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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
501 PM CDT Tue May 22 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-231045-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
501 PM CDT Tue May 22 2018

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Southeast of Interstate 44.
ONSET...Ongoing...diminishing after sunset.

DISCUSSION...
Scattered thunderstorms will continue into the early
evening hours southeast of Interstate 44.  The strongest
storms will be capable of gusty winds and brief
downpours.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY through MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorm chances will continue daily through
the upcoming weekend.  Temperatures will also
continue above normal.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
347 PM CDT Tue May 22 2018

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
232100-
Vernon-Rapides-Avoyelles-Beauregard-Allen-Evangeline-St. Landry-
Calcasieu-Jefferson Davis-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin-
Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin-West Cameron-
East Cameron-Tyler-Hardin-Jefferson-Orange-Northern Jasper-
Northern Newton-Southern Jasper-Southern Newton-
347 PM CDT Tue May 22 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Louisiana, south central Louisiana, southwest Louisiana, west
central Louisiana, and southeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue through the
evening before waning around sunset. While organized or widespread
severe weather is not expected, some storms could produce strong gusty
winds along with frequent cloud to ground lightning and locally
heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop once again
beginning late Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening. Some
storms could produce strong gusty winds along with frequent
lightning and locally heavy rainfall.

Weather conditions Thursday through the weekend will be highly
dependent on the evolution and track of a low pressure area moving
north through the gulf of Mexico. Should the low track towards the
northern gulf coast widespread heavy rainfall will be possible. Please
continue to closely monitor the forecast for the end of the week
and into the weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
228 PM CDT Tue May 22 2018

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-231200-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
228 PM CDT Tue May 22 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.
There is a slight chance for thunderstorms this evening mainly along
and east of the I-35 corridor. Gusty winds, cloud to ground
lightning, and brief heavy rain will be the main threats with any
activity.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
Thunderstorm chances will continue each day through Saturday, mostly
during the afternoon and evening hours, and mainly along and east of
the Interstate 35 corridor. Weak wind shear will limit the severe
weather potential.

Heat index values in the upper 90s to near 100 degrees will be
possible this weekend and Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
1149 AM CDT Tue May 22 2018

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-231700-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
1149 AM CDT Tue May 22 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
Isolated thunderstorms will develop across portions of south-
central and southeastern Oklahoma this afternoon. Brief gusty
winds may occur with these storms, but severe weather is not
expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

.Thunderstorms...
There is a low chance of thunderstorms Wednesday through Monday
across parts of Oklahoma and north Texas. A few storms during
this time may be strong to severe but organized or widespread
severe weather appears unlikely.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1050 AM CDT Tue May 22 2018

TXZ021>044-230400-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-
Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-
Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
1050 AM CDT Tue May 22 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling
Plains and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop over
eastern New Mexico this afternoon and evening and move across the
state line late this evening into early Wednesday morning. These
storms are not expected to become severe over the far southwestern
Panhandle and western South Plains.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Strong or severe thunderstorms may develop Wednesday as an
unsettled pattern continues over West Texas.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
525 AM CDT Tue May 22 2018

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-231100-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-
Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-
Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-
Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
525 AM CDT Tue May 22 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest
Louisiana, southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible today and
into tonight across the entire Four State Region. The best chances
for thunderstorms will be this afternoon during peak daytime
heating. This activity should slowly decrease through the evening
and nighttime hours. Brief heavy downpours, gusty winds, and
frequent cloud to ground lightning will be the primary threats.
While an isolated storm could become severe, widespread severe
thunderstorms are not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

Scattered thunderstorms are expected each day through the weekend
and into early next week. The greatest thunderstorm activity is
expected each afternoon during peak daytime heating, and any
storms that develop will gradually dissipate during the evening.
Brief heavy downpours, gusty winds, and frequent cloud to ground
lightning will be possible, but widespread severe weather is not
expected.

A tropical low pressure system moving northward from the Gulf of
Mexico and along the Mississippi River may provide more widespread
and persistent thunderstorm chances across mainly Southern
Arkansas and Northern Louisiana Saturday through Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel, amateur radio
operators, and storm spotters is not anticipated through tonight.

$$

09

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
440 AM CDT Tue May 22 2018

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-300-313-
335>338-436>438-230945-
Austin-Brazoria Islands-Brazos-Burleson-Chambers-Coastal Brazoria-
Coastal Galveston-Coastal Harris-Coastal Jackson-
Coastal Matagorda-Colorado-Fort Bend-
Galveston Island and Bolivar Peninsula-Grimes-Houston-
Inland Brazoria-Inland Galveston-Inland Harris-Inland Jackson-
Inland Matagorda-Madison-Matagorda Islands-Montgomery-
Northern Liberty-Polk-San Jacinto-Southern Liberty-Trinity-Walker-
Waller-Washington-Wharton-
440 AM CDT Tue May 22 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas..

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected today. Brief,
but locally heavy rain will be possible with a few of the stronger
storms. The storms are expected to end during the early evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

The warmer than normal afternoon temperatures are expected
continue through the upcoming week. Heat index values could reach
100 degrees by the end of the week. Because of how early in the
year this heat is occurring, residents are urged to take
precautions for heat illness. These include taking frequent breaks
if working outdoors, wearing lightweight and loose-fitting
clothing and drinking plenty of water.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
412 AM CDT Tue May 22 2018

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-231100-
Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera-
Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Kinney-Uvalde-
Medina-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Fayette-Maverick-Zavala-
Frio-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-Dimmit-
412 AM CDT Tue May 22 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for South-Central Texas..

.DAY ONE...Today And Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time for the period.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

$$


Short Term Forecast


Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
807 PM CDT Tue May 22 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-230230-
Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Crawford-Franklin-Sebastian-
Pushmataha-Choctaw-Osage-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-
Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-
Cherokee-Adair-Muskogee-McIntosh-Sequoyah-Pittsburg-Haskell-
Latimer-Le Flore-
Including the cities of Rogers, Bentonville, Berryville,
Eureka Springs, Fayetteville, Springdale, Huntsville, Van Buren,
Ozark, Charleston, Fort Smith, Antlers, Clayton, Hugo, Pawhuska,
Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita, Miami, Pawnee, Tulsa, Claremore,
Pryor, Grove, Jay, Sapulpa, Okemah, Okmulgee, Wagoner, Tahlequah,
Stilwell, Muskogee, Checotah, Sallisaw, McAlester, Stigler,
Wilburton, and Poteau
807 PM CDT Tue May 22 2018

.NOW...
At 8:07 PM...Doppler radars detected isolated showers and
thunderstorms across parts of eastern Oklahoma and northwest
Arkansas. Activity has been steadily decreasing in coverage and
intensity as surface heating diminishes. The ongoing activity was
drifting slowly toward the west and northwest.

Through 9:30 PM...An isolated shower or thunderstorm will remain
possible for parts of the area, however a continued decrease in
activity is expected through sunset. Light to moderate showers
will be common, with an isolated locally heavy downpour possible
with any thunderstorms that develop, along with brief gusty
winds. The showers and thunderstorms are expected to dissipate by
9:30 PM, therefore this will be the final short term forecast
issued for this event.

$$

Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
609 PM CDT Tue May 22 2018

TXZ173-191>194-205>209-220>225-230200-
Williamson-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-
Fayette-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-
Including the cities of Georgetown, San Marcos, Austin, Bastrop,
Giddings, San Antonio, New Braunfels, Seguin, Lockhart,
La Grange, Pleasanton, Floresville, Karnes City, Gonzales, Cuero,
and Halletsville
609 PM CDT Tue May 22 2018

.NOW...
Through 9 PM...isolated showers and perhaps a thunderstorm are
possible across areas along and east of the Interstate 35 corridor
this afternoon and into the early evening hours.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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