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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1105 AM MDT Mon Sep 27 2021

Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range-
Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-
Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel-
Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin-
Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County Lakes-
Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley-
Central Tularosa Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin-
West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet-
East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero Mesa-
Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County-
Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin-
Southern Hudspeth Highlands-
Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties-
Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County-
1105 AM MDT Mon Sep 27 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
New Mexico, southwest New Mexico, and southwest Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

We will see a slight chance for afternoon and evening
thunderstorms today and tonight. No widespread flooding or severe
weather concerns.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

By Thursday an approaching upper level storm system will bring
wide spread rain for Thursday through Saturday morning. Much of
the area could receive moderate or greater rain. 0.50 to 1.00
across the area will be possible. We will see an increased threat
of flash flooding Thursday night and Friday.


Spotter activation will not be needed.


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
424 AM MDT Mon Sep 27 2021

Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-Tusas Mountains Including Chama-
Jemez Mountains-Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Espanola Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood-
Estancia Valley-Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-
Upper Tularosa Valley-South Central Mountains-
Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
San Agustin Plains and Adjacent Lowlands-
424 AM MDT Mon Sep 27 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

There is a marginal risk of excessive rainfall today in the northwest
and west central mountains westward. There will be a risk of flash
flooding below burn scars.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Tuesday, there will be another marginal risk of excessive rainfall
along and west of the continental divide with a risk of flash
flooding below burn scars.

Thursday through Friday night, showers and thunderstorms will become
widespread with areas of moderate to heavy rain developing. Rainfall
amounts may reach over 1.75 inches across much of the area along and
east of the central mountain chain, with amounts near and above 0.75
inches as far west as the continental divide, and lighter amounts
along the AZ border. Much of the eastern plains south of I-40 may
receive over 2.5 inches of rain. The potential exists for flash
flooding to develop, especially below burn scars, in urban areas, and
in areas of complex terrain.


Spotters are encouraged to report rainfall amounts and any flooding
through the National Weather Service Albuquerque web site at or by calling 1.888.386.7637.



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