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Hurricane Warning


Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL
359 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico

Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average
height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be
more than twice the significant wave height.

GMZ047-062100-
SE Gulf from 22N to 26N E of 87W including Straits of Florida-
359 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

...HURRICANE WARNING...

.TODAY...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. S of 24N, E winds
15 to 20 kt, becoming NE to E 25 to 30 kt in the afternoon. N of
24N, E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered tstms.
.TONIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 24N, NE winds
50 to 55 kt, becoming N 70 to 80 kt late. N of 24N, NE
to E winds 25 to 30 kt, increasing to 50 to 55 kt late.
Seas 9 to 13 ft in E swell, building to 14 to 21 ft in E swell
late. Scattered tstms.
.THU...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 24N, W winds 60 to
70 kt, becoming SW 45 to 50 kt in the afternoon. N of 24N, E
winds 70 to 80 kt. Seas 16 to 24 ft in E swell. Scattered tstms.
.THU NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 24N, S to SW
winds 35 to 40 kt, becoming SE to S 25 to 30 kt late. N
of 24N, E to SE winds 70 to 80 kt, shifting to SE 55 to 65 kt
late. Seas 15 to 23 ft in E swell. Scattered showers
and isolated tstms.
.FRI...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. S of 24N, SE to S winds
20 to 25 kt. N of 24N, SE winds 35 to 40 kt, diminishing to 25 to
30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 to 13 ft in SW to W swell.
.FRI NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.
.SAT...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

$$


Tropical Storm Warning


URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Key West FL
521 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

GMZ032>035-043-044-053>055-073>075-061830-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Bayside and Gulf side from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge-
Gulf waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee 20 to 60 NM out
and beyond 5 fathoms-
Gulf of Mexico including Dry Tortugas and Rebecca Shoal Channel-
Gulf of Mexico from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon
Shoal out to 5 Fathoms-
Hawk Channel from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge out
to the reef-
Hawk Channel from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon Shoal
out to the reef-
Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of
Halfmoon Shoal out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry
Tortugas out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of
Halfmoon Shoal 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry
Tortugas 20 to 60 NM out-
521 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

* WHAT...East to southeast winds near 25 knots, becoming southeast
  and increasing to 30 to 40 knots with gusts up to 55 knots. Seas
  will build to a range from 12 to 19 feet across the Straits of
  Florida and the Gulf waters surrounding the Dry Tortugas.

* WHERE...Straits of Florida and Hawk Channel west of Craig Key,
  the Gulf and Bayside, and the Gulf waters including the Dry
  Tortugas.

* WHEN...Tropical Storm force winds expected from this evening
  until Thursday morning.

* IMPACTS...A Tropical Storm Warning means that sustained winds
  of 34 to 63 knots associated with a tropical storm are
  expected within 36 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

Rafael Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 11
National Weather Service Key West FL  AL182024
415 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

FLZ077-061715-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Monroe Middle Keys-
415 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
    - Marathon
    - Key Colony Beach
    - Layton

* WIND
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
        - Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 35 mph

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
      to 57 mph
        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
          force.
        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect property should be
          completed as soon as possible. Prepare for limited wind
          damage.
        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees
          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown
          over.
        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within
          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving
          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.
        - Scattered power and communications outages.

* STORM SURGE
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible
        - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for up to 2 feet
          above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
        - Window of concern: through Thursday morning

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
      surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground
        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - PLAN: Plan for storm surge flooding greater than 1 foot
          above ground.
        - PREPARE: Complete preparations for storm surge flooding,
          especially in low-lying vulnerable areas, before conditions
          become unsafe.
        - ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for
          your area.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
        - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
          immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
          farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
        - Sections of roads and parking lots inundated by surge
          water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where surge
          water covers the road.
        - Moderate beach erosion.
        - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks,
          boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away from
          moorings.

* FLOODING RAIN
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional around 1 inch

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for
      localized flooding rain
        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
          the previous assessment.
        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
          localized flooding from heavy rain.
        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area
          vulnerable to flooding.
        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
        - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
        - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in
          usually vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding
          of water occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor
          drainage areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds
          become near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and
          bridge closures.

* TORNADO
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
        - Situation is favorable for tornadoes

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several
      tornadoes
        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
          several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger
          damage paths.
        - PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are
          urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather
          arrives.
        - ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado
          warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
        - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the
          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
        - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few
          spots of considerable damage, power loss, and
          communications failures.
        - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
          homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped
          or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed
          about. Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.

* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
    - Family emergency plans: Federal Emergency Management Agency
        - http://ready.gov/
    - Local weather conditions and forecasts: NOAA/Florida Keys National Weather Service
        - http://www.weather.gov/key/

$$

NB

Rafael Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 11
National Weather Service Key West FL  AL182024
415 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

FLZ078-061715-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Monroe Lower Keys-
415 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
    - Key West
    - Sugarloaf Key
    - Big Pine Key

* WIND
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
        - Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 40 mph

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
      to 57 mph
        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
          force.
        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect property should be
          completed as soon as possible. Prepare for limited wind
          damage.
        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees
          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown
          over.
        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within
          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving
          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.
        - Scattered power and communications outages.

* STORM SURGE
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible
        - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for up to 2 feet
          above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
        - Window of concern: through Thursday morning

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
      surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground
        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - PLAN: Plan for storm surge flooding greater than 1 foot
          above ground.
        - PREPARE: Complete preparations for storm surge flooding,
          especially in low-lying vulnerable areas, before conditions
          become unsafe.
        - ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for
          your area.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
        - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
          immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
          farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
        - Sections of roads and parking lots inundated by surge
          water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where surge
          water covers the road.
        - Moderate beach erosion.
        - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks,
          boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away from
          moorings.

* FLOODING RAIN
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 1-3 inches, with locally
          higher amounts

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for
      localized flooding rain
        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
          the previous assessment.
        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
          localized flooding from heavy rain.
        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area
          vulnerable to flooding.
        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
        - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
        - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in
          usually vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding
          of water occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor
          drainage areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds
          become near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and
          bridge closures.

* TORNADO
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
        - Situation is favorable for tornadoes

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several
      tornadoes
        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
          several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger
          damage paths.
        - PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are
          urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather
          arrives.
        - ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado
          warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
        - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the
          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
        - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few
          spots of considerable damage, power loss, and
          communications failures.
        - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
          homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped
          or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed
          about. Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.

* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
    - Family emergency plans: Federal Emergency Management Agency
        - http://ready.gov/
    - Local weather conditions and forecasts: NOAA/Florida Keys National Weather Service
        - http://www.weather.gov/key/

$$

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Miami FL
1022 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024

GMZ676-070400-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
1022 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* WHAT...East winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 40 kt and seas 6
  to 9 ft.

* WHERE...Waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL from 20 to
  60 NM.

* WHEN...Tropical Storm conditions possible Wednesday afternoon
  through Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Tropical storm force winds and hazardous seas will
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$


High Surf Advisory


Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
153 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

FLZ141-154-159-164-347-447-647-747-062100-
/O.EXT.KMLB.RP.S.0035.000000T0000Z-241108T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.SU.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-241106T2100Z/
Coastal Volusia-Coastal Indian River-Coastal Saint Lucie-
Coastal Martin-Mainland Northern Brevard-
Northern Brevard Barrier Islands-Mainland Southern Brevard-
Southern Brevard Barrier Islands-
153 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents.
  For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 5 to 7
  feet in the surf zone.

* WHERE...Coastal Volusia, Brevard, Indian River, Saint Lucie, and
  Martin counties.

* WHEN...For the High Rip Current Risk, through late Thursday
  night. For the High Surf Advisory, until 4 PM EST this
  afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and
  localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best
  swimmers away from shore into deeper water.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High surf will affect the beaches in the advisory area, producing
localized beach erosion and dangerous swimming conditions.
Swimmers should remain out of the water due to large breaking
waves and dangerous surf conditions.

Rip currents are powerful channels of water flowing quickly away
from shore, which occur most often at low spots or breaks in the
sandbar and in the vicinity of structures such as jetties and
piers. Heed the advice of lifeguards, beach patrol flags and
signs.

Entering the surf is strongly discouraged. If caught in a rip
current, relax and float. Don`t swim against the current. If
able, swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.

&&

$$

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Miami FL
1023 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024

FLZ168-172-070415-
/O.CON.KMFL.SU.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-241108T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMFL.RP.S.0042.000000T0000Z-241108T0000Z/
Coastal Palm Beach County-Coastal Broward County-
1023 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING...

* WHAT...For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 6 to
  8 feet in the surf zone. For the High Rip Current Risk,
  dangerous rip currents.

* WHERE...Coastal Palm Beach County and Coastal Broward County.

* WHEN...For the High Surf Advisory, until 7 PM EST Thursday.
  For the High Rip Current Risk, through Thursday evening.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and
  localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best
  swimmers away from shore into deeper water.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.

Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and
float. Don`t swim against the current. If able, swim in a
direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the
shore and call or wave for help.

&&

$$


Small Craft Advisory


URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Key West FL
521 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

GMZ031-042-052-072-061830-
/O.CON.KKEY.SC.Y.0043.000000T0000Z-241107T1200Z/
Florida Bay including Barnes Sound, Blackwater Sound, and
Buttonwood Sound-
Hawk Channel from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out to the reef-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key 20 to 60 NM out-
521 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT...

* WHAT...East winds 20 to 25 knots, becoming east to southeast
  and increasing to near 25 knots. Seas building up to 9 feet in
  the Straits of Florida.

* WHERE...Straits of Florida and Hawk Channel east of Craig Key,
  and Florida Bay.

* WHEN...In Effect.

* IMPACTS...A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 20
  to 33 knots, or seas of 7 feet or greater, are expected to
  produce hazardous conditions for small craft. These hazardous
  conditions may result in poor vessel handling and steering
  response, broaching, overturned dinghies and kayaks, slips and
  falls on slippery decks, rub damage along docks and seawalls,
  swamped bows at reef tract mooring balls, and dragging anchors.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced boaters, especially those with smaller vessels,
should avoid operating in these conditions.

&&

$$

NB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
346 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

GMZ830-836-853-856-870-873-876-081200-
/O.NEW.KTBW.SC.Y.0029.241106T2100Z-241108T1200Z/
Tampa Bay waters-Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound-
Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-
346 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots and
  seas 4 to 7 feet expected.

* WHERE...Portions of Gulf of Mexico.

* WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds and seas will increase Wednesday
  afternoon as Hurricane Rafael approaches the Gulf waters. High
  winds and elevated seas will continue into Friday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
150 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

AMZ550-552-555-071800-
/O.CON.KMLB.SC.Y.0051.000000T0000Z-241107T1800Z/
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-
150 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30
  knots and seas 6 to 9 feet.

* WHERE...Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm,
  Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm and
  Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
150 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

AMZ572-575-071800-
/O.CON.KMLB.SC.Y.0051.000000T0000Z-241108T0000Z/
Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-
150 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30
  knots and seas 7 to 10 feet.

* WHERE...Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60
  nm and Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Miami FL
1022 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024

AMZ610-070400-
/O.CON.KMFL.SC.Y.0042.000000T0000Z-241107T1200Z/
Lake Okeechobee-
1022 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt.

* WHERE...Lake Okeechobee.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

A sudden onset of rough seas may cause hazardous conditions,
which may occur suddenly at jetties and inlets. These conditions
could catch boaters by surprise. Boaters should use caution when
entering or exiting the inlets and jetty areas.

&&

$$

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Miami FL
1022 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024

AMZ630-070400-
/O.CON.KMFL.SC.Y.0042.000000T0000Z-241108T0000Z/
Biscayne Bay-
1022 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt.

* WHERE...Biscayne Bay.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

A sudden onset of rough seas may cause hazardous conditions,
which may occur suddenly at jetties and inlets. These conditions
could catch boaters by surprise. Boaters should use caution when
entering or exiting the inlets and jetty areas.

&&

$$

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Miami FL
1022 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024

AMZ650-651-670-671-070400-
/O.CON.KMFL.SC.Y.0043.000000T0000Z-241108T0000Z/
Coastal waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL from 20 to 60 NM
excluding the territorial waters of Bahamas-
1022 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 7
  to 10 ft.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach
  FL out 20 NM, Coastal waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean
  Reef FL out 20 NM, Waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield
  Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM and Waters from Deerfield Beach to
  Ocean Reef FL from 20 to 60 NM excluding the territorial
  waters of Bahamas.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

A sudden onset of rough seas may cause hazardous conditions,
which may occur suddenly at jetties and inlets. These conditions
could catch boaters by surprise. Boaters should use caution when
entering or exiting the inlets and jetty areas.

&&

$$

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Miami FL
1022 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024

GMZ656-657-070400-
/O.CON.KMFL.SC.Y.0042.000000T0000Z-241108T0000Z/
Coastal waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee FL out 20 NM-
1022 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL out
  20 NM and Coastal waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee
  FL out 20 NM.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

A sudden onset of rough seas may cause hazardous conditions,
which may occur suddenly at jetties and inlets. These conditions
could catch boaters by surprise. Boaters should use caution when
entering or exiting the inlets and jetty areas.

