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Flash Flood Watch


Flood Watch
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1137 AM MDT Tue Jul 17 2018

NMZ510>515-180600-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0011.180717T1800Z-180718T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
1137 AM MDT Tue Jul 17 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* a portion of north and central New Mexico, including the
  following areas: East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Jemez
  Mountains, Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet including
  Red River, San Juan Mountains, Southern Sangre de Cristos above
  9500 feet and West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains.

* through this evening.

* A very moist atmosphere and an unstable airmass will be ripe for
  thunderstorm development over the northern mountains of New Mexico
  today. Some of the rain will be locally heavy with one to two inch
  rain amounts possible. Slow storm motion will increase the threat
  for flash flooding. The greatest concern for flash flooding will be
  on the recent wildfire burn scars.

* The Ute Park, Morris Creek, Sardinas Canyon, Cajete and Bonita
  wildfire burn scars will be vulnerable to flash flooding. The
  greatest concern for flash flooding exists on the Ute Park burn
  scar near Cimarron where dangerous debris flows and mud slides are
  possible over U.S. Highway 64 between Ute Park and Cimarron. Keep a
  watchful eye on arroyos, creeks, small streams and low lying
  areas, and stay out of flooded low water crossings. While main stem
  river flooding is not expected, rapid rises on area rivers, creeks
  and streams are possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to
flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.
Monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash
Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
430 AM MDT Tue Jul 17 2018

COZ019-022-171830-
/O.CON.KGJT.FF.A.0011.180717T1800Z-180718T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Southwest San Juan Mountains-Animas River Basin-
430 AM MDT Tue Jul 17 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE 416 FIRE BURN SCAR IN NORTHWEST LA
PLATA COUNTY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT TODAY
THROUGH THIS EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* the 416 Fire Burn Scar in Northwest La Plata County.

* From noon MDT today through this evening.

* National Weather Service Meteorologists are forecasting the
  possibility of heavy rainfall over the 416 Fire burn scar,
  which may lead to flash flooding and debris flows.

* The potential for heavy rainfall over the 416 Wildfire burn
  scar is of particular concern due to the threat of debris
  flows and flash flooding. Residents near this wildfire burn
  scar and along the Highway 550 corridor near Hermosa should
  prepare for potential flooding impacts. Elsewhere, be prepared
  for flash flooding and debris flows on many area highways and
  roads. Be sure to stay up to date with information from local
  authorities.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Local emergency services personnel are monitoring the situation
and will issue a public statement as conditions warrant. Plan now
so you will know what to do in an emergency. Keep informed by
listening to local radio and television for statements and
possible warnings. Follow the advice of public safety officials
and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be
issued.

&&

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1132 AM MDT Tue Jul 17 2018

COZ058>089-093>099-181745-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1132 AM MDT Tue Jul 17 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Moderate to heavy rainfall will be capable of producing localized
flash flooding, especially in and near the newer burn scars,
including the Spring, Chateau, Hayden Pass and Junkins burn scars
as well as urban locations that have received heavy rainfall
during the past few days. Flash flooding on area burn scars can
generate dangerous debris flows along with unstable stream banks.

In addition, strong to marginally severe thunderstorms capable of
producing hail around one inch in diameter and wind gusts around 60
mph will be possible from this afternoon and evening, favoring
portions of El Paso, Kiowa, Bent and Prowers counties.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

On Wednesday and Thursday, isolated to scattered afternoon and
evening thunderstorms will mostly be confined to over and near the
mountains. With limited moisture, the main threats from these
storms will be gusty winds and lightning.

Starting Friday, atmospheric moisture will increase. Thunderstorms
will be capable of producing locally heavy downpours, which can
lead to flash flooding on recent burn scars. Storms are possible
over much of the region, and the best chances for storms will be
over and near the mountains.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will be
possible through this evening over area burn scars and across
portions of the Eastern Plains.

$$

88/88

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
1102 AM MDT Tue Jul 17 2018

COZ030>051-181715-
Jackson County Below 9000 Feet-
West Jackson and West Grand Counties Above 9000 Feet-
Grand and Summit Counties Below 9000 Feet-
South and East Jackson/Larimer/North and Northeast Grand/
Northwest Boulder Counties Above 9000 Feet-
South and Southeast Grand/West Central and Southwest Boulder/
Gilpin/Clear Creek/Summit/North and West Park Counties Above
9000 Feet-Larimer and Boulder Counties Between 6000 and 9000 Feet-
Jefferson and West Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet/Gilpin/Clear
Creek/Northeast Park Counties Below 9000 Feet-
Central and Southeast Park County-
Larimer County Below 6000 Feet/Northwest Weld County-
Boulder And Jefferson Counties Below 6000 Feet/West Broomfield
County-
North Douglas County Below 6000 Feet/Denver/West Adams and
Arapahoe Counties/East Broomfield County-
Elbert/Central and East Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet-
Northeast Weld County-Central and South Weld County-Morgan County-
Central and East Adams and Arapahoe Counties-
North and Northeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/North Lincoln
County-
Southeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/South Lincoln County-
Logan County-Washington County-Sedgwick County-Phillips County-
1102 AM MDT Tue Jul 17 2018

...A FEW SEVERE STORMS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON...

This hazardous weather outlook is for northeast and north central
Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms will develop over the mountains early this
afternoon and move east across the plains in the late afternoon
and evening. Some severe storms are possible. Along the Front
Range, there is a chance of hail up to one inch in diameter and
wind gusts to 60 mph. East of a Greeley-DIA-Kiowa line there is a
greater threat of stronger storms, with hail up to golf ball size
and heavy rain that could cause localized flooding. This activity
will most likely occur between 3 and 7 pm in areas just east of
the mountains, and between 5 pm and 10 pm over the eastern plains.

Storms will end from west to east across the area tonight as the
upper level disturbance moves through.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Very warm conditions will prevail through the weekend across the
plains. There will be better chances for late day showers and
thunderstorms Friday through Sunday. Monday there will be a slight
cool down with a continued chance for storms as the upper level
ridge weakens.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be needed after 3 PM.

$$

Gimmestad/Sullivan/Meier

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
1000 AM MDT Tue Jul 17 2018

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-181600-
Yuma County-Kit Carson County-Cheyenne County-Cheyenne-Rawlins-
Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas-Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-
Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-Red Willow-
1000 AM MDT Tue Jul 17 2018 /1100 AM CDT Tue Jul 17 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska...
northwest Kansas and east central Colorado.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

A few severe thunderstorms with a primary threat of damaging winds
will be possible late this afternoon and evening. Isolated flash
flooding will remain possible in association with any slow moving
thunderstorms, particularly along and east of Highway 83 where one
to three inches of rain fell between midnight and 6 AM CDT this
morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated through tonight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
448 AM MDT Tue Jul 17 2018

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-181100-
Lower Yampa River Basin-Central Yampa River Basin-
Roan and Tavaputs Plateaus-Elkhead and Park Mountains-
Upper Yampa River Basin-Grand Valley-Debeque to Silt Corridor-
Central Colorado River Basin-Grand and Battlement Mesas-
Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys-
Central Gunnison and Uncompahgre River Basin-
West Elk and Sawatch Mountains-Flat Tops-
Upper Gunnison River Valley-Uncompahgre Plateau and Dallas Divide-
Northwest San Juan Mountains-Southwest San Juan Mountains-
Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River-
Four Corners/Upper Dolores River-Animas River Basin-
San Juan River Basin-Southeast Utah-Eastern Uinta Mountains-
Eastern Uinta Basin-Tavaputs Plateau-Arches/Grand Flat-
La Sal and Abajo Mountains-Canyonlands/Natural Bridges-
448 AM MDT Tue Jul 17 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for eastern Utah and western
Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms will develop over the higher
terrain from late morning into the afternoon and are expected to
linger well into the evening. Severe weather is not expected,
however some cells will be capable of generating excessive
rainfall which may lead to rock fall and debris flows in steep
terrain. Fresh burn scars, most notably from the 416, Burro and
Lake Christine fires are particularly susceptible to debris flows
and flash flooding.

A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for the 416 and Burro burn
scars from noon to 9 PM MDT this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Isolated to scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms will be
possible each day the rest of the week, mainly over the
mountains.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected today or tonight, however
spotters are encouraged to relay rainfall amounts or any observed
flooding to the National Weather Service in Grand Junction.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
412 AM MDT Tue Jul 17 2018

NMZ501>540-181100-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
412 AM MDT Tue Jul 17 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected this afternoon into
tonight over western and northern areas. Storm motions will be slow
and rainfall could be heavy. This may lead to localized areas of
flash flooding, especially over and near recent burn scars. Locations
that have received heavy rainfall recently will also be more
susceptible to flash flooding. Isolated locations will receive 1 to
2 inches or more of rainfall. A few storms may also produce small
hail and wind gusts to 50 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Thunderstorm activity will generally be less compared to recent days
from Wednesday into the weekend. However, isolated thunderstorms may
still produce torrential downpours with localized flash flooding a
concern through early next week, especially on recent burn scars.
Thunderstorm chances will trend up early next week, especially
across the east.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report heavy rain and any flooding
through the National Weather Service Albuquerque web site at
weather.gov/abq or by calling 1.888.386.7637. You can also submit
storm reports and photos on our Facebook page or via Twitter using
the hashtag nmwx.

$$

40

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
448 AM CDT Tue Jul 17 2018

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-172200-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
448 AM CDT Tue Jul 17 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Thunderstorms will be possible across mainly the northern portions
of the Panhandles this afternoon and early evening. Heavy rain and
gusty winds will be possible with the stronger storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Thunderstorms will be possible across mainly the far northwestern
Texas Panhandle and western Oklahoma Panhandle Wednesday evening and
then again Thursday and Friday evening. Storm will then be
possible again Monday afternoon and evening. Strong gusty winds
and heavy rain will be the main hazards.

A Heat Advisory will be possible for some areas on the Caprock and
especially in Palo Duro Canyon Wednesday through Sunday as high
temperatures approach 105 to 107 degrees.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
253 AM CDT Tue Jul 17 2018

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-180800-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
253 AM CDT Tue Jul 17 2018 /153 AM MDT Tue Jul 17 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Scattered thunderstorms will continue today and tonight. Coverage
will favor the northeast zones this morning, with scattered
thunderstorms expanding in coverage this afternoon and tonight.
Thunderstorms will again produce locally heavy rainfall and
dangerous lightning. The strongest activity will pose a risk for
strong/damaging outflow wind gusts of 50 to 60 mph.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Lightning: Elevated risk
* Thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Dry weather and hotter afternoons will prevail
for the remainder of the week through this weekend.
The hottest day will be Thursday, when afternoon temperatures of
100 to 104 will be common. With lower dewpoints, a heat advisory
is not expected to be required.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Wednesday
  - Excessive heat: Elevated risk

* Thursday
  - Excessive heat: Elevated risk

* Friday
  - Excessive heat: Elevated risk

* Saturday
  - Excessive heat: Elevated risk

* Sunday
  - Excessive heat: Elevated risk

* Monday
  - Excessive heat: Elevated risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Limited spotter activation may be required through tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

$$

TURNER

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE