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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Duluth MN
907 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-WIZ001>004-006>009-210215-
Koochiching-North St. Louis-Northern Cook/Northern Lake-
North Itasca-Central St. Louis-Southern Lake/North Shore-
Southern Cook/North Shore-North Cass-South Itasca-South Cass-
Crow Wing-Northern Aitkin-South Aitkin-Carlton/South St. Louis-
Pine-Douglas-Bayfield-Ashland-Iron-Burnett-Washburn-Sawyer-Price-
907 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast
Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Non-severe thunderstorms possible tonight across portions of the
Northland, mostly along and south of US Highway 2

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Thunderstorm chances continue over portions of the Northland
Monday through Wednesday. Localized heavy rain and minor flooding
is possible late Tuesday into Wednesday. Isolated to scattered
strong to severe storms are possible Tuesday, mainly in northwest
Wisconsin.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Skywarn spotter activation will not be needed tonight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
829 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
210130-
Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stevens-Pope-Stearns-
Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-
Kandiyohi-Meeker-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-
Yellow Medicine-Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Scott-Dakota-
Redwood-Brown-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Watonwan-Blue Earth-
Waseca-Steele-Martin-Faribault-Freeborn-Polk-Barron-Rusk-
St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Eau Claire-
829 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central and
southern Minnesota, and west central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Thunderstorms are likely overnight. A few strong storms capable of
hail are possible across southwestern Minnesota.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

A powerful storm system will bring another round of thunderstorms
Tuesday afternoon and evening. There is an Enhanced Risk of
severe thunderstorms (level 3 of 5) across southeastern Minnesota,
and a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) extending across south central
and east central Minnesota into western Wisconsin. Large hail and
damaging winds are the main threats, but a few tornadoes are also
possible.

Heavy rainfall is likely Tuesday afternoon and evening and totals
may exceed 2 or 3 inches. This will lead to rises on rivers and
their tributaries through the end of the week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN spotter activation will not be needed tonight, but may be
needed Tuesday.

$$

Borghoff

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville IL
823 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

ILZ003>006-008-010>013-019>021-023-032-033-039-103>108-INZ001-002-
010-011-019-210130-
Winnebago-Boone-McHenry-Lake IL-Ogle-Lee-De Kalb-Kane-DuPage-
La Salle-Kendall-Grundy-Kankakee-Livingston-Iroquois-Ford-
Northern Cook-Central Cook-Southern Cook-Northern Will-
Southern Will-Eastern Will-Lake IN-Porter-Newton-Jasper-Benton-
823 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 /923 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
Illinois...northeast Illinois and northwest Indiana.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited Thunderstorm Risk.

DISCUSSION...

Isolated thunderstorms can be expected south of the Illinois and
Kankakee Rivers through this evening.

There is also a slight chance of thunderstorms toward daybreak
Tuesday near the Interstate 39 corridor.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Monday...
  Significant Thunderstorm Risk with a:
    Limited Severe Thunderstorm Risk.
  Limited Flooding Risk.
Tuesday...
  Elevated Thunderstorm Risk with an:
    Elevated Severe Thunderstorm Risk.
  Limited Flooding Risk.
Wednesday...
  Limited Thunderstorm Risk.
Friday and Saturday...
  Limited Thunderstorm Risk.

DISCUSSION...

Scattered thunderstorms are likely Monday, especially during the
afternoon and early evening. Conditions will probably become
supportive for storms briefly becoming severe, mainly between 2 PM
and 8 PM. If any storms do become severe, the primary hazards
would be hail up to around 1 inch in diameter and wind gusts up to
around 60 mph.

There is a chance thunderstorms early Tuesday morning, mainly
across northern Illinois northwest of Interstate 55. If any storms
do occur, the threat of severe weather appears rather low.

Additional thunderstorms are likely Tuesday evening into Tuesday
night. Some of these storms could become severe, with the highest
chances of severe weather near and west of the Interstate 39
corridor. The primary potential severe hazards Tuesday night would
be damaging winds and perhaps brief tornadoes.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be necessary through tonight.

GENERAL STORM MOTION OF THE DAY:

  Moving toward the northeast at around 10 mph.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
537 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029-
032>034-041>044-053>055-061-201000-
Mitchell-Howard-Winneshiek-Allamakee-Floyd-Chickasaw-Fayette-
Clayton-Wabasha-Dodge-Olmsted-Winona-Mower-Fillmore-Houston-
Taylor-Clark-Buffalo-Trempealeau-Jackson-La Crosse-Monroe-Juneau-
Adams-Vernon-Crawford-Richland-Grant-
537 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast
Minnesota...northeast Iowa...and southwest into central
Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Showers and thunderstorms, mostly for the overnight hours.
Severe weather is not anticipated.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Multiple rounds of thunderstorms Monday through Tuesday night.
Strong to severe storms are possible, with the higher threat on
Tuesday. Locally heavy rain could also occur. Expect refinement on
what to expect, when and where, over the next couple days.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

No action needed.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

No webinar is scheduled.

$$

nofwd

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
458 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-
081>086-092>097-201000-
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-
Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Polk-Jasper-
Poweshiek-Cass-Adair-Madison-Warren-Marion-Mahaska-Adams-Union-
Clarke-Lucas-Monroe-Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-
Appanoose-Davis-
458 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight

Thunderstorms will track from west to east through the area today
and into tonight. A few storms this afternoon and evening may be
strong to severe, especially over southern Iowa. Strong winds,
hail and locally heavy rainfall will be the primary concerns, but
a tornado can`t be ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Additional storms are expected on Monday, with the potential for
more strong to severe storms in the afternoon and evening hours.
Main threats will again be strong winds, hail and locally heavy
rainfall, with the potential for a tornado or two as well.

The greatest severe risk through the period will fall on Tuesday
as a larger scale system passes through the area. All hazards
may be possible, including damaging winds, large hail, heavy
rainfall and tornadoes. More details on this system will be
provided in the coming days.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be needed for any storms this afternoon
through Tuesday.

$$

Dodson

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
401 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-200915-
Buchanan-Delaware-Dubuque-Benton-Linn-Jones-Jackson-Iowa-Johnson-
Cedar-Clinton-Muscatine-Scott-Keokuk-Washington-Louisa-Jefferson-
Henry IA-Des Moines-Van Buren-Lee-Jo Daviess-Stephenson-Carroll-
Whiteside-Rock Island-Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-Mercer-Henderson-
Warren-Hancock-McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
401 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
Illinois...northwest Illinois...west central Illinois...east
central Iowa...northeast Iowa...southeast Iowa and northeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

There is a Marginal Risk, or level 1 of 5, for severe weather this
evening and tonight west of the Mississippi River. Large hail and
frequent lightning will be the primary threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

There is a Marginal Risk, or level 1 of 5, for severe weather on
Monday. Large hail and severe winds will be the primary threats.
In addition, there is an Enhanced Risk, or level 3 of 5, for
severe weather on Tuesday. Damaging winds, tornadoes, heavy rain,
and large hail will all be possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed tonight.

GENERAL STORM MOTION OF THE DAY: Towards the northeast at 30 to 35
mph.

$$

Gunkel

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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