&&

$$


Rip Current Statement


Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
153 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

FLZ141-154-159-164-347-447-647-747-062100-
/O.EXT.KMLB.RP.S.0035.000000T0000Z-241108T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.SU.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-241106T2100Z/
Coastal Volusia-Coastal Indian River-Coastal Saint Lucie-
Coastal Martin-Mainland Northern Brevard-
Northern Brevard Barrier Islands-Mainland Southern Brevard-
Southern Brevard Barrier Islands-
153 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents.
  For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 5 to 7
  feet in the surf zone.

* WHERE...Coastal Volusia, Brevard, Indian River, Saint Lucie, and
  Martin counties.

* WHEN...For the High Rip Current Risk, through late Thursday
  night. For the High Surf Advisory, until 4 PM EST this
  afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and
  localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best
  swimmers away from shore into deeper water.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High surf will affect the beaches in the advisory area, producing
localized beach erosion and dangerous swimming conditions.
Swimmers should remain out of the water due to large breaking
waves and dangerous surf conditions.

Rip currents are powerful channels of water flowing quickly away
from shore, which occur most often at low spots or breaks in the
sandbar and in the vicinity of structures such as jetties and
piers. Heed the advice of lifeguards, beach patrol flags and
signs.

Entering the surf is strongly discouraged. If caught in a rip
current, relax and float. Don`t swim against the current. If
able, swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.

&&

$$

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Miami FL
1023 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024

FLZ168-172-070415-
/O.CON.KMFL.SU.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-241108T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMFL.RP.S.0042.000000T0000Z-241108T0000Z/
Coastal Palm Beach County-Coastal Broward County-
1023 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING...

* WHAT...For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 6 to
  8 feet in the surf zone. For the High Rip Current Risk,
  dangerous rip currents.

* WHERE...Coastal Palm Beach County and Coastal Broward County.

* WHEN...For the High Surf Advisory, until 7 PM EST Thursday.
  For the High Rip Current Risk, through Thursday evening.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and
  localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best
  swimmers away from shore into deeper water.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.

Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and
float. Don`t swim against the current. If able, swim in a
direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the
shore and call or wave for help.

&&

$$

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Miami FL
1023 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024

FLZ173-070415-
/O.CON.KMFL.RP.S.0042.000000T0000Z-241108T0000Z/
Coastal Miami Dade County-
1023 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING...

* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents.

* WHERE...Coastal Miami Dade County.

* WHEN...Through Thursday evening.

* IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away
  from shore into deeper water.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and
float. Don`t swim against the current. If able, swim in a
direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the
shore and call or wave for help.

&&

$$


Coastal Flood Statement


Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Key West FL
508 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

FLZ076>078-061815-
/O.EXT.KKEY.CF.S.0011.000000T0000Z-241107T1200Z/
Monroe Upper Keys-Monroe Middle Keys-Monroe Lower Keys-
508 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

...COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT IN EFFECT...

* WHAT...Minor saltwater flooding associated with late season King
  Tides will continue across the Florida Keys. As Hurricane Rafael
  makes its closest approach tonight, peak water levels may reach
  2 feet above mean higher high water for Atlantic side
  communities, or about 1 foot higher than recent high tides. A
  Coastal Flood Advisory may be required later today.

* WHERE...Florida Keys.

* WHEN...Through Thursday morning.

* IMPACTS...Minor saltwater flooding of low elevation streets and
  lots is likely. Some storm drains will overflow, and some
  seawalls and docks will be overtopped. Boaters can expect less
  clearance under fixed bridges. Motorists should remember that
  persistent puddles around the times of high tide are almost
  certain to contain a mix of saltwater.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded roadways.

&&

$$

NB


Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Key West FL
457 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

FLZ076>078-GMZ031>035-042>044-052>055-072>075-071000-
Monroe Upper Keys-Monroe Middle Keys-Monroe Lower Keys-
Florida Bay including Barnes Sound, Blackwater Sound, and
Buttonwood Sound-
Bayside and Gulf side from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge-
Gulf waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee 20 to 60 NM out
and beyond 5 fathoms-
Gulf of Mexico including Dry Tortugas and Rebecca Shoal Channel-
Gulf of Mexico from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon
Shoal out to 5 Fathoms-
Hawk Channel from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out to the reef-
Hawk Channel from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge out
to the reef-
Hawk Channel from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon Shoal
out to the reef-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of
Halfmoon Shoal out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry
Tortugas out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of
Halfmoon Shoal 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry
Tortugas 20 to 60 NM out-
457 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Florida Keys and
adjacent coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the Lower and Middle
Florida Keys, including the adjacent coastal waters west of the
Channel Five Bridge, due to Hurricane Rafael. Small Craft
Advisories remain in effect for the coastal waters east of Craig
Key, including Florida Bay.

