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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
828 PM CDT Thu Aug 22 2019

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-240130-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
828 PM CDT Thu Aug 22 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
Showers and thunderstorms will remain possible into early Friday.
Some of the storms could produce strong wind gusts and small
hail. Thunderstorms could also produce locally heavy rainfall
that could result in some flooding.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

.Thunderstorms...
Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected to continue on
Friday and Saturday. Isolated strong thunderstorms are possible
with the primary hazard being gusty winds. Heavy rainfall that
could lead to localized flooding is also possible.

The chance for thunderstorms returns late Monday into Tuesday of
next week.

.Heat...
Afternoon heat indices of 100 to 110 degrees will possible once
again next Sunday and Monday.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
500 PM CDT Thu Aug 22 2019

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-231000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
500 PM CDT Thu Aug 22 2019

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Remainder of this Afternoon and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...This evening.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Mainly Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...

Scattered thunderstorms have started to develop this afternoon along
an outflow boundary which was located near Interstate 40...extending
northeast into portions of northwest Arkansas. Damaging winds and
very heavy rainfall will be possible in the strongest storms through
the evening hours.

More widespread showers and storms are expected overnight,
especially near and north of the outflow boundary. While a limited
severe weather threat will continue, the greatest threat overnight
will be heavy rainfall, which may result in some localized flash
flooding, especially across parts of northeast Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
FRIDAY and SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential.
TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
The weather pattern will remain unsettled for the next several
days, with rain chances in the forecast through the first part of
next week. The clouds and rain will keep temperatures below
seasonal normals through at least Sunday, providing a welcome
break from the heat.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
417 PM CDT Thu Aug 22 2019

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
232130-
Vernon-Rapides-Avoyelles-Beauregard-Allen-Evangeline-St. Landry-
Calcasieu-Jefferson Davis-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin-
Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin-West Cameron-
East Cameron-Tyler-Hardin-Jefferson-Orange-Northern Jasper-
Northern Newton-Southern Jasper-Southern Newton-
417 PM CDT Thu Aug 22 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Louisiana, south central Louisiana, southwest Louisiana, west
central Louisiana, and southeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight
Isolated showers and thunderstorms will dissipate by sunset. A few
showers or storms will be possible over coastal areas late
tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday
A disturbance over the western Gulf of Mexico will move slowly
north Friday into Saturday, bringing more widespread showers and
thunderstorms across the area. The primary risk will be heavy
rainfall along with very high rainfall rates within storms that
could potentially produce excessive rainfall in a short period of
time and result in flooding of roadways and poor drainage areas.
In addition, some storms could produce brief gusty winds and
frequent cloud to ground lightning.

Shower and thunderstorm chances will begin to decrease on Sunday,
with scattered mainly afternoon showers and storms expected each
day through Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
254 PM CDT Thu Aug 22 2019

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-232000-
Fisher-Nolan-Sterling-Coke-Runnels-Irion-Tom Green-Concho-
Crockett-Schleicher-Sutton-Haskell-Throckmorton-Jones-Shackelford-
Taylor-Callahan-Coleman-Brown-McCulloch-San Saba-Menard-Kimble-
Mason-
254 PM CDT Thu Aug 22 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of west central
Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Some scattered thunderstorms are possible for parts of the Big
Country. Occasional lightning strikes and brief heavy downpours
are possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible tomorrow and
Saturday afternoon. Starting Sunday and continuing through
midweek, hot conditions will return, with temperatures over 100
degrees. These conditions increase the risk of heat-related
illnesses.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
251 PM CDT Thu Aug 22 2019

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-231230-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
251 PM CDT Thu Aug 22 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.
There is a slight chance of thunderstorms along and north of a line
from Paris to Breckenridge. No severe weather is expected. However,
gusty winds may occur with brief, stronger thunderstorms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
There is a chance of storms mainly along and north of the I-20
corridor on Friday. Thunderstorm chances will increase area-wide
Saturday and Saturday night. Severe weather is not expected at this
time.

Low thunderstorm chances will return across the area by the middle
of next week.

Heat indices will exceed 105 across parts of the area on Sunday and
become even more widespread on Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1209 PM CDT Thu Aug 22 2019

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ004>006-013-014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>111-124-136-149-152-153-165>167-231715-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Claiborne-Lincoln-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-
Natchitoches-Winn-Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Red River-
Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-Morris-Wood-Smith-Cherokee-Nacogdoches-
Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
1209 PM CDT Thu Aug 22 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest
Louisiana, southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Isolated to widely scattered afternoon and early evening showers
and thunderstorms will be possible across portions of the region
today. The greater chances will be felt across portions of
Southeast Oklahoma, Southwest Arkansas as well as Northern
Louisiana and portions of Deep East Texas. Some of these storm
could be strong, producing strong wind gusts, frequent cloud to
ground lightning and brief heavy downpours. Most of this activity
should begin dissipating during the early evening hours.
Otherwise, another hot day is in store areawide with maximum
afternoon heat indices generally below 105 degrees.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible
across much of the region Friday, into the upcoming weekend and
into the middle part of next week. While no organized severe
weather is expected at this time, some of these storms could be
strong at times.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel, amateur radio
operators and storm spotters will not be needed through tonight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1209 PM CDT Thu Aug 22 2019

LAZ001>003-010>012-TXZ112-125-126-137-138-150-151-231715-
Caddo-Bossier-Webster-De Soto-Red River-Bienville-Cass-Upshur-
Marion-Gregg-Harrison-Rusk-Panola-
1209 PM CDT Thu Aug 22 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest
Louisiana and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

A Heat Advisory is in effect today until 4 pm. Another day of hot
temperatures is in store across the region today with heat
indices this afternoon ranging from between 105 and 108 degrees.
Otherwise, isolated to widely scattered afternoon and early
evening showers and thunderstorms will be possible across portions
of the region today. Some of these storm could be strong,
producing strong wind gusts, frequent cloud to ground lightning
and brief heavy downpours. Most of this activity should begin
dissipating during the early evening hours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible
across much of the region Friday, into the upcoming weekend and
into the middle part of next week. While no organized severe
weather is expected at this time, some of these storms could be
strong at times.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel, amateur radio
operators and storm spotters will not be needed through tonight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1007 AM CDT Thu Aug 22 2019

TXZ021>044-231515-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-
Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-
Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
1007 AM CDT Thu Aug 22 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest Texas
and the Panhandle of Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A few thunderstorms could become severe this afternoon and evening
across the entire region and will have the potential for wind
gusts up to 60 mph. In addition to strong winds, localized
heavy rainfall will also be possible with strongest storms.

There is also a threat for dry lightning storms and potential for
new fire starts and spread of existing fires. A rangeland fire
danger statement is in effect this afternoon and evening for the
entire region.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Heat index values from 105 to 110 degrees will be possible on
Monday.

$$


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1123 PM CDT Thu Aug 22 2019

TXZ049-054-064-065-071-072-098-113-230630-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-IRION-TOM GREEN-HASKELL-JONES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF ROTAN, ROBY, SWEETWATER, STERLING CITY,
ROBERT LEE, BRONTE, MERTZON, SAN ANGELO, HASKELL, STAMFORD,
ANSON, AND HAMLIN
1123 PM CDT Thu Aug 22 2019

.NOW...
At 11 pm, an area of thunderstorms was mostly stationary over the
western Concho Valley, with isolated storms and showers occurring
over the western Big Country. Expect this to continue through 1
am and perhaps expand a little to the east. Brief heavy rain and
deadly cloud to ground lightning are possible. Additional rainfall
of a tenth to a half inch, and locally up to 1 inch, possible.

$$

SJH

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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