Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville IL
Issued by National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
305 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
ILZ003>006-008-010>013-019>021-023-032-033-039-103>108-INZ001-002-
010-011-019-172015-
Winnebago-Boone-McHenry-Lake IL-Ogle-Lee-De Kalb-Kane-DuPage-
La Salle-Kendall-Grundy-Kankakee-Livingston-Iroquois-Ford-
Northern Cook-Central Cook-Southern Cook-Northern Will-
Southern Will-Eastern Will-Lake IN-Porter-Newton-Jasper-Benton-
305 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025 /405 PM EDT Mon Jun 16 2025/
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
Illinois...northeast Illinois and northwest Indiana.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Limited Thunderstorm Risk.
DISCUSSION...
There is a slight chance (less than 25%) of a few isolated to
widely scattered thunderstorms this afternoon into this evening,
mainly along and southwest of a line from Rockford to Peru to
Watseka, Illinois and to Fowler, Indiana. Severe weather is not
expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Tuesday...
Limited Flooding Risk.
Elevated Thunderstorm Risk...with an associated:
Level 1 of 5 Severe Thunderstorm Risk.
Wednesday...
Limited Flooding Risk.
Elevated Thunderstorm Risk...with an associated:
Level 2 of 5 Severe Thunderstorm Risk.
Saturday and Sunday...
Elevated Excessive Heat Risk.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be necessary through tonight.
GENERAL STORM MOTION OF THE DAY:
Moving toward the southeast at 5 to 10 mph.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
255 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
ILZ027>031-036>038-040>043-047>053-171200-
Knox-Stark-Peoria-Marshall-Woodford-Fulton-Tazewell-McLean-Schuyler-
Mason-Logan-De Witt-Cass-Menard-Scott-Morgan-Sangamon-Christian-
Macon-
255 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Illinois and west
central Illinois.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible through early evening. While
severe weather is not expected, any storm that develops will be
capable of locally heavy rainfall and isolated flash flooding.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Scattered thunderstorms will develop ahead of a cold front late
Tuesday afternoon and evening...primarily along and north of a Macomb
to Bloomington line. A few of these storms may produce damaging wind
gusts, large hail, and locally heavy rainfall.
A large cluster of thunderstorms will develop across the Plains
Tuesday night, then track eastward toward Illinois by dawn Wednesday.
While these storms will be in a weakening phase, gusty winds will be
possible along and west of the I-55 corridor.
Additional thunderstorms will develop along a cold front Wednesday
afternoon and evening. Damaging wind gusts, large hail, and a few
tornadoes will be possible. The most likely location for initial
storm development Wednesday afternoon will be east of the Illinois
River.
A period of hot and humid weather is expected by the end of the week.
High temperatures in the lower to middle 90s will create heat index
values in excess of 100 degrees by next Saturday and Sunday. This
may cause heat related illness for those without effective cooling,
especially for sensitive individuals.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
255 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
ILZ044>046-054>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-171200-
Piatt-Champaign-Vermilion-Moultrie-Douglas-Coles-Edgar-Shelby-
Cumberland-Clark-Effingham-Jasper-Crawford-Clay-Richland-Lawrence-
255 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Illinois, east
central Illinois and southeast Illinois.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible through early evening. While
severe weather is not expected, any storm that develops will be
capable of locally heavy rainfall and isolated flash flooding.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Thunderstorms will develop along a cold front Wednesday afternoon
and evening. Damaging wind gusts, large hail, and a few tornadoes
will be possible.
A period of hot and humid weather is expected by the end of the week.
High temperatures in the lower to middle 90s will create heat index
values in excess of 100 degrees by next Saturday and Sunday. This
may cause heat related illness for those without effective cooling,
especially for sensitive individuals.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.
$$
Barnes
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
240 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-171945-
Buchanan-Delaware-Dubuque-Benton-Linn-Jones-Jackson-Iowa-Johnson-
Cedar-Clinton-Muscatine-Scott-Keokuk-Washington-Louisa-Jefferson-
Henry IA-Des Moines-Van Buren-Lee-Jo Daviess-Stephenson-Carroll-
Whiteside-Rock Island-Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-Mercer-Henderson-
Warren-Hancock-McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
240 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
Illinois...northwest Illinois...west central Illinois...east
central Iowa...northeast Iowa...southeast Iowa and northeast
Missouri.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
Showers and thunderstorms, some strong to severe, will be possible
this afternoon into the early evening for locations north of
Interstate 80. Locally strong wind gusts and hail up to the size
of quarters will be possible.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
Near daily chances for storms are in the forecast through the
middle of the week. Severe weather is possible at times,
particularly Tuesday and Wednesday. While confidence remains low
on the specific timing, threats, and coverage, Tuesday afternoon
and early evening look to be the most likely time frame for storms
during this period of active weather.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon.
