Flood Warning

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
Issued by National Weather Service Norman OK
904 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County.

&&

OKC115-170215-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-250618T0600Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.250615T1918Z.250616T1315Z.250618T0000Z.NO/
904 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Neosho River near Commerce.

* WHEN...Until early Wednesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 17.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs.
  Riverview Park experiences minor flooding.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 AM CDT Monday the stage was 17.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    tomorrow evening and continue falling and remain below flood
    stage.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510


$$

KS

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
0505 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-171005-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
0505 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.KEY MESSAGES...

- The threat for severe weather exist for Tuesday late afternoon
  into Tuesday night. The main threats are for damaging winds
  and large hail however, an isolated tornado cannot be ruled
  out.

- In addition to the severe threat on Tuesday into Tuesday
  night, heavy rain is expected which may lead to flash flooding
  as well as flooding along area rivers, creeks and streams.

- Growing confidence in the potential for hazardous heat toward
  the end of the week.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
503 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
503 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well
as much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Portions of Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Overnight tonight.

POOR VISIBILITY.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Before sunrise.

DISCUSSION...
Moist ground from recent rainfall may aid in the development of
fog across portions of northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas
before sunrise this morning. Visibility at times will drop below
1/2 mile especially in valleys and low spots.

Late tonight and into the overnight hours, an upper level
disturbance will move across the Plains and may help push
thunderstorms in the Central Plains into portions of northeast
Oklahoma after midnight. Still a lot of uncertainty with how
these storms evolve. This forecast may change later in the day
today. Stay tuned.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm...High Wind...
       ...and Dangerous Heat Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...High Wind Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Daytime temperatures will warm into the lower to middle 90s on
Tuesday. The combination of warm temperatures and high humidity
will create early season, dangerous heat conditions with heat
index values in the 100 to 105 degree range. Pop-up storms will
also be possible in the summertime airmass Tuesday afternoon. A
storm system will pass across the central Plains on Wednesday and
push a weak frontal boundary into the area. Storms are expected to
focus along the boundary Wednesday afternoon and evening and
bring the threat of large hail an damaging winds. Dangerous heat
will return for the end of the workweek and into the upcoming
weekend.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
336 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-170845-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
336 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025 /236 AM MDT Mon Jun 16 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
south central Kansas, southwest Kansas, and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

The marginal/slight risk for today covers the storm potential
including strong supercells in the far SW Kansas in the late
afternoon and MCS potential across the northern zones in the late
evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Tuesday a low-pressure system is expected to move through creating
an uncertain mode of severe storm development. The forecasted
environment appears favorable for all hazards, especially if a
more supercellular mode dominiates.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected to be needed Monday, but may be
needed on Tuesday if it becomes a higher end event.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
319 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-170830-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
319 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Storm chances return tonight into Tuesday morning, especially
across
central and northern Kansas. The strongest storms may produce
damaging wind gusts up to 70 mph and half dollar size hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Heat indices Tuesday afternoon are expected to approach 100 degrees
across portions of south central Kansas.

Additional storms are expected Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday
night. Any storm that develops Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday
evening will be capable of tennis ball size hail, damaging winds up
to 80 mph, and tornadoes. The storm hazards will transition to
damaging winds and heavy rainfall Tuesday night into Wednesday
morning.

More thunderstorms are possible across southeast Kansas Wednesday.

Heat indices are forecast to approach 100 degrees across the entire
area Friday and Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Hastings NE
318 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
170830-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
318 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

- Severe Thunderstorm Potential:
Primarily between 7 PM and 4 AM, our entire forecast area will be
under at least a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms, with some
counties along and north of Interstate 80 under an Enhanced Risk.
The exact timing and evolution of how storms develop is still
somewhat uncertain, but one of the most realistic scenarios
currently calls for storms to first develop both north and west of
our forecast area, then gradually merge into a larger-scale
complex that rolls through some or most of our area during the
later evening and overnight hours. The primary hazards with any
severe storms will be wind gusts as high as 60 to 70 MPH, hail up
to around ping pong ball size, and perhaps a brief tornado.
Localized heavy rainfall between 1 and 2 inches is also possible.

- Limited Afternoon Heat Concerns:
Afternoon heat index values could reach or slightly exceed 100
degrees today, mainly in a few of our far southwestern counties
such as Furnas, Harlan, Phillips and Rooks.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

- Tuesday Severe Thunderstorm Potential:
While exact details of timing and location are still somewhat
unclear, our entire forecast area is currently under at least a
Marginal-to-Slight Risk of severe storms Tuesday into Tuesday
night, with the overall-highest concerns focused within counties
along and south of the Nebraska-Kansas border. While a limited
amount of thunderstorm activity could occur during the daytime,
the majority of severe thunderstorm potential will probably focus
between 7 PM and 1 AM. The primary hazards currently appear to be
wind gusts to at least 60 MPH, hail up to around ping pong ball
size and perhaps a tornado or two.

- Heat Concerns Late This Week and Weekend:
On both Friday and Saturday afternoons, heat index values are
forecast to reach as high as 100 to 104 degrees across much of our
forecast area. For the vast majority of our area, this would mark
the first 100+ degree heat index concerns of the year.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report any thunderstorm-related severe
weather or damage that might occur this evening and overnight,
including wind gusts around 60 MPH or higher, and hail 1 inch
diameter or larger.

&&

More information may be obtained at the following web page:
   https://www.weather.gov/hastings

$$

Pfannkuch

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
314 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-170815-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
314 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Kansas, east central
Kansas, north central Kansas and northeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Scattered severe storms this evening may produce large hail to
quarter size and damaging wind gusts up to 70 mph. Impacted areas
are most likely over north central Kansas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

There is a low probability for severe storms to develop Tuesday
afternoon across portions of northeast and central Kansas. This
scenario is dependent on evolution of earlier convection, leading to
higher than average uncertainty. If storms develop, very large hail,
damaging wind gusts, and tornadoes are possible.

A cluster of severe storms is expected to develop and move east and
southeast late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. All hazards
remain possible, including the risk for flash flooding with the slow
moving storms.

&&

More detailed information can be found at:
www.weather.gov/media/top/DssPacket.pdf

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
255 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-170800-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
255 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited lightning risk.
  Elevated excessive rainfall risk

DISCUSSION...

Showers and embedded thunderstorms with heavy rain will remain
possible today, mainly over the eastern Ozarks. Cloud to ground
lightning and localized flooding will continue to be the main
hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Severe thunderstorms are possible late Tuesday night with
damaging winds and large hail as the main hazards. A greater
severe risk for much of the area is then possible Wednesday.
There are still some uncertainties in storm mode, but all hazards
could be possible.

Heat index values from the mid 90s to lower 100s will be possible
late in the week into next weekend.



.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Lindenberg