Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1222 PM CST Thu Feb 12 2026
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-131830-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
1222 PM CST Thu Feb 12 2026
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.
FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing.
DISCUSSION...
A limited threat for rapid fire spread will continue this
afternoon across mainly northeast Oklahoma, where southerly winds
gusting 20 to 25 mph have developed and dew points have been slow
to increase. Conditions will improve toward sunset.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm and Heavy Rain Potential.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm...High Wind...and Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY...High Wind Potential.
MONDAY...No Hazards.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...High Wind Potential.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Showers and scattered thunderstorms will develop across the
region Friday afternoon and expand in coverage through Friday
night. Widespread showers and scattered thunderstorms will
continue through the day Saturday with rain ending from west to
east Saturday night. A few strong storms are possible Friday night
with a slight increase in severe weather potential during the day
Saturday primarily across southeast Oklahoma. Additionally,
widespread rainfall of 1 to 2 inches, locally in the 3 to 4 inch
range, is forecast through Saturday night. Localized flooding
could develop primarily in low lying areas, otherwise the rainfall
will be beneficial to the ongoing drought conditions. Unseasonably
warm temperatures return early next week and fire weather
conditions will likely become a concern as several days of gusty
winds are expected.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
112 AM CST Thu Feb 12 2026
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-130715-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
112 AM CST Thu Feb 12 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Elevated fire weather risk.
DISCUSSION...
Some elevated fire weather conditions will occur across portions
of the area late this morning into early this evening as southerly
winds combine with a seasonably warm and dry air mass.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
Showers will develop and move into the area Friday evening into
the overnight hours and continue at times into Sunday morning.
There will be the potential for some isolated embedded lightning
with this activity.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket
This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf
$$
Wise
