weather.gov     
National Weather Service

Watches, Warnings & Advisories
NWS Homepage

Flood Warning


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
255 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Missouri...

  Little Osage River near Horton affecting Vernon County.

  Osage River near Schell City affecting Vernon and Bates Counties.

  Osage River at Taberville affecting St. Clair County.

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Missouri...

  Sac River near Caplinger Mills affecting Cedar County.

MOC185-190800-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0041.210520T0000Z-210523T0000Z/
/TBVM7.1.ER.210520T0000Z.210520T1800Z.210522T0000Z.UU/
255 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Saturday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Osage River at Taberville.
* From Wednesday evening to Saturday evening.
* At 1:45 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 22.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
  tomorrow evening to a crest of 23.4 feet early Thursday afternoon.
  It will then fall below flood stage Friday evening.
* Impact...At 23.3 feet, The handicapped access to the Osage River
  launch area floods.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.5
  feet on 01/19/2020.


&&

LAT...LON 3803 9383 3799 9379 3797 9381 3798 9389
      3798 9398 3799 9406 3805 9406 3803 9400
      3802 9390

$$

EW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
255 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Missouri...

  Little Osage River near Horton affecting Vernon County.

  Osage River near Schell City affecting Vernon and Bates Counties.

  Osage River at Taberville affecting St. Clair County.

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Missouri...

  Sac River near Caplinger Mills affecting Cedar County.

MOC217-190800-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-210521T0320Z/
/HTNM7.1.ER.210517T2145Z.210519T0600Z.210520T0320Z.NO/
255 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Thursday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Little Osage River near Horton.
* Until Thursday evening.
* At 2:45 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 42.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 41.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 43.0 feet
  just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage
  late tomorrow evening.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 43.0
  feet on 10/16/2014.


&&

LAT...LON 3800 9441 3802 9431 3799 9431 3793 9436
      3796 9444 3796 9451 3796 9458 3798 9462
      3800 9462 3800 9452

$$

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
255 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Missouri...

  Little Osage River near Horton affecting Vernon County.

  Osage River near Schell City affecting Vernon and Bates Counties.

  Osage River at Taberville affecting St. Clair County.

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Missouri...

  Sac River near Caplinger Mills affecting Cedar County.

MOC013-217-190800-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0039.210519T1200Z-210524T0300Z/
/SCZM7.1.ER.210519T1200Z.210521T0600Z.210523T0300Z.NO/
255 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Sunday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Osage River near Schell City.
* From Wednesday morning to Sunday evening.
* At 2:45 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 29.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
  tomorrow morning to a crest of 30.9 feet early Friday morning. It
  will then fall below flood stage late Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, flood waters impact low lying areas west of
  Schell City.  County roads west and north of Route M become
  flooded. The Four River Conservation Area 10 miles west of Schell
  City floods.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 30.9
  feet on 10/09/2016.


&&

LAT...LON 3808 9418 3807 9413 3806 9406 3799 9406
      3801 9415 3801 9425 3797 9432 3801 9431
      3805 9427 3807 9423

$$

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
129 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Missouri...

  Lamine River near Otterville affecting Cooper County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

This product along with additional weather and stream information is
available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&


MOC053-191830-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-210520T0032Z/
/OTTM7.1.ER.210518T1307Z.210518T1815Z.210519T0032Z.NO/
129 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lamine River near Otterville.
* Until Wednesday evening.
* At 1:15 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 16.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage this
  evening and continue falling to 2.6 feet early Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Low lying woodlands and fields along the
  river flood.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Some gravel roads upstream and downstream
  from Otterville are under water. In addition State Highway 135 may
  be overtopped by flood waters 2 miles north of Clifton City.


&&

LAT...LON 3869 9303 3887 9305 3894 9304 3894 9298
      3869 9294

$$

Atkins

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
129 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Missouri...

  Petite Saline Creek near Boonville affecting Cooper County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

This product along with additional weather and stream information is
available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&


MOC053-191830-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-210520T0206Z/
/BONM7.2.ER.210518T1358Z.210519T0600Z.210519T1406Z.UU/
129 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Petite Saline Creek near Boonville.
* Until Wednesday evening.
* At 12:30 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.3 feet
  just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage
  late tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Low lying woodlands and fields near the
  creek flood.
* Impact...At 19.5 feet, The creek floods U Highway about 4 miles
  southeast of Boonville.


&&

LAT...LON 3892 9280 3894 9264 3892 9250 3888 9252
      3887 9279

$$

Atkins

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Topeka KS
1016 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Kansas...

  Marais Des Cygnes River at Ottawa affecting Franklin County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

This product along with additional weather and stream information is
available at www.weather.gov/top/.


KSC059-190630-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-210519T1417Z/
/OTWK1.1.ER.210517T0630Z.210517T2030Z.210519T1017Z.NO/
1016 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Marais Des Cygnes River at Ottawa.
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At 9:30 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 33.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 31.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will fall below flood stage by Wednesday
  morning and will fall to around 11 feet by late tomorrow.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, Lowland areas near the river flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3863 9551 3861 9507 3852 9507 3856 9514
      3858 9551

$$

Teefey

Flood Warning
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1008 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity and
increased in duration for the following rivers in Kansas...
Missouri...

  Marais Des Cygnes River at La Cygne affecting Linn KS County.

  Marais Des Cygnes River near Trading Post affecting Bates and
  Linn KS Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

This product along with additional weather and stream information is
available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&


KSC107-MOC013-191515-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0070.210519T2145Z-210523T0316Z/
/TPOK1.2.ER.210519T2145Z.210521T0000Z.210522T0316Z.UU/
1008 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity and
increased in duration until late Saturday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Marais Des Cygnes River near Trading Post.
* From Wednesday afternoon to Saturday evening.
* At 9:45 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 25.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
  tomorrow afternoon to a crest of 25.7 feet this afternoon. It will
  then fall below flood stage late Friday evening.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, Flooding of low-lying farmland occurs and
  water begins to affect Stateline Road north of the gauge.

&&

                      Fld   Obs             Forecasts
Location              Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Tue   Wed   Thu
                                            1pm   1pm   1pm
Marais Des Cygnes River
Trading Post          27.0  25.4  Tue 9am   25.7  26.5  29.4



&&

LAT...LON 3826 9476 3826 9465 3824 9446 3817 9447
      3821 9470

$$

Atkins

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1008 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Kansas...

  Marais Des Cygnes River at Osawatomie affecting Miami County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

This product along with additional weather and stream information is
available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&


KSC121-191515-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-210521T1506Z/
/OSMK1.1.ER.210517T1150Z.210518T1800Z.210520T1506Z.NO/
1008 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Friday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Marais Des Cygnes River at Osawatomie.
* Until Friday morning.
* At 9:00 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 34.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 34.8 feet
  this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late Thursday
  morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Low-lying areas along the river begin to
  flood.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, 347th Road or Main Street east of Highway
  169 is under water.

&&

                      Fld   Obs             Forecasts
Location              Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Tue   Wed   Thu
                                            1pm   1pm   1pm
Marais Des Cygnes River
Osawatomie            28.0  34.3  Tue 9am   34.8  33.4  26.6



&&

LAT...LON 3856 9507 3850 9478 3839 9476 3839 9482
      3852 9507

$$

Atkins

Flood Warning
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1008 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity and
increased in duration for the following rivers in Kansas...
Missouri...

  Marais Des Cygnes River at La Cygne affecting Linn KS County.

  Marais Des Cygnes River near Trading Post affecting Bates and
  Linn KS Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

This product along with additional weather and stream information is
available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&


KSC107-191515-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-210523T0100Z/
/LCGK1.2.ER.210517T1751Z.210520T0000Z.210522T0100Z.NO/
1008 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity and
increased in duration until Saturday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Marais Des Cygnes River at La Cygne.
* Until Saturday evening.
* At 9:46 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 28.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 31.0 feet
  tomorrow evening. It will then fall below flood stage Friday
  evening.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Low lying farmland and other rural land
  floods.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Highway 152 floods 0.75 miles west of La
  Cygne. If Middle Creek is also flooding Highway 152, the only
  route into or out of la cygne will be the County Road, or 4th
  Street, leading north from La Cygne.

&&

                      Fld   Obs             Forecasts
Location              Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Tue   Wed   Thu
                                            1pm   1pm   1pm
Marais Des Cygnes River
La Cygne              25.0  28.0  Tue 9am   28.2  30.6  30.5



&&

LAT...LON 3839 9482 3839 9476 3826 9465 3826 9476
      3835 9483

$$

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
919 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Missouri...

  South Grand River at Urich affecting Bates, Cass and Henry
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

This product along with additional weather and stream information is
available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&


MOC013-037-083-191430-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-210520T1840Z/
/URHM7.2.ER.210517T0436Z.210518T1315Z.210519T1840Z.UU/
919 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Thursday
afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Grand River at Urich.
* Until Thursday afternoon.
* At 8:15 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 28.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early
  tomorrow afternoon and continue falling to 9.8 feet Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Flooding occurs across locations within 0.5
  to 1.5 miles of the river. Areas affected include low lying
  pastures along with cropland and secondary roads.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, K Highway is under water approximately 1
  mile south of Urich. Many other roads along the river are flooded
  as well.
* Impact...At 29.5 feet, Flood waters approach 4th Street at Elm
  Street, and one block west of Green Street. Basement and garage
  flooding also occurs near 4th and Elm streets.

&&

                 Fld   Obs             Forecasts
Location         Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Tue   Wed   Thu
                                       1pm   1pm   1pm
South Grand River
Urich            24.0  28.3  Tue 8am   28.3  24.3  16.7



&&

LAT...LON 3849 9426 3847 9400 3837 9380 3832 9382
      3843 9425

$$

Atkins

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
918 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Missouri...

  Big Creek at Blairstown affecting Johnson MO, Cass and Henry
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

This product along with additional weather and stream information is
available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&


MOC037-083-101-191430-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-210521T0112Z/
/BLRM7.2.ER.210517T0136Z.210518T0500Z.210520T0112Z.UU/
918 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Thursday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Big Creek at Blairstown.
* Until Thursday evening.
* At 9:00 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 25.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
  tomorrow evening and continue falling to 15.8 feet Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, The west bank of the creek begins to flood.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Flooding occurs at the west approach to the
  N Highway bridge located 0.2 miles west of Blairstown. Flooding
  also occurs across B Highway near Big Creek which is several miles
  northwest of Blairstown.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Many farm levees along Big Creek are
  overtopped. Flooding of rural areas behind the levees occurs.

&&

                Fld   Obs             Forecasts
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Tue   Wed   Thu
                                      1pm   1pm   1pm
Big Creek
Blairstown      20.0  25.0  Tue 9am   24.5  20.8  18.7



&&

LAT...LON 3873 9422 3875 9416 3857 9394 3840 9384
      3840 9391

$$

Atkins

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
742 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Missouri...

  Blackwater River at Valley City affecting Johnson MO and Pettis
  Counties.

  Blackwater River near Blue Lick affecting Saline and Cooper
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

This product along with additional weather and stream information is
available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&


MOC053-195-191245-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-210522T1651Z/
/BLVM7.2.ER.210517T0528Z.210519T1800Z.210521T1651Z.NO/
742 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Saturday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Blackwater River near Blue Lick.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At 6:45 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 28.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 29.2 feet
  early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late
  Friday morning.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Cropland and pastures along the river flood.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet, Livestock in pastures along the river may
  be endangered. Extensive damage also occurs to cropland and
  pasture.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, The Missouri-Pacific railroad tracks are
  overtopped.

&&

                Fld   Obs             Forecasts
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Tue   Wed   Thu
                                      1pm   1pm   1pm
Blackwater River
Blue Lick       24.0  28.4  Tue 6am   28.6  29.2  28.5



&&

LAT...LON 3894 9342 3899 9348 3903 9297 3894 9295
      3893 9323

$$

Atkins

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
742 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Missouri...

  Blackwater River at Valley City affecting Johnson MO and Pettis
  Counties.

  Blackwater River near Blue Lick affecting Saline and Cooper
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

This product along with additional weather and stream information is
available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&


MOC101-159-191245-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-210520T0322Z/
/VLYM7.2.ER.210517T0427Z.210518T0515Z.210519T0322Z.NO/
742 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Blackwater River at Valley City.
* Until Wednesday evening.
* At 7:00 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 27.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late
  this evening and continue falling to 4.4 feet Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Woodlands and farm fields along the river
  begin to flood.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, County Highway E near Valley City and
  Highway 23 near the Perry State Wildlife Area are under water.

&&

                Fld   Obs             Forecasts
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Tue   Wed   Thu
                                      1pm   1pm   1pm
Blackwater River
Valley City     22.0  27.9  Tue 7am   26.1  15.4  10.6



&&

LAT...LON 3894 9342 3882 9361 3882 9368 3891 9361
      3899 9348

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
236 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-191945-
Adams IL-Audrain MO-Bond IL-Boone MO-Brown IL-Calhoun IL-Callaway MO-
Clinton IL-Cole MO-Crawford MO-Fayette IL-Franklin MO-Gasconade MO-
Greene IL-Iron MO-Jefferson MO-Jersey IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Lincoln MO-
Macoupin IL-Madison IL-Madison MO-Marion IL-Marion MO-Moniteau MO-
Monroe IL-Monroe MO-Montgomery IL-Montgomery MO-Osage MO-Pike IL-
Pike MO-Ralls MO-Randolph IL-Reynolds MO-Saint Charles MO-
Saint Clair-Saint Francois MO-Saint Louis City MO-Saint Louis MO-
Sainte Genevieve MO-Shelby MO-Warren MO-Washington IL-Washington MO-
236 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

There is a chance of thunderstorms across much of the area early
tonight. A strong to severe thunderstorm or two is possible in
central Missouri, with gusty winds and hail up to the size of
quarters the main threats.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

There is a chance for thunderstorms across portions of the area
Wednesday through Friday and again on Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

$$

Gosselin

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
233 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-191945-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
233 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited hail risk.
  Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited flooding risk.
  Limited lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

 Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop this afternoon
 into tonight across the area. A few stronger storms may produce
 small hail and gusty winds, but should generally remain below
 severe limits. Heavy rain will accompany the thunderstorms and
 any repeated rainfall over the same locations could bring some
 localized flooding. Due to the expected scattered nature of the
 storms, widespread flooding is not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

  Additional rounds of showers and thunderstorms with localized
  heavy rain are expected through the end of the week. Most of
  this activity will also be scattered in nature. While some
  localized flooding will be possible, widespread flooding is not
  expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Lindenberg

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1254 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-191030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
1254 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021


...HEAVY RAINFALL AND SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...This Afternoon.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...This Afternoon.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...This Afternoon.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Significant.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...This Afternoon.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Southeast Oklahoma.

DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms currently across northern Texas will move into southeast
Oklahoma this afternoon, along with additional scattered development possible
further north. With surface boundaries in place, The greater potential for
severe weather will be across southeast Oklahoma where large hail
and damaging winds will be the primary threats.  An isolated tornado is also
possible with any storm that interacts with a localized boundary across
southeast Oklahoma. While a lower severe weather risk will be in place
further north, large hail and locally damaging winds will also be the
primary threats.

Abundant moisture over the region will also allow for periods of
heavy rainfall through tonight. Widespread 1 to 2 inches and
locally greater will be possible across parts of southeast
Oklahoma, where a flood watch is in effect. Further north,
lesser amounts in the half inch to locally over one inch range
are possible. This rainfall on top of recent rains will increase
flash as well as river flooding concerns.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Widespread showers and thunderstorms are forecast to be ongoing
across the region Wednesday morning with additional storm
development possible into Wednesday night. Again, periods of heavy
rainfall will be possible and combined with forecast rains Tuesday
will continue to increase flooding and river flooding concerns. A
limited severe weather potential may remain possible as well
Wednesday. Shower and thunderstorms chances continue through the
end of the week before a low pressure system currently to the west
finally weakens and lifts off to the northeast. A ridge of high
pressure expands into the region over the weekend allowing for
precipitation chances to retreat westward and a warming trend to
develop over eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Continue to monitor updated forecasts as forecast rainfall
through Wednesday night could likely increase mainstem river
flooding concerns.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1149 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-191700-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
1149 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Some minor flooding issues still exist across parts of central
Kansas. Please refer to the flooding warning or river statements
for details.

Thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon into tonight. A few
strong to marginally severe storms could produce up to quarter sized
hail, gusty winds of 40 to 60 mph, and heavy rainfall being the main
risk.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Periodic chances for thunderstorms will continue across the area
Wednesday through Sunday. A few strong storms will be possible on
Wednesday and Thursday, though the main threat is expected to be
locally heavy rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated this afternoon or tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://weather.gov/crh/ghwo?sid=ict

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
441 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-190945-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
441 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

 Rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected today and tonight.
 Severe weather is not anticipated although a few strong storms will
 be possible. Additional rainfall will aggravate flooding along area
 rivers, creeks and streams.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

 Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected each day this
 week which may lead to continued rises along area rivers, creeks
 and streams.


 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
410 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-190915-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
410 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for east central...north
central and northeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

A few thunderstorms are possible late this afternoon and tonight.
Some of these storms could produce small hail, gusty winds, and
locally heavy rain. However widespread severe weather is not
expected. Additionally, river flooding will continue across parts
of central and east central Kansas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at...
http://www.weather.gov/top/sitrep

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
310 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-191000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone-
Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-
Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-
Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-
Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
310 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Showers and thunderstorms will remain possible through at least
tonight...with some locally heavy rainfall possible. Additional
rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are forecast through tonight
across the far west and southwest sections of the area. Locally
higher amounts will be possible...with an increased threat for
flash flooding as a result across the southwest sections of the
area.

A few strong to briefly severe thunderstorms could be
seen...mainly across far southwest sections of the area this
afternoon. Damaging winds and large hail will be the primary
threat with the strongest storms. Otherwise...the overall threat
for organized severe weather looks low at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday Through Monday

Chances for showers and thunderstorms remain in the forecast
through Friday as an active weather pattern persists. While the
overall threat for seeing severe weather looks to remain low...a
strong storm or two could be seen. There will remain an increased
threat for flash flooding for portions of western and southwest
Arkansas...where total rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are
expected from Tuesday morning through Friday...with locally higher
amounts possible.

Calmer conditions will be seen by the weekend...with the threat
for organized hazardous weather becoming low.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
304 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-190815-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
304 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

There is a slight chance of thunderstorms this afternoon across
southeast Missouri. Severe weather is not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

There is a slight chance of thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon,
mainly across southeast Missouri and southern Illinois. Severe
weather is not expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

DWS/CW

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE