Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
551 AM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-181100-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
551 AM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Marginal hail risk.
Marginal thunderstorm wind damage risk.
Limited lightning risk.
DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms will form late tonight, mostly after
midnight or later. Main hazards with those initial storms will be
hail and damaging winds.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Showers and thunderstorms will move through the area early
Saturday morning before sunrise. Severe storms are possible
especially along and south of I-44 by late morning/early
afternoon. All severe hazards are possible with a widespread high
wind threat being the most probable threat.
Flooding is a concern with the line of thunderstorms moving
through on Saturday with many storms training over the same areas.
Areas along and east of Highway 65 have the best chance of seeing
the higher rainfall totals. Widespread totals will be around 1-2
inches with localized amounts up to 4 inches.
Cooler temperatures in the 60s will occur on Sunday behind the
front. Slight warm up occurs on Monday followed by high
temperatures in the 60s and 70s with lows in the 40s for the rest
of the week.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket
This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf
$$
Soria
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
537 AM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181045-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
537 AM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...After Midnight.
SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Areawide.
ONSET...This Afternoon.
FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Mostly Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...This Afternoon.
DISCUSSION...
Breezy and gusty southerly winds will develop by this afternoon
ahead of an approaching upper level storm system and cold front.
Wind gusts in excess of 25 mph will be possible across much of
eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. The gusty winds and
unseasonably warm temperature will also contribute to elevated
fire weather conditions, especially across northeast Oklahoma this
afternoon. The breezy winds and fire danger will decrease after
sunset this evening.
Thunderstorm chances will increase late tonight into Saturday
morning across northeast Oklahoma as an upper level trough
approaches from the northwest. Upper level forcing and a strong
low level jet will support scattered showers and thunderstorms to
develop. A few strong and marginally severe thunderstorms will be
possible, where large hail and damaging wind gusts will be the
main threats with the strongest storms.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm...High Wind...and
...Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY...High Wind Potential.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...No Hazards.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A cold front will move through eastern Oklahoma
and northwestern Arkansas on Saturday. Thunderstorms, including
possibly a few strong to marginally severe thunderstorms, will
likely be ongoing Saturday morning ahead of the cold front. Storms
are expected to reintensify, especially across far eastern
Oklahoma, southeastern Oklahoma, and northwestern Arkansas late
Saturday morning and through the afternoon, with all severe
hazards possible. Moderate to heavy rainfall will also be
possible with thunderstorm activity. Winds ahead of the
approaching cold front and behind the cold front will be gusty,
with northerly gusts between 25 and 35 mph behind the front.
Southerly winds will quickly return and become breezy again
Sunday and especially on Monday ahead of another approaching cold
front. Widespread southerly gusts in excess of 30 mph will occur
Monday morning into the afternoon prior to the cold front pushing
through late Monday afternoon into the evening. Much more tranquil
weather will occur starting Tuesday.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
342 AM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025
KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-180845-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
342 AM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
A couple storms will be possible this morning over mainly central
Kansas. Strong or severe storms are not expected with this activity.
While a few storms will be possible this afternoon, better storm
chances will arrive this evening and continue through the overnight
hours. Locations along and southeast of the Kansas Turnpike will
have the highest chances for storms. The stronger storms will be
capable of producing nickel to quarter size hail along with 50 to
60 mph winds.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday
Storms will be possible Saturday afternoon across southeast Kansas.
A few strong to marginally severe storms will be possible.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight. However, any
reports of severe weather would be appreciated.
&&
For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict
$$
