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Flood Warning


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
825 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...

  Bird Creek at Avant affecting Osage County.


OKC113-180130-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-210518T0118Z/
/AVTO2.1.ER.210517T0952Z.210517T1230Z.210517T1918Z.NO/
825 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until this evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Bird Creek at Avant.
* Until this evening.
* At 7:30 AM CDT Monday the stage was 19.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to crest near 20 feet this
  morning, then fall below
  flood stage by late afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, minor flooding of farmlands occurs along
  the floodplain of Bird Creek downtream from Avant.


&&

LAT...LON 3659 9608 3642 9592 3635 9601 3653 9621

$$

Flood Warning
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
254 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...The National Weather Service in Fort Worth TX has issued a Flood
Warning for the following rivers in Texas...

  East Fork Trinity River At McKinney affecting Collin County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

&&

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC085-180200-
/O.NEW.KFWD.FL.W.0048.210517T0754Z-210518T0801Z/
/MCKT2.1.ER.210517T0355Z.210517T1200Z.210517T2000Z.NO/
254 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the East Fork Trinity River At McKinney.
* From early this morning to late tonight.
* At 2:30 AM CDT Monday the stage was 16.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 16.7 feet
  this morning. It will then fall below flood stage late this
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Minor out of bank flooding will begin along
  the river.


&&

LAT...LON 3325 9654 3315 9649 3315 9661 3322 9667

$$

Barnes

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
250 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Elm Fork Trinity River Near Carrollton affecting Denton and
  Dallas Counties.

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Texas...

  Chambers Creek Near Rice affecting Navarro and Ellis Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River At Dallas affecting Dallas County.

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

&&

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC113-121-180200-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-210518T2200Z/
/CART2.1.ER.210516T1856Z.210517T0200Z.210518T1000Z.NO/
250 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Elm Fork Trinity River Near Carrollton.
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 2:15 AM CDT Monday the stage was 8.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late
  tonight and continue falling to 7.6 feet early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet, Minor flooding will occur upstream from the
  gage, near the city golf course.


&&

LAT...LON 3300 9688 3286 9687 3286 9699 3300 9700

$$

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
150 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Cowleech Fork Sabine River At Greenville affecting Hunt County.

  South Fork Sabine River Near Quinlan affecting Kaufman, Hunt and
  Rockwall Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

&&

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC231-257-397-180100-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-210518T2015Z/
/QLAT2.1.ER.210517T0846Z.210517T1200Z.210518T0815Z.NO/
150 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fork Sabine River Near Quinlan.
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 12:45 AM CDT Monday the stage was 13.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early
  this morning to a crest of 16.5. It will then fall below flood
  stage late tonight.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Minor out of bank flooding will occur.


&&

LAT...LON 3297 9627 3293 9615 3283 9620 3286 9634

$$

Barnes

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
150 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Cowleech Fork Sabine River At Greenville affecting Hunt County.

  South Fork Sabine River Near Quinlan affecting Kaufman, Hunt and
  Rockwall Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

&&

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC231-180100-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-210519T0702Z/
/GNVT2.1.ER.210517T0025Z.210517T1200Z.210518T1902Z.NO/
150 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Wednesday
morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cowleech Fork Sabine River At Greenville.
* Until late Tuesday night.
* At 12:45 AM CDT Monday the stage was 16.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 16.9 feet
  this morning. It will then fall below flood stage early tomorrow
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Moderate out of bank flooding will occur. A
  few rural roads closures will be needed along the river reach.
  Moderate flooding will occur along the river through Greenville.


&&

LAT...LON 3319 9605 3309 9595 3303 9607 3317 9619

$$

Flood Warning
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1042 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Major severity and
increased in duration for the following rivers in Texas...

  Sulphur River Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus, Franklin and
  Red River Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC159-343-387-449-180345-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0087.210517T0815Z-000000T0000Z/
/TLCT2.3.ER.210517T0815Z.210518T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1042 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Major severity and
increased in duration until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Sulphur River Near Talco.
* From late tonight until further notice.
* At 9:45 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 13.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late
  tonight and continue rising to a crest of 27.5 feet Tuesday
  morning.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, Expect moderate flooding of lowland areas
  with some secondary roadways closed. All cattle and equipment
  nearby the river should be moved to higher ground.


&&

LAT...LON 3338 9530 3340 9488 3331 9466 3326 9466
      3331 9478

$$

05

Flood Warning
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1011 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021

...The National Weather Service in Fort Worth TX has issued a Flood
Warning for the following rivers in Texas...

  North Sulphur River Near Cooper affecting Lamar and Delta
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

&&

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC119-277-172115-
/O.NEW.KFWD.FL.W.0047.210517T0531Z-210518T0011Z/
/CPPT2.1.ER.210517T0531Z.210517T0600Z.210517T1210Z.NO/
1011 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021

The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the North Sulphur River Near Cooper.
* Until Monday evening.
* At 9:00 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 19.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage just
  after midnight tonight to a crest of 31.5 feet just after midnight
  tonight. It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Minor flooding will occur along the river.
  Agriculture and livestock near the river will be impacted.


&&

LAT...LON 3354 9562 3351 9550 3339 9550 3343 9565

$$

Barnes

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1011 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  South Sulphur River Near Cooper affecting Hopkins and Delta
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

&&

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC119-223-172115-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0046.210517T0311Z-210518T1738Z/
/COPT2.2.ER.210517T0110Z.210517T1200Z.210518T0538Z.NO/
1011 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Tuesday
afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Sulphur River Near Cooper.
* From this evening to Tuesday afternoon.
* At 9:15 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 17.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.5 feet
  tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage early
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Moderate out of bank flooding will occur
  along the river reach. A few rural roads will be flooded. Moderate
  flooding will occur on farm and ranch land adjacent to the river.


&&

LAT...LON 3336 9567 3340 9556 3340 9549 3329 9548
      3329 9557

$$

Barnes

Flood Warning
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
850 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021

...The National Weather Service in Shreveport LA has issued a Flood
Warning for the following rivers in Texas...

  White Oak Creek Near Talco affecting Morris, Titus and Franklin
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv


TXC159-343-449-180200-
/O.NEW.KSHV.FL.W.0089.210518T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WOCT2.1.ER.210518T0000Z.210520T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
850 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021

The National Weather Service in Shreveport has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the White Oak Creek Near Talco.
* From Monday evening until further notice.
* At 8:30 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 15.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
  tomorrow evening and continue rising to a crest of 17.6 feet
  Wednesday evening.


&&

LAT...LON 3326 9530 3334 9506 3329 9471 3327 9466
      3325 9472

$$

50


Flash Flood Watch


Flood Watch
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
705 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-172015-
/O.CON.KFWD.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-210519T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
Including the cities of Goldthwaite, Van, Bonham, Paris, Arlington,
Palestine, Frisco, Denison, Bowie, Forney, Ranger, Lewisville,
Dublin, Mineral Wells, Burleson, Olney, Canton, Mexia, Cisco, Fort
Worth, Lampasas, Grand Saline, Allen, Corsicana, Waco, Jewett,
Granbury, Gainesville, Breckenridge, Midlothian, Cleburne, Meridian,
Emory, Sherman, Hamilton, Gun Barrel City, Jacksboro, Commerce, De
Leon, Killeen, Bridgeport, Wortham, Marlin, Buffalo, Point, Nocona,
Sulphur Springs, Cameron, Calvert, Hico, Graham, Cooper, Dallas,
Greenville, Fairfield, Teague, Temple, Wills Point, Oakwood, Glen
Rose, Flower Mound, East Tawakoni, Eastland, Briar, Franklin,
Terrell, Ennis, Kaufman, Centerville, Weatherford, Normangee,
Denton, Rockwall, Oak Trail Shores, Clifton, Athens, Copperas Cove,
Hearne, Gatesville, Hillsboro, Edgewood, Carrollton, Plano, Decatur,
Rockdale, Waxahachie, Heath, Stephenville, Comanche, Valley Mills,
Fort Hood, Gorman, Groesbeck, and McKinney
705 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of north central Texas...northeast Texas and south
  central Texas, including the following areas, in north central
  Texas, Bell, Bosque, Collin, Comanche, Cooke, Coryell, Dallas,
  Denton, Eastland, Ellis, Erath, Falls, Fannin, Freestone, Grayson,
  Hamilton, Hill, Hood, Hunt, Jack, Johnson, Kaufman, Lampasas,
  Limestone, McLennan, Mills, Montague, Navarro, Palo Pinto, Parker,
  Rockwall, Somervell, Stephens, Tarrant, Wise and Young. In
  northeast Texas, Anderson, Delta, Henderson, Hopkins, Lamar, Leon,
  Rains and Van Zandt. In south central Texas, Milam and Robertson.

* Through Wednesday morning

* Additional rainfall totals of 3 to 5 inches, with isolated higher
  amounts possible.

* Flooding may occur in urban and poor drainage areas. Heavy
  rainfall may also cause flooding of creeks, streams and rivers.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to
Flash Flooding. Flash Flooding is a very dangerous situation. You
should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should
Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

Stalley


Flood Advisory


Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Norman OK
806 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021

...The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a Flood
Advisory for the following rivers in Oklahoma...

  Little River near Tecumseh affecting Seminole and Pottawatomie
  Counties.

  Clear Boggy Creek near Caney affecting Atoka County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.


OKC005-171315-
/O.NEW.KOUN.FL.Y.0025.210517T0106Z-210519T1800Z/
/CANO2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
806 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021

The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a

* Flood Advisory for
  the Clear Boggy Creek near Caney.
* From this evening to Wednesday afternoon.
* At 6:30 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Action stage is 22.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...The Clear Boggy Creek is expected to rise to a crest of
  22.6 feet early Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, The creek remains within its banks in
  western Atoka County and the northeastern edge of Bryan County.


&&

LAT...LON 3442 9638 3442 9632 3427 9622 3415 9595
      3415 9608 3425 9626

$$

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Norman OK
806 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021

...The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a Flood
Advisory for the following rivers in Oklahoma...

  Little River near Tecumseh affecting Seminole and Pottawatomie
  Counties.

  Clear Boggy Creek near Caney affecting Atoka County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.


OKC125-133-171315-
/O.NEW.KOUN.FL.Y.0024.210517T0106Z-210517T1800Z/
/TCMO2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
806 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021

The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a

* Flood Advisory for
  the Little River near Tecumseh.
* From this evening to Monday afternoon.
* At 7:30 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 5.9 feet.
* Action stage is 9.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast...The Little River is expected to rise to a crest of 10.0
  feet just after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, Near bankfull flows occur along the river
  and downstream of Lake Thunderbird... from near Macomb in
  Pottawatomie County to near Bowlegs in western Seminole County.


&&

LAT...LON 3519 9721 3525 9721 3522 9680 3515 9668
      3508 9668 3511 9699

$$

MAD


Flood Watch


Flood Watch
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
320 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

OKZ049-053-073-075-076-172100-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FA.A.0002.210518T1200Z-210520T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Pushmataha-Choctaw-Pittsburg-Latimer-Le Flore-
Including the cities of Antlers, McAlester, Poteau, Hugo, Wilburton,
and Clayton
320 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING...

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a

* Flood Watch for a portion of southeast Oklahoma, including the
  following counties, Choctaw, Latimer, Le Flore, Pittsburg and
  Pushmataha.

* From Tuesday morning through Thursday morning

* Periodic showers and thunderstorms will spread across southeast
  Oklahoma today through Thursday. The most likely timeframe for
  widespread heavy rains currently appears to be Tuesday through
  Wednesday night. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches are likely with
  isolated amounts of 6 to 7 inches possible.

