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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
106 PM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-051145-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
106 PM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025


This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Much of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will be possible for
most of the area through the afternoon, the the higher threat
across eastern Oklahoma. The main impacts would be lightning and
brief heavy rain. Storm coverage will wind down during the early
evening, with little or no precipitation anywhere during evening
festivities.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

SATURDAY TO THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Daily storm chances will persist for the next week, with the
highest probabilities Sunday-Tuesday. Little to no severe weather
will occur. Temperatures will be near to below normal until later
next week.


weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
500 AM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-051000-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
500 AM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025 /400 AM MDT Fri Jul 4 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
south central Kansas, southwest Kansas, and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

There is a chance of strong to marginally severe thunderstorms
this afternoon and evening. Small hail and isolated wind gusts as
high as 60 mph are possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

There are small chances for thunderstorms Sunday, Tuesday and
Friday. These could be marginally severe.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Storm spotters may be needed this afternoon.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Hastings NE
446 AM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
051000-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
446 AM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

There is marginal risk for severe thunderstorms as well as
flooding across the local area this afternoon and evening. Wind
gusts to near 60 MPH along with isolated rainfall amounts of 1 to
2 inches will be possible with the strongest storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Periodic chances for thunderstorms continue across the local area
Saturday through Thursday. A few storms Sunday afternoon could be
on the strong to marginally severe side...mainly for areas near
and west of Highway 183. Beyond Sunday, model uncertainty remains
in timing, coverage, and location of potential storms. This makes
it difficult to confidently pin down specific details regarding
the potential for severe weather next week.

&&

More information may be obtained at the following web page:
   https://www.weather.gov/hastings

$$

Rossi

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
312 AM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-050815-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
312 AM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

Isolated shower and thunderstorm chances (10 to 30 percent) late
this afternoon into the evening. Mainly along and west of Highway
65.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Daily shower and thunderstorm chances of 10 to 30 percent continue
on Saturday. Chances then increase to 30 to 60 percent Sunday
through Wednesday.

Heat Index values will warm into the middle 90s to near 100
degrees over Independence Day Weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Perez

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
248 AM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-050800-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
248 AM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Spotty hit-or-miss showers and thunderstorms are possible this
afternoon and evening mainly along and west of the Flint Hills.
Somewhat better chances arrive across mainly central Kansas toward
midnight. The strongest activity will be capable of strong wind
gusts and heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Off-and-on chances for showers and thunderstorms will continue
Saturday through next week. Periodic strong to marginally severe
thunderstorms are possible, along with heavy rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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