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7 Day NAEFS River Level Probabilities

Forecast Period: 2017-11-24 - 2017-12-01

Used to Estimate Chances River Will Rise Above A Certain Level During the Forecast Period
Each Column Shows the River Level for A Specified Percent Chance of Exceedance
Click on the StationID to go to hydrograph page for that station
Table Last Updated : Fri Nov 24 16:24:51 EST 2017

Jump to - - Upper Susquehanna Basin - Lower Susquehanna Basin - Upper Delaware Basin - Lower Delaware Basin - New Jersey Basins - Potomac, Rappahannock, and Shenandoah Basins - James and Appomattox Basins

Upper Susquehanna Basin

Exceedance Level (ft.) Flood Levels (ft.)
StationID River City,State 10% 30% 50% 70% 90% Action Minor Mod Major
ESIN6 Ouleout Creek East Sidney Dam (DS), NY 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5
UNDN6 Susquehanna River Unadilla, NY 4.0 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 9.0 11.0 13.0 14.5
RCKN6 Unadilla River Rockdale, NY 5.2 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 8.0 11.0 12.0 13.0
BAIN6 Susquehanna River Bainbridge, NY 3.4 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 13.0 15.0 20.0 22.0
WSRN6 Susquehanna River Windsor, NY 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 13.0 17.0 19.0 20.5
CKLN6 Susquehanna River Conklin, NY 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 8.0 12.0 15.0 20.0
CRTN6 Tioughnioga River Cortland, NY 4.3 4.1 4.0 4.0 3.9 7.0 8.0 10.0 12.5
CINN6 Otselic River Cincinnatus, NY 2.4 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.0 8.0 9.0 11.2 12.5
SHBN6 Chenango River Sherburne, NY 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.7 6.5 8.5 9.5 10.6
GNEN6 Chenango River Greene, NY 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.5 11.0 13.0 15.0 18.0
CNON6 Chenango River Chenango Forks, NY 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 8.0 10.0 12.6 14.0
VSTN6 Susquehanna River Vestal, NY 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 15.0 18.0 21.0 27.0
WVYN6 Susquehanna River Waverly NY (Near), PA 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 12.0 13.0 16.0 20.0
LDYN6 Tioga River Lindley, NY 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 14.0 17.0 20.0 22.0
WCRN6 Canisteo River West Cameron, NY 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 11.0 17.0 18.0 21.0
CMPN6 Cohocton River Campbell, NY 1.2 1.0 .9 .9 .8 5.0 8.0 10.0 11.0
CRNN6 Chemung River Corning, NY 15.7 15.5 15.5 15.5 15.5 21.0 29.0 30.0 36.0
CHEN6 Chemung River Elmira, NY 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 10.0 12.0 15.0 19.0
CMGN6 Chemung River Chemung, NY 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 12.0 16.0 20.0 24.0
TOWP1 Susquehanna River Towanda, PA 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 14.0 16.0 18.0 25.1
MONP1 Towanda Creek Monroeton, PA 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 12.0 15.5 17.0 18.5
MHPP1 Susquehanna River Meshoppen, PA 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 25.0 27.0 31.0 40.0
TNKP1 Tunkhannock Creek Tunkhannock, PA 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.6 9.0 11.0 14.0 17.0
OFRP1 Lackawanna River Old Forge, PA 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 7.0 11.0 13.0 16.0
WBRP1 Susquehanna River Wilkes-Barre, PA 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 10.0 22.0 28.0 30.0