* Flash flooding and larger mainstem river flooding will be
  possible. Moderate to major river flooding is possible across
  portions of southeast Oklahoma.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be alert
for possible flood warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding
should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Norman OK
142 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

OKZ019-020-022>032-034>048-050>052-TXZ085-086-088>090-171445-
/O.CON.KOUN.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-210519T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Logan-Payne-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-Tillman-
Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-Jefferson-
Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Wilbarger-Wichita-Baylor-
Archer-Clay-
Including the cities of Coalgate, Durant, Shawnee, Mustang, Duncan,
Lakeside City, Burns Flat, Snyder, Anadarko, Cordell, Mangum, Davis,
Seminole, Ada, Granite, Hinton, Chandler, Waurika, Ringling, Norman,
Pauls Valley, Altus, Sheppard AFB, Guthrie, Stroud, Seymour, Temple,
Vernon, Marietta, Blanchard, Tuttle, Newcastle, Hobart, Sulphur,
Atoka, Stillwater, Henrietta, Holdenville, Wynnewood, Tishomingo,
Scotland, Frederick, Madill, Concho, Holliday, El Reno, Ryan,
Wewoka, Lawton, Davenport, Meeker, Purcell, Lindsay, Wichita Falls,
Moore, Ardmore, Prague, Kingston, Chickasha, Wetumka, Thackerville,
Archer City, Wellston, Sentinel, Oklahoma City, Walters, and Yukon
142 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Oklahoma and northern Texas, including the following
  areas, in Oklahoma, Atoka, Bryan, Caddo, Canadian, Carter,
  Cleveland, Coal, Comanche, Cotton, Garvin, Grady, Greer, Hughes,
  Jackson, Jefferson, Johnston, Kiowa, Lincoln, Logan, Love,
  Marshall, McClain, Murray, Oklahoma, Payne, Pontotoc,
  Pottawatomie, Seminole, Stephens, Tillman and Washita. In northern
  Texas, Archer, Baylor, Clay, Wichita and Wilbarger.

* Through Wednesday morning

* Several rounds of heavy rainfall are expected today thru Wednesday
  morning across portions of central, southern, and southwestern
  Oklahoma, and north Texas. Many locations will receive 2 to 4
  inches of total rainfall during this time, and some locations near
  the Red River may receive over 6 inches.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be alert
for possible flood warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding
should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$

Zwink


Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
611 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-181100-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-
Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-
Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-
Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
611 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest
Louisiana, southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Showers and thunderstorms will increase across the region today,
ahead of an upper level disturbance that will move through the
area. Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms can not be ruled
out, with damaging winds, hail, and brief heavy rainfall possible.
These showers and thunderstorms will diminish this evening with
the departure of this disturbance.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

Showers and thunderstorms will again return to the region Tuesday
in advance of an upper level storm system that will progress
through the Southern Rockies and into West Texas and the Oklahoma
Panhandle by midweek. The threat for locally heavy rainfall and
flash flooding will increase Tuesday night and Wednesday across
East Texas, Southeast Oklahoma, portions of Southwest Arkansas and
possibly Western Louisiana, as a complex of showers and
thunderstorms moves into these areas. Some of these storms may
also become severe during the late afternoon through the evening
hours Tuesday, before the heavy rain and flash flood threat
increases across these areas Tuesday night and Wednesday.
Widespread rainfall amounts of three to five inches are expected
this week across these areas this week, with isolated higher
amounts in excess of eight inches possible, especially over East
Texas. This rainfall will result in new rises and possible
flooding on area creeks and bayous, rivers and lakes. This
unsettled weather pattern will continue Thursday and Friday,
before gradually diminishing from east to west this weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel...amateur radio
operators...and storm spotters may be needed today across portions
of the region.

$$

15

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
543 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-181045-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
543 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
Severe thunderstorms are expected across much of Oklahoma and
western north Texas early this evening into the overnight hours.
A moderate risk of severe thunderstorms is now in place across
portions of western north Texas. Very large hail up to the size of
baseballs, damaging wind gusts up to 70 mph, and perhaps tornadoes
will be possible. The tornado risk will mainly be across portions
of western north Texas, and southwestern and southern Oklahoma
through midnight. The threat of severe weather will shift north
and eastward overnight into portions of central and northern
Oklahoma. The severe threat should begin to decrease after 200
AM.

.Heavy Rainfall...
Flooding, perhaps significant, will remain possible into early
Tuesday morning mainly along and south of Interstate 44.

.SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT STATEMENT...
Storm spotter groups and emergency management personnel across
much of Oklahoma and all of western north Texas should prepare for
severe weather operations early this evening through late
tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

.Thunderstorms...
Thunderstorm chances will continue thru Saturday. A few severe
thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday afternoon and evening
mainly across portions of eastern and southeastern Oklahoma. Hail
up to the size of golf balls and damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph
will be possible. Strong to severe storms will again be possible
across western Oklahoma and western north Texas Wednesday
afternoon and evening.

.Heavy Rainfall...
Flooding will remain possible mainly along and south of Interstate
44 thru at least Wednesday. Significant flooding may occur across
portions of southern and southeastern Oklahoma by Wednesday
morning. Many locations across southern Oklahoma and north Texas
could receive over 4 inches of total rainfall by the end of the
week.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
525 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-181030-
Fisher-Nolan-Sterling-Coke-Runnels-Irion-Tom Green-Concho-
Crockett-Schleicher-Sutton-Haskell-Throckmorton-Jones-Shackelford-
Taylor-Callahan-Coleman-Brown-McCulloch-San Saba-Menard-Kimble-
Mason-
525 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of west central
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Severe thunderstorms are possible across a large portion of West
Central Texas this afternoon and tonight. Very large hail larger
than golf ball size is the primary threat. However, damaging winds
and isolated tornadoes are also possible. The highest risk area
is across the northwest Concho Valley and the Big Country, along
and north of Sterling City to Abilene line.

In addition to the severe storm threat, there is a potential for
heavy rainfall. With several rounds of storms possible, the
rainfall may be heavy enough to cause flash flooding of low lying
and flood prone areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

The threat of strong to severe storms and and heavy rainfall will
continue across much of West Central Texas into Wednesday. After a
brief lull on Thursday, more storms will return for the upcoming
weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will likely be requested this afternoon and
tonight across a large portion of West Central Texas.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
503 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
503 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Primarily areas along and south of Interstate 40.
ONSET...Afternoon and evening.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Afternoon and overnight.

DISCUSSION...
Scattered thunderstorms will continue this morning primarily
across southeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.  Brief
heavy rainfall is possible however severe weather is unlikely
with the morning storms.  Additional storms are likely to
develop this afternoon and a few strong to severe storms
are possible. Thunderstorm chances continue into the overnight
hours as a larger storm complex approaches from central
Oklahoma and north Texas. These storms will pose a limited
severe weather risk as they spread into eastern Oklahoma
early Tuesday morning.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm and Heavy Rain Potential.
THURSDAY through SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected Tuesday
through Wednesday. Heavy rainfall is likely especially
across portions of southeast Oklahoma. Flash flooding and
mainstem river flooding are possible, with major to
moderate river flooding potential across southeast Oklahoma.
Shower and thunderstorm chances begin to lessen by Friday
and portions of the upcoming weekend may remain dry.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
406 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-180915-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
406 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A few area flood warnings remain in effect across parts of central
Kansas for today due to water receding slowly from previous nights
heavy rainfall. Do not drive across water covered roads. See latest
flood warnings for more details.

Scattered storms will spread northeast from Oklahoma into mainly south
central Kansas for late tonight. A few strong storms could produce
small hail, gusty winds, and heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

There will be multiple opportunities for thunderstorms through the week,
some of which could be strong to marginally severe on Tuesday and
Tuesday night. Flooding concerns are possible especially for areas
that see repeated rounds of thunderstorms. The greatest risk for
flooding will be on Tuesday night when more widespread storms are
expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://weather.gov/crh/ghwo?sid=ict

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
402 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-180915-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
402 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited hail risk.
  Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited flooding risk.
  Limited lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

Showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms will spread across the
area this morning. No severe weather is expected with this round.
There will be a limited risk for localized flooding.

Additional isolated to scattered storms may develop this afternoon
into evening. A few of these storms could become strong to
marginally severe, with hail up to the size of quarters, gusty
winds and locally heavy rainfall possible. Most storms should
remain below severe limits.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Several more rounds of showers and thunderstorms with heavy rain
will be possible from Tuesday through the end of the week. These
repeated heavy rain chances could lead to excessive amounts of
rain and possibly some flooding concerns.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Rothstein

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
350 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

TXZ021>044-180900-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd-
Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-Yoakum-
Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
350 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling
Plains and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a moderate risk of severe thunderstorms for much of the
South Plains and Rolling Plains this afternoon into tonight, with an
enhanced risk of severe weather for the southern Texas Panhandle.

Isolated to scattered supercell thunderstorms are expected to develop
near a dryline across the southwest Texas Panhandle and western and
central South Plains this afternoon. These storms will quickly become
severe and be capable of producing baseball size hail, wind gusts to
75 mph, torrential rainfall and tornadoes. This activity will move
eastward through the evening, likely growing into a larger complex of
thunderstorms as it moves off the Caprock. A hail, wind and heavy
rain threat will continue with the complex of thunderstorm through
the evening.

Another round of severe thunderstorms capable of generating golf ball
size hail, wind gusts to 65 mph and intense rainfall and flash
flooding may develop over the southern South Plains and the Rolling
Plains late tonight, after midnight, and persist into Tuesday
morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

More opportunities for thunderstorms will exist late Tuesday, Wednesday
and then again from Friday into next weekend. Some of these storms
could be strong to severe and produce heavy rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed this afternoon into tonight.
Please relay any information about severe weather to the NWS while
following local, state, and CDC guidelines.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
333 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-180845-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
333 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Thunderstorms are expected across much of North and Central Texas on
Monday. Locally heavy rainfall and lightning will be the main
threats, but the stronger storms could produce large hail and gusty
winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Widespread thunderstorms are expected on Tuesday, some of which
could be severe. In addition, heavy rainfall will likely result in
flash flooding.

Thunderstorm chances will continue through the weekend. Additional
rounds of heavy rainfall may cause further flooding issues and
significant rises on area rivers. Additionally, a few strong or
severe thunderstorms will be possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
320 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-180830-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
320 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021 /220 AM MDT Mon May 17 2021/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Strong to severe storms will be possible along the KS/OK border
this evening into the early overnight hours. Hail around an inch
and winds above 60 mph will be the main concern.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Tornado: Limited risk
* Hail: Limited risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Limited risk
* Lightning: Significant risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Thunderstorm chances continue Tuesday into Wednesday. As of now
these storms do not look to become severe.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Tuesday
  - Lightning: Significant risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Significant risk

* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage
https://weather.gov/crh/ghwo?sid=ddc

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
246 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-172215-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
246 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Severe thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and evening.
Large to very large hail and damaging winds are the main threats.
Additionally, there is also the potential for an isolated tornado
during the late afternoon and early evening hours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Thunderstorms will be possible each afternoon and evening from
Tuesday through Sunday. At this time, the probability for
widespread severe thunderstorms is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed Monday.

$$


Short Term Forecast


Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
707 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171415-
Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Crawford-Franklin-Sebastian-
Pushmataha-Choctaw-Osage-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-
Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-
Cherokee-Adair-Muskogee-McIntosh-Sequoyah-Pittsburg-Haskell-
Latimer-Le Flore-
Including the cities of Rogers, Bentonville, Berryville,
Eureka Springs, Fayetteville, Springdale, Huntsville, Van Buren,
Ozark, Charleston, Fort Smith, Antlers, Clayton, Hugo, Pawhuska,
Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita, Miami, Pawnee, Tulsa, Claremore,
Pryor, Grove, Jay, Sapulpa, Okemah, Okmulgee, Wagoner, Tahlequah,
Stilwell, Muskogee, Checotah, Sallisaw, McAlester, Stigler,
Wilburton, and Poteau
707 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

.NOW...

At 7:07 AM... National Weather Service doppler radars continued
to indicate areas of showers moving east northeast at 30 mph
across parts of Eastern Oklahoma and also Northwest Arkansas. Most
of the rainfall was occurring east of Highway 69 in Eastern
Oklahoma and in northwest Arkansas.

Through 10:00 AM... showers and possibly a few thunderstorms will
continue to develop and push across parts of Eastern Oklahoma and
Northwest Arkansas. Average hourly rainfall rates of several
hundredths to a tenth of an inch are anticipated. Locally heavier
rainfall around a half to near one inch may occur from stronger
showers.


$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE