Flood Advisory
Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
759 AM MDT Wed Oct 15 2025
COC007-053-161600-
/O.NEW.KGJT.FA.Y.0053.251015T1359Z-251016T1600Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Archuleta CO-Hinsdale CO-
759 AM MDT Wed Oct 15 2025
...FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM MDT THURSDAY...
...REPLACES FLOOD WARNING...
* WHAT...Even though river levels are falling high flows will
continue to run down the Piedra River over the next day with
additional rainfall expected today.
* WHERE...A portion of southwest Colorado, including the following
counties, Archuleta and Hinsdale.
* WHEN...Until 1000 AM MDT Thursday.
* IMPACTS...Minor flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas.
Overflowing poor drainage areas. River or stream flows are
elevated.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 759 AM MDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges
indicated heavy rain. Minor flooding is ongoing or expected
to begin shortly in the advisory area.
- Drainages into the Piedra River and low lying areas along
Highway 151 are the most likely place to experience minor
flooding.
- Some locations that will experience flooding include...
mainly rural areas of Northwestern Archuleta and South
Central Hinsdale Counties
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
&&
LAT...LON 3745 10714 3719 10721 3703 10741 3707 10748
3736 10738 3746 10732
$$
15
Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
946 PM MDT Tue Oct 14 2025
...The National Weather Service in Grand Junction has issued a Flood
Advisory for the following rivers in Colorado...
San Juan River at Pagosa Springs affecting Archuleta County.
.The San Juan River at Pagosa Springs has dropped below flood stage
and continues to trend downward late this evening. Additional
rainfall is forecast over the next 24 hours...possibly heavy at
times...which is forecast to keep the river near or above bankfull.
Please continue to heed all closures as the river continue to run
well above normal.
For the San Juan River...including Bluff, Pagosa Springs...elevated
river levels are forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an
alternative route.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/gjt.
The next statement will be issued as warranted. Wednesday afternoon
at 400 PM MDT.
&&
COC007-152200-
/O.NEW.KGJT.FL.Y.0003.251015T0346Z-251016T1800Z/
/PSPC2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
946 PM MDT Tue Oct 14 2025
...FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO EARLY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall over the next 24
hours is expected to keep the river at or above bankfull through
Thursday morning. Forecast trends are for the river to then
continue to fall late Thursday through the weekend.
* WHERE...San Juan River at Pagosa Springs.
* WHEN...From this evening to early Thursday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 10.3 feet, Water is flowing over the yards of homes
in the San Juan River Village northeast of Pagosa Springs.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:00 PM MDT Tuesday the stage was 10.4 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 8.5 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 10.0
feet tomorrow evening.
- Action stage is 9.5 feet.
- Flood stage is 10.5 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
LAT...LON 3738 10682 3723 10698 3715 10701 3715 10708
3738 10700
$$
15
Flood Watch
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1045 AM MDT Wed Oct 15 2025
COZ067-068-160045-
/O.CON.KPUB.FA.A.0008.000000T0000Z-251016T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Including Cumbres Pass, Creede, South Fork, and Wolf Creek Pass
1045 AM MDT Wed Oct 15 2025
...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be
possible.
* WHERE...A portion of south central Colorado, including the
following areas, Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet and
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below 10000
Feet.
* WHEN...Through this evening.
* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers,
creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.
Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Area creeks and
streams are running high and could flood with more heavy rain.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- Showers and thunderstorms are expected to continue over the
Watch area this afternoon and into this evening. Some storms
may be strong to severe. Areas that see direct impacts from
thunderstorms could see 1-2 inches of additional rainfall
today, on top of already saturated soils and full waterways,
which will lead to continued flooding concerns.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.
&&
$$
Hodanish
Freeze Watch
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1157 AM MDT Wed Oct 15 2025
NMZ216-160200-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FZ.A.0004.251017T0400Z-251017T1600Z/
Upper Rio Grande Valley-
1157 AM MDT Wed Oct 15 2025
...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING...
* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 28 near Taos and as low
as 20 near the Colorado border possible.
* WHERE...Upper Rio Grande Valley.
* WHEN...From Thursday evening through Friday morning.
* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other
sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor
plumbing.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.