$$
JTS
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service St Louis MO
229 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-171930-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
229 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
There is a chance for thunderstorms across southeast Missouri and
southern Illinois early tonight. Thunderstorms could produce locally
heavy rainfall.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
There is a chance of thunderstorms across portions of the region
at times late Tuesday through early Thursday. A few thunderstorms
could be strong to severe early Wednesday morning and again Wednesday
afternoon and evening.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Delia
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
229 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-171930-
Marquette-Green Lake-Fond du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge-
Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee-
Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha-
229 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Wisconsin, south central Wisconsin and southeast Wisconsin.
.DAY ONE...Tonight
Scattered thunderstorms may move slowly eastward into the area
and linger into early this evening. Brief gusty winds and small
hail may occur with stronger storms.
There is some potential for a line of storms to move southeast
toward and into the area this evening and into the overnight
hours. There is a lot of uncertainty with if the storms will even
hold together and how much of the area may be affected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Monday
There are chances for thunderstorms Tuesday into Tuesday night, as
a cold front moves southeast into the area. There are chances for
thunderstorms Wednesday into Wednesday night, as low pressure
moves through the region. Some strong to perhaps severe storms are
possible, with the better chances Wednesday into Wednesday night.
There is uncertainty with if and how much thunderstorm activity
may occur during these periods.
There are chances for thunderstorms at times Thursday afternoon
into Saturday morning.
Very warm and humid conditions are possible this weekend into
early next week.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be needed at times Tuesday afternoon into
Wednesday night.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
152 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029-
032>034-041>044-053>055-061-172300-
Mitchell-Howard-Winneshiek-Allamakee-Floyd-Chickasaw-Fayette-
Clayton-Wabasha-Dodge-Olmsted-Winona-Mower-Fillmore-Houston-
Taylor-Clark-Buffalo-Trempealeau-Jackson-La Crosse-Monroe-Juneau-
Adams-Vernon-Crawford-Richland-Grant-
152 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast
Minnesota...northeast Iowa and southwest into central Wisconsin.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
Storms could redevelop this afternoon into the evening. Some
could be severe with hail and damaging winds the main hazards.
The higher risk will lie from north central Iowa, across southeast
Minnesota into northwest Wisconsin.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
Storm chances Tuesday through Saturday morning. The severe risk
for Tuesday and Wednesday is low and it is too early to discern
severe risk for later in the week.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Any severe weather reports are appreciated.
.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...
No webinar is scheduled.
$$
nofwd
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
0505 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-171005-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
0505 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.KEY MESSAGES...
- The threat for severe weather exist for Tuesday late afternoon
into Tuesday night. The main threats are for damaging winds
and large hail however, an isolated tornado cannot be ruled
out.
- In addition to the severe threat on Tuesday into Tuesday
night, heavy rain is expected which may lead to flash flooding
as well as flooding along area rivers, creeks and streams.
- Growing confidence in the potential for hazardous heat toward
the end of the week.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
404 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-
081>086-092>097-170915-
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-
Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Polk-Jasper-
Poweshiek-Cass-Adair-Madison-Warren-Marion-Mahaska-Adams-Union-
Clarke-Lucas-Monroe-Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-
Appanoose-Davis-
404 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight
Scattered thunderstorms are expected again today, with stronger
and more widespread storms during the afternoon and evening. Some
storms this afternoon and evening may be severe, with hail,
damaging winds, and tornadoes all possible. Localized heavy rain
may also lead to ponding of water.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
Severe storms are again possible on Tuesday, with gusty winds, hail,
and tornadoes possible. Heavy rainfall is also expected, which
will add the potential for flash flooding and river rises.
Additional rounds of storms are expected through the week. Details
on these later storms will become clear er in the coming days.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and evening.
$$
