Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1220 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
1220 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected through tonight.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
SUNDAY...No Hazards.
MONDAY...High Wind Potential.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A strong upper level system is expected to translate from the
western states into the Plains Friday through Saturday. The
associated cold front is expected to move through eastern Oklahoma
and northwestern Arkansas on Saturday. Low level moisture will
increase ahead of the weather system Friday and Friday night,
setting the stage for multiple rounds of thunderstorms across the
area Friday night and Saturday. The first round of strong to
potentially severe thunderstorms is expected to move into eastern
Oklahoma late Friday night. These storms should develop over
portions of Kansas into northwestern Oklahoma Friday afternoon and
evening, and move toward our area overnight. Some of this
activity will persist into Saturday morning, with another round of
thunderstorms expected to develop along and ahead of the
approaching cold front on Saturday. Strong wind fields will exist
over the area and the amount of instability that is able to
develop will be dependent on the amount of clouds and lingering
rain from the earlier activity. Even though uncertainties exist
with this scenario, there is potential for severe weather across
far eastern Oklahoma and northwestern Arkansas Saturday.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$