Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
500 PM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-141030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
500 PM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...Late Afternoon and Tonight.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Far Southeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing Through Sunset.
POOR VISIBILITY.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and Far Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...After Midnight.
DISCUSSION...
Shower and thunderstorm chances continue into tonight across much
of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas as one area of low
pressure lifts out of the region and a second one approaches from
the southwest. Through sunset a limited severe potential for
locally strong wind gusts exists over mainly far southeast
Oklahoma before instability weakens with loss of daytime heating.
With the amount of moisture in place across the region and
expected light winds tonight, patchy areas fog could develop
overnight into early Monday morning. The greater potential is
across northeast Oklahoma into far northwest Arkansas. Conditions
should improve by mid morning Monday.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dense Fog Potential.
TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorm chances continue Monday with the second area of low
pressure lifting through eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
Additional daily storm chances will continue through the week.
Severe weather is not anticipated to be widespread at this time,
but locally heavy rainfall will be a concern each day. Storms will
focus across the southeastern half of the area Tuesday before
expanding north Wednesday. A weak front will bring low chances for
storms closer to the Kansas and Missouri borders Thursday. Storm
chances will dwindle by the end of the week as ridging builds in
aloft. As this occurs temperatures will warm, with high heat
indices by next weekend.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
251 PM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025
KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-142000-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
251 PM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
Isolated showers and thunderstorms will impact areas primarily
along and east of I-135. The strongest activity will be capable of
locally heavy rainfall.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday
Patchy fog is possible early Monday morning across portions of
southeast Kansas.
After a brief break on Monday, thunderstorm chances will return
from Tuesday through Saturday. A few strong to severe thunderstorms
will be possible through the period along in addition to locally
heavy rain.
Heat indices approaching 100 degrees are expected across central
and south central Kansas on Tuesday and then again areawide on
Wednesday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated this afternoon or tonight.
&&
For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
146 PM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-141900-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
146 PM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Elevated lightning risk.
Elevated excessive rainfall risk
DISCUSSION...
Slow-moving showers and thunderstorms will be capable of
producing locally heavy rain that may lead to ponding of water and
isolated flash flooding. A few storms may be strong this evening,
capable of producing gusty winds to 50 mph.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
Active summertime weather continues next week with daily
thunderstorm chances in the afternoons and evenings.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket
This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf
$$
Runnels
