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Short Course on Quantitative Precipitation Estimation and Forecasting
Sponsored by the American Meteorological Society's Hydrology Committee
January 13, 2002 Orlando, Florida
Instructors
Richard Fulton Hydrology Laboratory Office of Hydrologic Development National Weather Service Silver Spring, Maryland richard.fulton@noaa.gov		Norman W. Junker Hydrometeorological Prediction Center Nat'l Center for Environmental Prediction National Weather Service Camp Springs, Maryland njunker@ncep.noaa.gov
Dr. Roderick A. Scofield Office of Research and Applications National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service Camp Springs, Maryland roderick.scofield@noaa.gov		Matthew Kelsch Cooperative Program for Operational Meteorology, Education, and Training University Corp. for Atmospheric Research Boulder, Colorado kelsch@ucar.edu
8:00 a.m.	Introduction of Instructors and Students
8:15 a.m.	Overview of operational rainfall estimation procedures - .pdf (Fulton)
	Precipitation Processing System (PPS) Multisensor Precipitation Estimator (MPE) Stage IV Precipitation Processing
8:45 a.m.	Scientific techniques for estimating precipitation - .zip (Fulton) Note: This file has been compressed due to its original size (46MB). Download this to a drive with sufficient space and view locally. No de-compression software is needed, file is self-executing.
	Rain gauges Analysis techniques Challenges Radar Measuring drop size distributions Reflectivity and polarimetric rain rate estimation techniques Quality control techniques for blockage, hail, anomalous propagation, clutter Correcting for range-dependent biase
9:45 a.m.	Coffee break
10:00 a.m.	Improving radar rainfall estimates using rain gauges and satellite data - .exe (Fulton) Note: This file has been compressed due to its original size (32MB). Download this to a drive with sufficient space and view locally. No de-compression software is needed, file is self-executing.
	Mosaicking of radar rainfall products Correction techniques for mean-field and local biases Multisensor merging techniques Use of multisensor rainfall products in operational hydrologic models
10:30 a.m.	Review of operational satellite rainfall estimation algorithms (Scofield)
	Auto-estimator GOES Multispectral Rainfall Algorithm Interactive Flash Flood Analyzer Passive microwave techniques
12:00 p.m.	Lunch break
1:00 p.m.	Introduction to quantitative precipitation forecasting (QPF) (Junker)
	Overview of the QPF problem What determines the amount of precipitation that falls over a given area How the parameterization of physical processes can impact precipitation forecasts Probabilistic methods statistical methods ensemble techniques
2:00 p.m.	Factors determining efficiency and rainfall intensity (Kelsch)
	Precipitation intensity and duration Precipitation efficiency Warm versus cold rain processes
3:00 p.m.	Coffee break
3:15 p.m.	Forecasting precipitation associated with mesoscale convective systems (MCS): Part I (Junker)
	Factors that determine: mode of development precipitation distribution within the MCS scale of a convective system
4:15 p.m.	Forecasting precipitation associated with mesoscale convective systems (MCS): Part II (Junker)
	Predicting the movement of convective systems movement versus propagation operational techniques Where does the heaviest rainfall typically occur in relationship to various parameters How well can we predict the precipitation from an MCS
5:15 p.m.	Calibration of forecasts (Junker)
	Importance of verification
5:30 p.m.	Short course ends.

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