peninsula.
Strong southerly winds ahead of the low are expected to pull tropical
moisture towards eastern Utah and western Colorado as early as Monday
morning. The challenge and uncertainty in our precipitation forecast
increase as the week progresses and the low traverses our southern
States. Excessive rainfall is most probable over AZ and NM, attm, but
the northerly extent poses a threat to our southern San Juan river
basins. Current forecasts suggests 1 to 3 inches of rain over Monday
morning through Wednesday. At face value, rivers and tributaries will
see a bump up due to said moisture. However, localized heavier
amounts could result in minor flooding across the southern San Juan
foothills and communities further downstream.
Rivers have responded rapidly to recent rainfall due to saturated
soils and increased runoff potential. Thus, prolonged periods of
additional rainfall over these regions would trigger a similar
response. The current precipitation forecast suggests larger peaks in
several creeks and rivers than what has been observed over the
previous 7 days. However, high end probabilistic rainfall amounts
(i.e. above 90th percentile) may lead to rivers exceeding action
stage to minor flooding. Most probable basins to see significant
rises include; the Rio Blanco, San Juan, Piedra, Los Pinos/Vallecito
Creek, and the Animas River Basins.
Convective storms and periods of heavy rainfall fed from said
tropical moisture could result in localized flooding impacts across
the CWA, however, confidence decreases rapidly north of the San
Juans. Please continue to monitor the forecast as these systems
evolve. Especially for those who reside and/or plan to recreate in
the southwest quadrant of the forecast area.
$$
ERW