Lower Susquehanna Basin

Exceedance Level (ft.) Flood Levels (ft.)
StationID River City,State 10% 30% 50% 70% 90% Action Minor Mod Major
MFDP1 Tioga River Mansfield, PA .3 .3 .3 .3 .3 9.0 12.0 13.0 14.0
TGRP1 Tioga River Tioga COOP, PA 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4
TGJP1 Tioga River Tioga Junction, PA 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 13.0 15.0 17.0 20.0
LWVP1 Cowanesque River Lawrenceville, PA 7.8 7.7 7.7 7.7 7.7 11.0 13.0 14.0 17.0
CRVP1 West Branch Susquehanna River Curwensville Dam (DS), PA 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
DMLP1 Clearfield Creek Dimeling, PA 5.9 5.3 5.0 4.8 4.4
KARP1 West Branch Susquehanna River Karthaus, PA 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 16.0 19.0 22.0 24.0
SNNP1 Sinnemahoning Creek Sinnemahoning, PA 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 13.0 17.0 19.0 21.0
SFFP1 First Fork Sinnemahoning Creek Stevenson Dam (DS), PA .7 .7 .7 .7 .7
WESP1 Kettle Creek Westport (DS Bush Dam), PA 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6
ROVP1 West Branch Susquehanna River Renovo, PA 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 12.0 16.0 18.0 22.0
LHVP1 West Branch Susquehanna River Lock Haven, PA 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 17.0 21.0 23.0 25.0
CEDP1 Pine Creek Cedar Run, PA 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 7.0 12.0 13.0 15.0
JRSP1 West Branch Susquehanna River Jersey Shore, PA 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 23.0 26.0 28.0 29.0
WILP1 West Branch Susquehanna River Williamsport, PA 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 10.0 20.0 21.0 30.0
LOYP1 Loyalsock Creek Loyalsockville, PA 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 9.0 12.0 13.0 14.0
LWBP1 West Branch Susquehanna River Lewisburg, PA 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 14.0 18.0 23.0 28.0
WIBP1 Frankstown Branch Juniata River Williamsburg, PA 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 9.0 12.0 13.0 15.0
SPKP1 Little Juniata River Spruce Creek, PA 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 6.0 8.0 10.0 14.0
HUJP1 Juniata River Huntingdon, PA 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 9.0 12.0 13.0 15.0
SXTP1 Raystown Branch Juniata River Saxton, PA 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 14.0 17.0 19.0 22.0
RTBP1 Raystown Branch Juniata River Raystown Dam (DS), PA 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8
MPLP1 Juniata River Mapleton Depot, PA 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 15.0 20.0 24.0 26.0
SLYP1 Aughwick Creek Shirleysburg, PA 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 8.0 10.0 12.0 20.0
LWSP1 Juniata River Lewistown, PA 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 18.0 23.0 27.0 28.0
NPTP1 Juniata River Newport, PA 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 17.0 22.0 25.0 30.0
BMBP1 Susquehanna River Bloomsburg, PA 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 16.0 19.0 22.0 28.0
DANP1 Susquehanna River Danville, PA 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 15.0 20.0 23.0 30.0
SBYP1 Susquehanna River Sunbury, PA 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 20.0 24.0 26.0 34.0
PNCP1 Penns Creek Penns Creek, PA 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0
SMDP1 Sherman Creek Shermans Dale, PA 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 5.0 9.0 11.0 16.0
HGSP1 Conodoguinet Creek Hogestown, PA 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0
HARP1 Susquehanna River Harrisburg, PA 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 11.0 17.0 20.0 23.0
CPHP1 Yellow Breeches Creek Camp Hill, PA 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 6.0 7.0 9.0 13.0
HTVP1 Swatara Ck Harper Tavern, PA 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 7.0 9.0 12.0 15.0
HERP1 Swatara Creek Hershey, PA 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 6.0 7.0 10.0 14.0
MRTP1 Susquehanna River Marietta, PA 36.5 36.5 36.5 36.5 36.5 44.0 49.0 52.0 54.0
LNCP1 Conestoga River Lancaster, PA 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 9.0 11.0 13.0 15.0
CNWM2 Susquehanna River Conowingo Dam, MD 14.8 14.8 14.8 14.8 14.8 21.5 23.5 24.8 28.5

Upper Delaware Basin

Exceedance Level (ft.) Flood Levels (ft.)
StationID River City,State 10% 30% 50% 70% 90% Action Minor Mod Major
WALN6 West Branch Delaware River Walton, NY 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 7.5 9.5 14.0 16.0
HLEN6 West Branch Delaware River Hale Eddy, NY 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 9.0 11.0 13.0 15.0
HVDN6 East Branch Delaware River Harvard, NY 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 7.0 10.0 12.0 15.0
CKFN6 Beaver Kill Cooks Falls, NY 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 8.0 10.0 16.0 18.0
FSHN6 East Branch Delaware River Fishs Eddy, NY 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 11.0 13.0 16.0 18.0
CCRN6 Delaware River Callicoon, PA 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 9.0 12.0 13.0 14.8
BRYN6 Delaware River Barryville, NY 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 15.0 17.0 22.0 26.0
HWYP1 Lackawaxen River Hawley, PA 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 9.0 11.0 12.0 20.0
MTMP1 Delaware River Matamoras PA/Port Jervis NY, PA 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 16.0 18.0 24.0 27.0
NVXN6 Neversink River Neversink Inflow, NY 3.6 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0
BRGN6 Neversink River Bridgeville, NY 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.8 12.0 13.0 17.0 19.0
MTGN4 Delaware River Montague, NJ/Milford, PA, PA 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 23.0 25.0 28.0 33.0