Coastal flooding, including the potential for saltwater flooding
of oceanside portions of the Florida Keys today and tonight.
Water levels could reach up 2 feet above mean higher high water,
or about a foot higher than recent high tides.

There is a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) of severe thunderstorms,
including a few tornadoes today and tonight. The most potent
thundery squalls will be capable of localized wind gusts of 50 to
60 mph.

Locally heavy rainfall is possible from passing squalls,
resulting in flooding of streets and poor drainage areas.
Storm total rainfall likely will approach 1 to 3 inches.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Small Craft Advisories will likely be required through Friday
morning as Rafael pulls away from the Keys. Small Craft Advisories
may be required once again Saturday night and Sunday for
freshening easterly breezes.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

NB

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Miami FL
350 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
070900-
Lake Okeechobee-Biscayne Bay-
Coastal waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL from 20 to 60 NM
excluding the territorial waters of Bahamas-Glades-Hendry-
Inland Palm Beach County-Metro Palm Beach County-
Coastal Collier County-Inland Collier County-Inland Broward County-
Metro Broward County-Inland Miami-Dade County-
Metropolitan Miami Dade-Mainland Monroe-Coastal Palm Beach County-
Coastal Broward County-Coastal Miami Dade County-Far South Miami-
Dade County-
Coastal waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
350 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

...Isolated Tornadoes Possible: Southwest Florida...
...Hazardous Marine and Beach Conditions This Week...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters,
southeast Florida, southern Florida, southwest Florida and Gulf of
Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Tornadoes: A brief tornado cannot be ruled out in associated with
outer bands from Hurricane Rafael.

Rip Currents: A high risk for rip currents will continue for all
Atlantic Coast beaches.

Marine: Hazardous winds and seas continue for all South Florida
waters. See latest MWW product for details.

Surf: Large breaking waves in the surf zone of 6 to 8 feet will
occur along the beaches of Palm Beach and Broward Counties.

Wind: Breezy winds out of the east may gust up to 35 mph along the
Atlantic coast.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

A high risk of rip currents will remain in place for the Atlantic
Coast beaches throughout most of the week. Large breaking waves may
develop in the surf zone along the Atlantic Coast beaches through
the middle portion of the week resulting in dangerous beach
conditions during this time frame.

Hazardous marine conditions are likely across all local waters
through today and early Thursday in associated with the presence of
Hurricane Rafael over the Gulf of Mexico.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
304 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159-
164-247-254-259-264-347-447-547-647-747-070000-
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to Volusia-
Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Inland Volusia-
Northern Lake-Orange-Seminole-Osceola-Okeechobee-Coastal Volusia-
Southern Lake-Coastal Indian River-Coastal Saint Lucie-
Coastal Martin-Inland Northern Brevard-Inland Indian River-
Inland Saint Lucie-Inland Martin-Mainland Northern Brevard-
Northern Brevard Barrier Islands-Inland Southern Brevard-
Mainland Southern Brevard-Southern Brevard Barrier Islands-
304 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Isolated lightning storms will be possible across east central
Florida today and tonight. Primary storm threats include
occasional lightning strikes, brief gusty winds and torrential
downpours.

.HIGH WIND IMPACT...
East to Southeast winds will continue to gust up to 30 mph along
the Space and Treasure coasts today.

.RIP CURRENT AND SURF IMPACT...
A High risk of numerous, strong, life-threatening rip currents
continues at all central Florida Atlantic beaches. Entering the
water is highly discouraged. In addition, rough surf will be
present at area beaches with breaking waves of 5 to 7 feet
expected in the surf zone.

.WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
Sustained east to southeast winds between 15 and 25 knots, highest
across the Gulf Stream, combined with seas of 7 to 10 feet will
produce hazardous conditions for small craft operators.

.RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
The Saint Johns River continues a slow decline, remaining in
Moderate Flood Stage at Astor and in Minor Flood Stage near Lake
Harney, Deland, and Sanford. Interests along the Saint Johns
River near these points will continue to experience minor to
moderate flood impacts for the foreseeable future.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
Poor to hazardous beach and boating conditions continue into
Thursday, including rough surf and a high risk of rip currents.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed today and tonight.

$$

Sedlock


Short Term Forecast


Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Key West FL
856 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

FLZ076>078-GMZ031-042-052-061500-
Monroe Upper Keys-Monroe Middle Keys-Monroe Lower Keys-
Florida Bay including Barnes Sound, Blackwater Sound, and Buttonwood
Sound-Hawk Channel from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out to the reef-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out 20 NM-
Including the Communities of Key Largo, Marathon, and Key West
856 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

.NOW...
Through 10 am, numerous showers will race north to northwest through
the coastal waters surrounding the Upper Keys and across the island
chain. This activity will be capable of bouts of moderate to heavy
downpours reducing visbilities and wind gusts of up to 30 to 35
knots. Island communities across the chain can see up to tenth of an
inch in rainfall and wind gusts of up to 35 to 40 mph as showers zip
past.

$$

Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Key West FL
816 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

FLZ076>078-GMZ031-042-052-072-061430-
Monroe Upper Keys-Monroe Middle Keys-Monroe Lower Keys-
Florida Bay including Barnes Sound, Blackwater Sound, and Buttonwood
Sound-Hawk Channel from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out to the reef-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key 20 to 60 NM out-
Including the Communities of Key Largo, Marathon, and Key West
816 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

.NOW...
Through 9 am, numerous showers will race north to northwest through
the coastal waters surrounding the Upper Keys and across the island
chain. This activity will be capable of bouts of moderate to heavy
downpours reducing visbilities and wind gusts of up to 30 to 35
knots. Island communities across the chain can see up to tenth of an
inch in rainfall and wind gusts of up to 35 to 40 mph as showers zip
past.

$$


Hurricane Local Statement


Hurricane Rafael Local Statement Advisory Number 11
FLZ076>078-061800-

Hurricane Rafael Local Statement Advisory Number 11
National Weather Service Key West FL  AL182024
449 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2024

This product covers the Florida Keys

**TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE
KEYS**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Monroe Lower Keys and
      Monroe Middle Keys

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 270 miles south of Key West FL or about 280 miles south
      of Marathon FL
    - 20.6N 81.3W
    - Storm Intensity 90 mph
    - Movement Northwest or 315 degrees at 14 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

At 400 AM EST, the center of Hurricane Rafael was located in the
Caribbean Sea about 195 miles south-southeast of Havana, Cuba. Rafael
is moving toward the northwest at 14 mph. This northwestward motion is
expected to continue for next day or so, followed by a gradual turn to
the west-northwest in the Gulf of Mexico. On the forecast track, the
storm is expected to move over western Cuba today, and move into the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico by tonight. There is high confidence in a
forecast track across west-central Cuba into the southeastern Gulf of
Mexico, passing to the southwest and west of the Florida Keys. Due to
some uncertainty in the exact structure and track of the storm, there
remains a bit uncertainty in the level of degree of impacts for the
island chain.

The potential for sustained tropical storm force winds are now just
below one in five at Key West, and just below one in ten at Marathon
and Layton. Tropical storm force winds will most likely arrive
this evening. There is a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) of severe
thunderstorms today and tonight, including the potential for a few
tornadoes. The most potent thundery squalls will be capable of
localized wind gusts of 50 to 60 mph.

Saltwater flooding for oceanside portions of the Florida Keys could
reach up to 2 feet above mean higher high water today and tonight, or
about a foot higher than recent high tides.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across the
Lower and Middle Keys. Potential impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* SURGE:
Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
across the Florida Keys. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of roads and parking lots inundated by surge water.
      Driving conditions dangerous in places where surge water covers
      the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across the Florida Keys. Potential impacts include:
    - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
      near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge
      closures.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a dangerous tornado event having possible significant
impacts across the Lower Keys. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
      of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.
    - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
      homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or
      uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about.
      Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.

Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across the
Middle and Upper Keys.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

Keep cell phones well charged. Cell phone chargers for automobiles
can be helpful, but be aware of your risk for deadly carbon monoxide
poisoning if your car is left idling in a garage or other poorly
ventilated area.

If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not
prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter
options.

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, or on a boat, consider moving to a safer
shelter before the onset of strong winds or flooding.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For Monroe County Emergency Management Information, see
  monroecountyem.com
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For Florida Division of Emergency Management information, see
  floridadisaster.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Key West FL around 11 AM EST, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$

NB

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE