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Flood Watch


Flood Watch
National Weather Service Springfield MO
856 PM CDT Tue Oct 26 2021

...The National Weather Service in Springfield MO has issued a Flood
Watch for the following rivers in Missouri...

  Little Osage River near Horton affecting Vernon County.

.A storm system will move into the area late tonight into Wednesday
with rainfall continuing into Friday morning. Rainfall amounts of 1
to 3 inches will be possible over the next several days and may lead
to the Little Osage River near Horton to rise above flood stage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you are in the watch area, remain alert to possible flooding.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.


MOZ066-271000-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FL.A.0015.211029T1348Z-211101T0000Z/
/HTNM7.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
856 PM CDT Tue Oct 26 2021

The National Weather Service in Springfield has issued a

* Flood Watch for
  the Little Osage River near Horton.
* From Friday morning to Sunday evening.
* At 8:45 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 28.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 41.0 feet.
* Flooding is possible.
* Forecast...Flood stage may be reached Friday morning.
* Impact...At 41.0 feet, minor flooding affects low lying areas near
  the gage site and farmland along the river.


&&

LAT...LON 3800 9441 3802 9431 3799 9431 3793 9436
      3796 9444 3796 9451 3796 9458 3798 9462
      3800 9462 3800 9452

$$

JR/ML


Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
518 PM CDT Tue Oct 26 2021

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-271045-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
518 PM CDT Tue Oct 26 2021


...SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Evening and Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...West of Highway 75 in Eastern Oklahoma.
ONSET...After Midnight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma.
ONSET...After Midnight.

HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Along and West of Highway 75 in Eastern Oklahoma.
ONSET...After Midnight.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms are forecast to initially develop along a dryline
over western Oklahoma early this evening and spread eastward into
eastern Oklahoma after midnight tonight and into northwest
Arkansas early Wednesday morning. Some of these storms could be
strong to severe with damaging wind gusts and large hail the main
severe weather concerns. A very small tornado threat will also
exist west of Highway 75 in eastern Oklahoma. In addition to the
severe threat, locally heavy rainfall could lead to flash
flooding. Rainfall rates with these showers and storms may briefly
exceed 2 inches per hour.

Gusty southeast winds late this afternoon are expected to continue
into tonight ahead of a storm system moving into the region
overnight and Wednesday. Wind gusts of 20 to 30 mph are possible
for much of the region with gusts around 35 mph and locally
higher possible over parts of northeast Oklahoma.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy
Rain Potential.
THURSDAY...High Wind Potential.
FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Showers and storms will be ongoing across the area Wednesday
morning. A secondary wave of storms will likely trigger along the
cold front by early afternoon across eastern Oklahoma before
moving into western Arkansas. Some of these storms could briefly
become severe. Locally heavy rainfall which may lead to localized
flash flooding will be possible. Gusty winds will also continue to
be possible during the day Wednesday and increase further
Wednesday night.

Gusty winds are expected to peak Thursday as the upper system
begins to move out. Gusts may exceed 40 miles per hour at times
across much of the area. By Friday, winds look to weaken some
though still remaining gusty with gusts of 20 to 30 mph possible.
The upper level low pressure system is forecast to finally exit
the region Friday with quieter weather forecast for the upcoming
weekend.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
344 PM CDT Tue Oct 26 2021

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-272045-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
344 PM CDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

 Limited lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

A surface low to the west of the Ozarks will bring showers and
isolated storms to areas west of Highway 65 late this evening and
spreading east through the overnight hours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Strong low pressure will continue to move from the Plains into
Oklahoma and Arkansas Wednesday and Wednesday night, bringing
widespread showers and isolated thunderstorms into the region.

Heavy rainfall and some degree of minor flooding may become
possible by Wednesday into Thursday as rainfall totals gradually
accumulate.

Gusty winds up to 35 mph will be possible at times in some areas
Wednesday and Thursday before the system shifts east of the area.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Hatch

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
338 PM CDT Tue Oct 26 2021

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-272045-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
338 PM CDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

A line of strong to severe thunderstorms is expected to move
northeast across the region tonight. The primary risk from this
line of storms will be damaging wind gusts up to 65 mph, mainly
affecting locations along and west of a Lyons to Wichita to
Wellington line. A few strong storms with wind gusts to 50 mph will
be possible later in the night across the Flint Hills and southeast
Kansas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Thunderstorm chances will continue on Wednesday, mainly for
locations along and east of the Kansas turnpike. While chances for
strong or severe storms appears low, there is some potential for
heavy rainfall to occur and cause some minor lowland flooding.

Very strong north winds with gusts over 50 mph are likely on
Thursday across central and south central Kansas. A wind advisory
or even a high wind watch may be issued with later forecasts.

In addition, the combination of very strong north winds and drier
air will create very high grassland fire danger levels on Thursday
afternoon. Mainly affecting central and south central Kansas.

Areas of frost are possible Friday night across much of the area.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://weather.gov/crh/ghwo?sid=ict

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
259 PM CDT Tue Oct 26 2021

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-272000-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
259 PM CDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for east central...north
central and northeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

A line of strong to severe storms is expected to develop over
central Kansas late this evening. These storms will gradually
weaken as they track east over the forecast area during the
overnight hours. Damaging wind gusts are possible with the
strongest storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Any severe weather risk should end by Wednesday morning however
rain and occasional thunderstorms will persist through the day
into Wednesday night. Locally heavy rains of 1 to 2 inches appear
likely with higher amounts possible by late Wednesday night. This
could cause minor flooding of low lying areas or poor drainage
areas.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at...
http://www.weather.gov/top/sitrep

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
247 PM CDT Tue Oct 26 2021

ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-272000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone-
Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-
Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-
Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-
Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
247 PM CDT Tue Oct 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No rain/thunderstorms are expected on Tuesday across the Natural
State.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday Through Monday

A strong storm system will spread showers and a few thunderstorms
over the region Wednesday and into Wednesday night. While a few
stronger storms can not be discounted, especially over the
southwest part of the state, the overall threat of severe weather
is low.

Rainfall amounts of one to two inches with locally higher amounts
are expected Wednesday and Wednesday night. While some localized
flooding is possible, overall dry conditions will prevent any
widespread water concerns.

Some breezy northwest winds are possible by Thursday as this system
shifts east of Arkansas. By late Friday and especially over the
weekend...the threat for hazardous weather will become low.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$


Hydrologic Outlook


Hydrologic Outlook
MOC037-083-101-280245-

Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
943 PM CDT Tue Oct 26 2021

...The National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill MO has issued a
Hydrologic Outlook for the following rivers...

Big Creek at Blairstown

This hydrologic outlook is based on the forecast rainfall for the
next 24 hours and estimated runoff from earlier rainfall. Crests may
vary if actual rainfall or runoff is greater or less than
anticipated.

Location: Big Creek at Blairstown
Flood stage: 20.0 feet
Latest stage: 7.7 feet at 9 PM Tuesday
Maximum Forecast Stage: 21.1 feet at 1 AM Friday Oct 29

Later statements, possibly warnings, may be issued as additional
information becomes available.

$$

Klaus

Hydrologic Outlook
MOC053-195-280245-

Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
942 PM CDT Tue Oct 26 2021

...The National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill MO has issued a
Hydrologic Outlook for the following rivers...

Blackwater River near Blue Lick

This hydrologic outlook is based on the forecast rainfall for the
next 24 hours and estimated runoff from earlier rainfall. Crests may
vary if actual rainfall or runoff is greater or less than
anticipated.

Location: Blackwater River near Blue Lick
Flood stage: 24.0 feet
Latest stage: 7.1 feet at 8 PM Tuesday
Maximum Forecast Stage: 25.1 feet at 1 AM Saturday Oct 30

Later statements, possibly warnings, may be issued as additional
information becomes available.

$$

Klaus

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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