&&
$$
77
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1110 AM MDT Wed Oct 15 2025
COZ058>089-093>099-161715-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1110 AM MDT Wed Oct 15 2025
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
A few strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible this
afternoon and evening over the region. The best chance for strong
to severe storms will be during the afternoon over the southern
mountains and San Luis Valley, and during the late afternoon and
evening over the eastern plains. Strong winds to 55 to 65 mph will
be possible, along with hail up to the size of ping-pong balls.
There is a low-end chance of a tornado over all of the southern
mountains, the southern half of the San Luis Valley, and western
Las Animas county.
Localized heavy rain will once again be possible over the San
Juan mountains, and flooding will once again be possible over this
region this afternoon and evening. Hikers, campers, and anyone
outdoors in the high country today should use extreme caution,
especially near moving water, and should remain weather aware and
capable of receiving warnings today! People traveling over Wolf
Creek Pass should be on alert for rocks on the roadway.
Snow will be possible above 12,000ft, with accumulations of
generally less than 1 inch possible. Snow levels drop to around
10,000ft across our central mountains this evening and tonight,
where 1-2 inches of new snow will be possible for our tallest
peaks.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday
Strong to severe storms will be possible east of a line from La
Junta to Kim on Thursday afternoon. Large hail and damaging winds
will be the primary storm risks.
A cold front will bring clear, cool and dry conditions for Friday
through the weekend with the possibility of frost and light
freezes across portions of the I-25 corridor and southeast plains
both Saturday and Sunday mornings. Sunday morning will be the
coolest morning for the majority of the southeast plains.
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms gradually
increase across the mountains next week.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be likely over portions of the region.
$$
Hodanish
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
359 AM MDT Wed Oct 15 2025
COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-161000-
Lower Yampa River Basin-Central Yampa River Basin-
Roan and Tavaputs Plateaus-Elkhead and Park Mountains-
Upper Yampa River Basin-Grand Valley-Debeque to Silt Corridor-
Central Colorado River Basin-Grand and Battlement Mesas-
Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys-
Central Gunnison and Uncompahgre River Basin-
West Elk and Sawatch Mountains-Flat Tops-Upper Gunnison River Valley-
Uncompahgre Plateau and Dallas Divide-Northwest San Juan Mountains-
Southwest San Juan Mountains-Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River-
Four Corners/Upper Dolores River-Animas River Basin-
San Juan River Basin-Southeast Utah-Eastern Uinta Mountains-
Eastern Uinta Basin-Tavaputs Plateau-Arches/Grand Flat-
La Sal and Abajo Mountains-Canyonlands/Natural Bridges-
359 AM MDT Wed Oct 15 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Colorado, southwest
Colorado, west central Colorado, east central Utah, northeast Utah
and southeast Utah.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Strong thunderstorms are possible today along and south of the San
Juan Mountains with isolated storms extending north into the central
and northern mountains. Main threats are damaging winds, large hail
and frequent lightning. A cold front moves through tonight sweeping
the moisture out of the area and dropping temperatures 10-15 degrees.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected today or tonight, however
spotters are encouraged to relay rainfall amounts or any observed
flooding to the National Weather Service in Grand Junction.
$$
Hydrologic Outlook
Hydrologic Outlook
NMC045-152200-
Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
358 AM MDT Wed Oct 15 2025
...HIGH FLOWS IN THE SAN JUAN, ANIMAS AND LA PLATA RIVERS...
Tuesday rainfall across northwest New Mexico and southwest Colorado
will continue to create excessive runoff this morning into the San
Juan, La Plata and Animas rivers. As a result, high flows will
persist through today with a significant crest forecast early this
morning.
Bankfull conditions are once again expected for the Animas River in
Farmington and the San Juan River near Shiprock through this morning.
For your safety, stay away from the banks of these rivers. Erosion
will make the banks unstable and this fast running water could
easily sweep away those distracted near the bank of the river. Avoid
any recreational activities on these rivers through at least
Wednesday.
Expect rises and impacts to nearby roads and low water crossings. Do
not drive through water of unknown depth. The road may not be intact
below. Stay aware of any flash flood or river flood warnings that are
issued.
$$
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