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Hurricane Francine Local Statement Advisory Number 11
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Hurricane Francine Local Statement Advisory Number 11
National Weather Service Mobile AL  AL062024
420 AM CDT Wed Sep 11 2024

This product covers portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.

**HURRICANE FRANCINE CONTINUES MOVING TOWARDS THE LOUISIANA COAST**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect
      for Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Mobile Central, and
      Mobile Coastal
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Baldwin Inland,
      George, Mobile Inland, and Stone
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Greene, Perry, and Wayne

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 430 miles southwest of Mobile AL or about 470 miles
      west-southwest of Pensacola FL
    - 27.0N 93.8W
    - Storm Intensity 90 mph
    - Movement Northeast or 35 degrees at 10 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Francine continues to strengthen over the west central Gulf
on its approach towards the Louisiana coastline. Francine is expected
to make landfall later this afternoon and progress northward into
south-central Mississippi tonight into Thursday Morning. Heavy
rainfall of 4 to 6 inches locally higher, tornadoes, storm surge up to
2 to 4 feet and gusty winds in excess of tropical storm force will be
possible mainly Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Now is the time
to make final preparations and ensure that you have multiple ways to
receive warnings overnight.



POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across Southeastern Mississippi. Potential impacts
include:
    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
      multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may
      become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may
      become stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
      Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
      underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
      Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible
significant impacts across Southwestern and South central Alabama and
the northwestern Florida Panhandle.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a dangerous tornado event having possible significant
impacts across Southwestern and South central Alabama and the
northwestern Florida Panhandle. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
      of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.
    - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
      homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or
      uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about.
      Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.

Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across Southeastern Mississippi.

* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
southeastern Mississippi and coastal Alabama. Potential impacts in
this area include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama. Gusty winds will be possible with
limited impacts.

* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across Coastal Alabama including Mobile Bay. Potential impacts in
this area include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Follow the advice of local officials.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number
or website listed below.
- Coastal Alabama:
- Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or www.mcema.net
- Northwest Florida:
- Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or bereadyescambia.com
- Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or www.co.okaloosa.fl.us/ps/home
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile AL around 11 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
448 AM CDT Wed Sep 11 2024

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Marion-Lamar-Fayette-Winston-Walker-Blount-Etowah-Calhoun-Cherokee-
Cleburne-Pickens-Tuscaloosa-Jefferson-Shelby-St. Clair-Talladega-
Clay-Randolph-Sumter-Greene-Hale-Perry-Bibb-Chilton-Coosa-Tallapoosa-
Chambers-Marengo-Dallas-Autauga-Lowndes-Elmore-Montgomery-Macon-
Bullock-Lee-Russell-Pike-Barbour-
448 AM CDT Wed Sep 11 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the counties served by the
National Weather Service office in Birmingham.

.DAY ONE...Outlook through Tonight.

Francine is forecast to make landfall along the Louisiana coast later
today, moving inland toward southern Mississippi tonight. Central
Alabama could begin seeing locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds
into early Thursday morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with Francine could lead to
locally heavy rainfall and flooding across much of Central Alabama
on Thursday. Brief tornadoes are also possible, across all of Central
Alabama.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of storm spotters and emergency management may be needed
tonight through Thursday.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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