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Flood Warning


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
842 PM EDT Wed Aug 21 2019

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following
rivers in Florida...

  Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
  Horse Creek Near Arcadia

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Peace River At Bartow
  Peace River At Zolfo Springs
  Peace River At Arcadia

.More typical summer time pattern this week will allow river levels
to slowly recede over the coming days. However, any slow moving
thunderstorm producing heavy rain across a particular basin
may cause additional flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC027-230040-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.2.ER.190806T0707Z.190819T2200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
842 PM EDT Wed Aug 21 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* Until further notice.
* At 07 PM Wednesday the stage was 13.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to a stage of 13.2 feet by Friday
  morning.
* Impact...at 14.0 feet...Peace River Campground floods and 6 homes
  at River Acres are impacted.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...Peace River Estates floods affecting
  several dozen homes.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The Girl Scout camp floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become
  flooded.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...3 to 4 homes in the river acres
  subdivision flood and the lowest portion of the girl scout camp
  floods.
* Flood history...This compares to a previous crest of 13.8 feet
  on Oct 3 1979.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Peace
 Arcadia      11.0  13.8  Wed 07 PM  13.2   12.6   12.0   11.4    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186



$$

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
842 PM EDT Wed Aug 21 2019

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following
rivers in Florida...

  Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
  Horse Creek Near Arcadia

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Peace River At Bartow
  Peace River At Zolfo Springs
  Peace River At Arcadia

.More typical summer time pattern this week will allow river levels
to slowly recede over the coming days. However, any slow moving
thunderstorm producing heavy rain across a particular basin
may cause additional flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC027-230040-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-190823T0900Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.190811T1900Z.190820T0015Z.190823T0300Z.NO/
842 PM EDT Wed Aug 21 2019

...Flood Warning extended until late Thursday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* Until late Thursday night.
* At 07 PM Wednesday the stage was 12.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by tomorrow late
  evening.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is
  impassable.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Secondary roads in hidden acres and royal
  palm begin to flood.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Two homes become isolated.
* Flood history...This compares to a previous crest of 12.8 feet
  on Jul 2 2002.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0  12.8  Wed 07 PM  11.7   11.0   10.3    9.7    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
842 PM EDT Wed Aug 21 2019

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following
rivers in Florida...

  Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
  Horse Creek Near Arcadia

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Peace River At Bartow
  Peace River At Zolfo Springs
  Peace River At Arcadia

.More typical summer time pattern this week will allow river levels
to slowly recede over the coming days. However, any slow moving
thunderstorm producing heavy rain across a particular basin
may cause additional flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC115-230040-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-190825T0600Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.190812T0730Z.190819T1145Z.190825T0000Z.NO/
842 PM EDT Wed Aug 21 2019

...Flood Warning extended until late Saturday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until late Saturday night.
* At 08 PM Wednesday the stage was 7.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Saturday
  evening.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at
  Myakka State Park flood.
* Flood history...This compares to a previous crest of 7.6 feet
  on Jul 25 1943.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.6  Wed 08 PM   7.2    7.0    6.9    6.8    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Key West FL
447 AM EDT Thu Aug 22 2019

FLZ076>078-GMZ031>035-042>044-052>055-072>075-230900-
Monroe Upper Keys-Monroe Middle Keys-Monroe Lower Keys-
Florida Bay including Barnes Sound, Blackwater Sound, and
Buttonwood Sound-
Bayside and Gulf side from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge-
Gulf waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee 20 to 60 NM out
and beyond 5 fathoms-
Gulf of Mexico including Dry Tortugas and Rebecca Shoal Channel-
Gulf of Mexico from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon
Shoal out to 5 Fathoms-
Hawk Channel from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out to the reef-
Hawk Channel from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge out
to the reef-
Hawk Channel from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon Shoal
out to the reef-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of
Halfmoon Shoal out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry
Tortugas out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of
Halfmoon Shoal 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry
Tortugas 20 to 60 NM out-
447 AM EDT Thu Aug 22 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Florida Keys and
adjacent coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are anticipated along the
Florida Keys and the adjacent nearshore and surrounding offshore
coastal waters.

The primary thunderstorm hazards will be cloud to surface
lightning strikes and strong gusty winds.

In addition, light to gentle winds combined with plenty of low
level moisture should allow wet cloud line genesis. Within these
large towering cumulus clouds with dark flat bases, there is a
good chance for waterspouts.

Remember, waterspouts can easily overturn small vessels. If you
sight a waterspout, determine the direction its moving and get
away.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are anticipated along the
island chain and the surrounding coastal waters.

The primary thunderstorm hazards will be cloud to surface
lightning strikes and gusty winds.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters should keep a close look out for the possibility of
waterspouts. If you sight a waterspout, please call your National
Weather Service right here in Key West at 305 295 1316 then
select 3. Thank you.

$$

APA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
415 AM EDT Thu Aug 22 2019

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-222015-
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to Volusia-
Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Inland Volusia-
Northern Lake-Orange-Seminole-Southern Brevard-Osceola-
Indian River-Okeechobee-St. Lucie-Martin-Coastal Volusia-
Southern Lake-Northern Brevard-
415 AM EDT Thu Aug 22 2019

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A relatively dry airmass over central Florida will result in
low coverage for showers and lightning storms today. Isolated
storms will initially form along the east coast sea breeze around
midday and push inland at 10 to 15 mph. Storm will remain isolated
through the afternoon as the sea breeze pushes inland, with
highest chances west of the Orlando Metroplex. Stronger storms
will be capable of producing wind gusts over 40 mph, dangerous
lightning, and heavy rain. Cease outdoor activity and move
indoors at the first sign of threatening weather, especially if
thunder is heard.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
Thunderstorms will be capable of producing wind gusts above 35
knots across inland lakes this afternoon and evening. Storm
motion today will be west-northwest around 10 knots.

.RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
The Saint Johns River near Geneva remains in action stage with a
slow rise in the river level expected. When action stage is
reached, no wake zones go into effect and county parks are closed
for areas east of Lake Monroe to Lake Harney.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
Shower and thunderstorm activity will increase into the weekend as
an easterly wave approaches Florida. Showers and thunderstorms
are likely over much of Florida this weekend as the wave pushes
across the state and into the Gulf of Mexico. Inland locations
will continue to be favored for higher storm coverage.

River levels along the Saint Johns River near Geneva will continue
to slowly rise and remain above action stage into early next week.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed today and tonight.

$$

Bragaw

Hazardous Weather Outlook for South Florida
National Weather Service Miami FL
404 AM EDT Thu Aug 22 2019

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
222015-
Lake Okeechobee-Biscayne Bay-
Coastal waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL from 20 to 60 NM
excluding the territorial waters of Bahamas-Glades-Hendry-
Inland Palm Beach-Metro Palm Beach-Coastal Collier-Inland Collier-
Inland Broward-Metro Broward-Inland Miami-Dade-Metro Miami-Dade-
Mainland Monroe-Coastal Palm Beach-Coastal Broward-Coastal Miami-
Dade-Far South Miami-Dade-
Coastal waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
404 AM EDT Thu Aug 22 2019

...Thunderstorms Possible Across South Florida Today...

This hazardous weather outlook is for South Florida.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Thunderstorms: Thunderstorms are possible across South Florida today.
The best chances for storms will be the western interior and Gulf
coast this afternoon. The main hazards will be lightning and street
flooding.

Waterspouts: There is a slight chance of waterspouts across all South
Florida waters.

Flooding: Street flooding is possible for portions of Collier
County, especially in areas with poor drainage and in low lying
areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

Thunderstorm coverage is forecast to increase across South Florida
for the remainder of the week. Lightning and some minor street flooding
are the main hazards from the storms.

The heat index may reach around 105 degrees for a few hours in the
late morning and early afternoon through the rest of the week, mainly
in the interior areas.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected tonight.

For more information...visit the National Weather Service in
Miami website at www.weather.gov/miami.

$$


Short Term Forecast


Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Key West FL
549 AM EDT Thu Aug 22 2019

FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-035-042>044-052>054-072>074-221100-
Monroe Upper Keys-Monroe Middle Keys-Monroe Lower Keys-
Florida Bay including Barnes Sound, Blackwater Sound, and Buttonwood
Sound-
Bayside and Gulf side from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge-
Gulf waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee 20 to 60 NM out and
beyond 5 fathoms-
Gulf of Mexico from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon Shoal
out to 5 Fathoms-
Hawk Channel from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out to the reef-
Hawk Channel from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge out to
the reef-
Hawk Channel from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon Shoal
out to the reef-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge
out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of
Halfmoon Shoal out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge
20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of
Halfmoon Shoal 20 to 60 NM out-
Including the Communities of Key Largo, Marathon, and Key West
549 AM EDT Thu Aug 22 2019

.NOW...
Through 700 am, scattered showers will move west at 5 to 10 knots
across parts of the Florida Keys and the surrounding coastal waters.
Showers will be most concentrated across Florida Bay, and over the
Lower Keys and adjacent waters. Mariners may encounter wind gusts
around 25 knots, heavy downpours reducing visibilities to less than 3
miles, and perhaps an occasional lightning strike. On land, some
areas from Key Largo to Key West will see rainfall amounts ranging
from less than one tenth of an inch up to a half inch.

$$

Jacobson

Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Key West FL
450 AM EDT Thu Aug 22 2019

FLZ076>078-GMZ031>035-042>044-052>055-072>075-221000-
Monroe Upper Keys-Monroe Middle Keys-Monroe Lower Keys-
Florida Bay including Barnes Sound, Blackwater Sound, and Buttonwood
Sound-
Bayside and Gulf side from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge-
Gulf waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee 20 to 60 NM out and
beyond 5 fathoms-
Gulf of Mexico including Dry Tortugas and Rebecca Shoal Channel-
Gulf of Mexico from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon Shoal
out to 5 Fathoms-
Hawk Channel from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out to the reef-
Hawk Channel from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge out to
the reef-
Hawk Channel from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon Shoal
out to the reef-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge
out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of
Halfmoon Shoal out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry Tortugas
out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge
20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of
Halfmoon Shoal 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry Tortugas
20 to 60 NM out-
Including the Communities of Key Largo, Marathon, and Key West
450 AM EDT Thu Aug 22 2019

.NOW...
Through 600 am, scattered showers will move west at 5 to 10 knots
across parts of the Florida Keys and the surrounding coastal waters.
Mariners may encounter wind gusts around 25 knots, heavy downpours
reducing visibilities to less than 3 miles, and perhaps an occasional
lightning strike. On land, many areas in the Lower Keys will see
rainfall amounts from one tenth of an inch up to one half inch,
while elsewhere some locations in the Middle and Upper Keys may see
a passing shower with rainfall amounts up to one tenth of an inch.

$$

Jacobson

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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