Lower Delaware Basin

Exceedance Level (ft.) Flood Levels (ft.)
StationID River City,State 10% 30% 50% 70% 90% Action Minor Mod Major
WHTP1 Lehigh River White Haven (DS), PA 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 7.0 8.0 9.0 9.8
LHTP1 Lehigh River Lehighton, PA 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 9.0 10.0 12.0 14.0
WNTP1 Lehigh River Walnutport, PA 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 7.5 8.0 12.0 16.0
ALNP1 Jordan Ck. Allentown, PA 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 6.0 8.0 10.0 11.0
BETP1 Lehigh R. Bethlehem, PA 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 12.0 16.0 20.0 22.0
SHOP1 Bush Kill Shoemakers, PA 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0
TKSN4 Delaware R. Tocks Island, NJ 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 20.0 21.0 23.0 25.0
MNSP1 Brodhead Ck. Minisink Hills, PA 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 8.0 10.0 12.0 15.0
BVDN4 Delaware River Belvidere, NJ 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 18.5 22.0 24.0 25.0
RGLN4 Delaware R. Riegelsville, PA 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 15.0 22.0 26.0 30.0
TREN4 Delaware River Trenton, NJ 8.7 8.7 8.7 8.7 8.7 17.0 20.0 23.0 25.0
BREP1 Schuylkill R. Berne, PA 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0
BMRP1 Tulpehocken Creek Blue Marsh Dam (DS), PA 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0
RDRP1 Schuylkill River Reading, PA 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 14.5 15.5 18.0 22.0
PTNP1 Schuylkill River Pottstown, PA 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 11.0 12.5 18.0 22.0
GRAP1 Perkiomen Creek Graterford, PA 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 9.0 11.0 13.0 16.0
NRSP1 Schuylkill R. Norristown, PA 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.1 12.0 13.0 17.0 19.0
PADP1 Schuylkill River Philadelphia, PA 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 10.0 11.0 13.0 15.5
CDFP1 Brandywine Creek Chadds Ford, PA 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 8.0 9.0 11.0 13.0
WMND1 Brandywine Creek Wilmington, DE 11.8 11.7 11.7 11.7 11.7 14.5 16.5 18.0 19.0
LNGP1 Neshaminy Creek Langhorne, PA 1.5 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 12.0

New Jersey Basins

Exceedance Level (ft.) Flood Levels (ft.)
StationID River City,State 10% 30% 50% 70% 90% Action Minor Mod Major
MILN4 Passaic River Millington, NJ 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 7.0 8.0 9.0 9.8
CAMN4 Passaic River Chatham, NJ 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 5.5 6.0 8.0 10.0
BOTN4 Rockaway River Boonton USGS (Above Res), NJ .9 .9 .9 .9 .9 3.5 4.5 6.0 7.0
BONN4 Rockaway R. Boonton 5W (Below Res), NJ 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 4.5 5.0 7.0 8.0
PINN4 Passaic R. Pine Brook, NJ 11.7 11.6 11.6 11.6 11.6 18.0 19.0 20.0 21.0
MCPN4 Pequannock R. Macopin Intake Dam, NJ 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 5.0 5.5 6.5 7.5
WNQN4 Wanaque River Wanaque Dam, NJ 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 5.0 6.0 8.0 9.0
MAWN4 Ramapo River Mahwah, NJ 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 7.5 8.0 9.0 12.0
PPTN4 Ramapo R. Pompton Lakes, NJ 7.0 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.9 10.0 11.5 13.5 14.5
PPPN4 Pompton R. Pompton Plains, NJ 7.8 7.7 7.7 7.7 7.7 13.0 16.0 18.0 19.0
LTFN4 Passaic River Little Falls, NJ .6 .5 .5 .5 .5 6.5 7.0 8.0 9.0
LODN4 Saddle R. Lodi, NJ 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 5.5 6.0 7.0 8.0
STTN4 S. Br. Raritan R. Stanton, NJ 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 7.0 8.0 10.0 12.0
RRTN4 N. Br. Raritan River Raritan, NJ 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 8.0 10.0 12.0 15.0
MNVN4 Raritan R. Manville, NJ 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 12.0 14.0 17.0 20.0
BKWN4 Millstone River Blackwells Mills, NJ 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 7.0 9.0 10.0 15.0
BDKN4 Raritan River Bound Brook, NJ 17.2 17.1 17.1 17.1 17.1 26.0 28.0 30.0 33.0
TACN4 Assunpink Creek Trenton on the Assunpink, NJ 3.0 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 7.0 8.5 9.5 11.0
PEBN4 N. Br. Rancocas Creek Pemberton, NJ 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 2.3 2.5 3.5 4.2

Potomac, Rappahannock, and Shenandoah Basins

Exceedance Level (ft.) Flood Levels (ft.)
StationID River City,State 10% 30% 50% 70% 90% Action Minor Mod Major
KITM2 North Branch Potomac River Kitzmiller, MD 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 8.0 9.0 12.0 15.0
BNMW2 N. Br. Potomac R. Barnum (DS Jennings Randolph Res.), WV 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4
SRVM2 Savage River Savage River Dam (DS), MD 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3
LUKM2 N. Br. Potomac R. Luke USGS, MD 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 9.0 10.5 12.5 15.0
CWCM2 Wills Creek Cumberland, MD 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 9.0 10.0 12.0 14.0
CBEM2 North Branch Potomac River Cumberland, MD 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 12.0 17.0 21.0 23.0
FKLW2 South Branch Potomac River Franklin, WV 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 6.0 7.0 9.0 11.0
PETW2 S. Br. Potomac R. Petersburg, WV 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.4 12.0 14.0 15.0 17.0
MOFW2 S. Fork S. Branch Potomac R. Moorefield, WV 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0
SPRW2 South Branch Potomac River Springfield, WV 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5 12.0 15.0 19.0 25.0
PAWW2 Potomac River Paw Paw, WV 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 25.0 25.0 28.0 32.0
GCPW2 Cacapon River Great Cacapon, WV 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 7.0 9.0 16.0 20.0
HNKM2 Potomac River Hancock, MD 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 24.0 30.0 33.0 35.0
FAVM2 Conococheague Creek Fairview, MD 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 8.0 10.0 12.0 15.0
MBGW2 Opequon Creek Martinsburg, WV 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 9.0 10.0 12.5 15.0
SHEW2 Potomac River Shepherdstown, WV 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 8.0 15.0 22.0 25.0
SACM2 Antietam Creek Sharpsburg, MD 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 7.0 8.0 10.0 12.0
PORM2 Potomac River Point Of Rocks, MD 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 15.0 16.0 20.0 25.0
FDKM2 Monocacy River Frederick, MD 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 13.0 15.0 17.0 20.0
LEEV2 Goose Creek Leesburg, VA 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 10.0 12.0 15.0 18.0
DAWM2 Seneca Creek Dawsonville, MD 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 5.0 7.5 11.0 16.0
BRKM2 Potomac River Little Falls, MD 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 5.0 10.0 12.0 14.0
WAYV2 South River Waynesboro, VA 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 7.5 9.5 11.0 13.0
LYWV2 South Fork Shenandoah River Lynnwood, VA 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 14.0 16.0 17.0 20.0
SFSV2 South Fork Shenandoah River Luray, VA 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 13.0 14.0 20.0 25.0
FROV2 South Fork Shenandoah River Front Royal, VA 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 8.0 12.0 14.0 18.0
COOV2 North Fork Shenandoah River Cootes Store, VA 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 10.0 15.0 18.0 21.0
STGV2 North Fork Shenandoah River Strasburg, VA 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 10.0 17.0 20.0 25.0
MILW2 Shenandoah R. Millville, WV 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 8.0 10.0 14.0 17.0
RENV2 Rappahannock River Remington, VA 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 12.0 15.0 20.0 25.0
CLPV2 Rapidan River Culpeper, VA .8 .7 .7 .7 .7 11.0 13.0 17.0 21.0
FDBV2 Rappahannock River Fredericksburg, VA 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 10.0 13.0 16.0 23.0

James and Appomattox Basins

Exceedance Level (ft.) Flood Levels (ft.)
StationID River City,State 10% 30% 50% 70% 90% Action Minor Mod Major
CVGV2 Jackson River Covington, VA 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.6 14.0 17.0 20.0 23.0
LIRV2 James River Lick Run, VA 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 12.0 16.0 22.0 25.0
BNNV2 James River Buchanan, VA 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 11.0 17.0 21.0 26.0
BVSV2 Maury R. Buena Vista, VA 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 13.0 17.0 19.0 21.0
HRKV2 James River Holcomb Rock, VA 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 18.0 22.0 24.0 28.0
BECV2 James R. Bent Creek, VA 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 15.0 16.0 22.0 27.5
SVEV2 James River Scottsville, VA 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 11.0 20.0 22.0 24.0
PYAV2 Rivanna River Palmyra, VA 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 15.0 17.0 25.0 32.0
CARV2 James River Cartersville, VA 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 15.0 20.0 23.0 26.4
RMDV2 James River Richmond-Westham, VA 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 9.0 12.0 15.0 22.0
FRMV2 Appomattox River Farmville, VA 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 12.0 16.0 20.0 25.0
MTXV2 Appomattox River Mattoax, VA 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.6 18.0 21.0 25.0 28.0
MTCV2 Appomattox River Matoaca, VA 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 8.0 10.0 13.0 15.0