National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce
Customize Your Weather.gov

Privacy Policy

LOADING...

Central Region Headquarters

Regional Headquarters

Probabilistic QPF

Weather.gov > Central Region Headquarters > Probabilistic QPF

Probabilistic QPF Experiment

 
Expected Liquid Precip - Official NWS Forecast
Official NWS Forecast Liquid Precipitation Totals
The "Point" map is the official NWS liquid precipitation forecast in inches during the time period shown on the graphic. This liquid precipitation amount is determined by NWS forecasters to be the most likely outcome based on evaluation of data from computer models, satellite, radar, and other observations. Note that forecast snow amounts also includes sleet.

The "Range" map is the 25th percentile (lower number) to 75th percentile (higher number) of possible liquid precipitation amounts based on the Weather Prediction Center (WPC) Super Ensemble output during the time period of the graphic. The official NWS liquid precipitation forecast influences this range of values either up or down depending upon how closely they match.
High End Amount

1 in 10 Chance (10%) of Higher Liquid Precipitation

Maximum Potential Liquid Precipitation What's this?
Low End Amount

9 in 10 Chance (90%) of Higher Liquid Precipitation

Minimum Potential Liquid Precipitation What's this?
Percent Chance That Liquid Precipitation Amounts Will Be Greater Than...
Hover over thumbnails below to view larger image.
What's this?
>=0.01"
>=0.01"
>=0.1"
>=0.1"
>=0.25"
>=0.25"
>=0.50"
>=0.5"
>=1"
>=1"
>=2"
>=2"
>=4"
>=4"
>=6"
>=6"
>=8"
>=8"
Probability Graphic
Liquid Precipitation Totals by Location
These tables show the liquid precipitation forecast for individual locations. The tables provide the same information as the maps on this web page, just shown in a different way. All of these values are valid for the same time period as depicted on the graphics.
Location Low-End
Amount		 Expected
Amount		 High-End
Amount		 Chance of Seeing More Than
Expected Liquid Precip - Official NWS Forecast
Official NWS Forecast Liquid Precipitation Totals
The "Point" map is the official NWS liquid precipitation forecast in inches during the time period shown on the graphic. This liquid precipitation amount is determined by NWS forecasters to be the most likely outcome based on evaluation of data from computer models, satellite, radar, and other observations. Note that forecast snow amounts also includes sleet.

The "Range" map is the 25th percentile (lower number) to 75th percentile (higher number) of possible liquid precipitation amounts based on the Weather Prediction Center (WPC) Super Ensemble output during the time period of the graphic. The official NWS liquid precipitation forecast influences this range of values either up or down depending upon how closely they match.
High End Amount

1 in 10 Chance (10%) of Higher Liquid Precipitation

Maximum Potential Liquid Precipitation What's this?
Low End Amount

9 in 10 Chance (90%) of Higher Liquid Precipitation

Minimum Potential Liquid Precipitation What's this?
Percent Chance That Liquid Precipitation Amounts Will Be Greater Than...
Hover over thumbnails below to view larger image.
What's this?
>=0.01"
>=0.01"
>=0.1"
>=0.1"
>=0.25"
>=0.25"
>=0.50"
>=0.5"
>=1"
>=1"
>=2"
>=2"
>=4"
>=4"
>=6"
>=6"
>=8"
>=8"
Probability Graphic
Expected Liquid Precip - Official NWS Forecast
Official NWS Forecast Liquid Precipitation Totals
The "Point" map is the official NWS liquid precipitation forecast in inches during the time period shown on the graphic. This liquid precipitation amount is determined by NWS forecasters to be the most likely outcome based on evaluation of data from computer models, satellite, radar, and other observations. Note that forecast snow amounts also includes sleet.

The "Range" map is the 25th percentile (lower number) to 75th percentile (higher number) of possible liquid precipitation amounts based on the Weather Prediction Center (WPC) Super Ensemble output during the time period of the graphic. The official NWS liquid precipitation forecast influences this range of values either up or down depending upon how closely they match.
High End Amount

1 in 10 Chance (10%) of Higher Liquid Precipitation

Maximum Potential Liquid Precipitation What's this?
Low End Amount

9 in 10 Chance (90%) of Higher Liquid Precipitation

Minimum Potential Liquid Precipitation What's this?
Percent Chance That Liquid Precipitation Amounts Will Be Greater Than...
Hover over thumbnails below to view larger image.
What's this?
>=0.01"
>=0.01"
>=0.1"
>=0.1"
>=0.25"
>=0.25"
>=0.50"
>=0.5"
>=1"
>=1"
>=2"
>=2"
>=4"
>=4"
>=6"
>=6"
>=8"
>=8"
Probability Graphic
Expected Liquid Precip - Official NWS Forecast
Official NWS Forecast Liquid Precipitation Totals
The "Point" map is the official NWS liquid precipitation forecast in inches during the time period shown on the graphic. This liquid precipitation amount is determined by NWS forecasters to be the most likely outcome based on evaluation of data from computer models, satellite, radar, and other observations. Note that forecast snow amounts also includes sleet.

The "Range" map is the 25th percentile (lower number) to 75th percentile (higher number) of possible liquid precipitation amounts based on the Weather Prediction Center (WPC) Super Ensemble output during the time period of the graphic. The official NWS liquid precipitation forecast influences this range of values either up or down depending upon how closely they match.
High End Amount

1 in 10 Chance (10%) of Higher Liquid Precipitation

Maximum Potential Liquid Precipitation What's this?
Low End Amount

9 in 10 Chance (90%) of Higher Liquid Precipitation

Minimum Potential Liquid Precipitation What's this?
Percent Chance That Liquid Precipitation Amounts Will Be Greater Than...
Hover over thumbnails below to view larger image.
What's this?
>=0.01"
>=0.01"
>=0.1"
>=0.1"
>=0.25"
>=0.25"
>=0.50"
>=0.5"
>=1"
>=1"
>=2"
>=2"
>=4"
>=4"
>=6"
>=6"
>=8"
>=8"
Probability Graphic
Long Range Forecast
Days 4-5 Forecast Precipitation
...
Days 6-7 Forecast Precipitation
...
Days 6-10
Temperature
...
Precipitation
...
Days 8-14
Temperature
...
Precipitation
...
Weeks 3-4
Temperature
...
Precipitation
...