Area Forecast Discussion

Winter Storm in the Central Appalachians through the Northeast; Heavy Snow in the Great Basin and Rockies

A winter storm will impact the central Appalachians to the Northeast through the night. Accumulating snow is expected for interior New England and the northern Mid-Atlantic. Scattered showers and occasional thunderstorms will persist across Florida and the Southeast coast. Locally heavy mountain snow is expected in the Great Basin and Rockies over the next couple of days. Read More >

177
FXUS63 KSGF 022030
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
230 PM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Watching for a potential brief band of snow or freezing
drizzle Wednesday evening into Wednesday night. Current
probability for precipitation is around 15%, but that may
need to be increased in future updates. Any precipitation
would last less than 3-4 hours.

- Periods of warm-ups and cool-downs this week, but for the most
part temperatures remain near or below normal (46-52 F is
normal range for early December).

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 155 PM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

Quiet through Wednesday with lows tonight in the low to mid 20s
and highs tomorrow in the 40s.

A strong cold front shifts south through the area late Wednesday
into Wednesday night. Low level moisture and lift following the
front may lead to narrow band of light wintry precip Wednesday
evening into Wednesday night. Models vary in the amount and
placement of the moisture and lift, reducing confidence in
precip coverage, chances, and type. Right now the forecast
features a 15% chance for a light wintry mix (realistically
lasting no more than 3-4 hours in any location, if it occurs).
There could be some travel impacts as temperatures fall into the
mid teens to mid 20s overnight, but confidence is still too low
on other details to have a handle on details.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 155 PM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

Models brought back a 15% chance of light freezing rain over far
south-central MO (southeast of West Plains) Thursday night, but
confidence that precip will impact the CWA is quite low and
will depend on the exact track of shortwave energy.

Models remain all over the place for the weekend, with some
showing some precip over the area. NBM PoPs remain less than 15%
given the lack of agreement or continuity.

Other than that, look for highs in the 30s Thursday and in the
40s Friday into early next week. Lows are forecast to be in the
20s, with the exception of Saturday night with lows around 30.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1139 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

VFR conditions and light winds will persist through the TAF
period.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
MO...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Titus
LONG TERM...Titus
AVIATION...Titus