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Product Description and Call for Public Feedback

Contents:

1. Overview
2. Product Description
3. Methodology
4. Availability
5. Examples
6. Feedback and Comments

2. Product Description

The experimental Tropical Cyclone Storm Surge Probabilities product consists of two products which encompass both the Gulf of Mexico and the Eastern Atlantic coastal areas. The first product is a series of graphics which show probabilities, in percent, of storm surge exceeding 2 through 10 feet. The second product is a graphic which indicates that there is a 10 percent chance of the displayed storm surge heights being exceeded. These storm surge products are based upon an ensemble of Sea, Lake, and Overland Surge from Hurricanes (SLOSH) model runs using the National Hurricane Center (NHC) official advisory and accounts for track, size, and intensity errors based on historical errors. Additional information on the SLOSH model can be found at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/HAW2/english/surge/slosh.shtml.