Area Forecast Discussion

    
                        

618

FXUS63 KSGF 101123

AFDSGF



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Springfield MO

523 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Gusty southwest winds becoming west to northwest later this

  morning at 25 to 35 mph.



- Near to above average temperatures through Friday. The warmest

  temperatures will be focused across the south and west with

  highs in the 50s.



- Cooler temperatures settle into the are Friday night through

  Sunday, with the coldest temperatures on Sunday. Minimum wind

  chills on Sunday morning dip into the single digits to teens.



- Dry through most of the period with precipitation chances less

  than 10%.



&&



.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...

Issued at 248 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025



High clouds are still situated over us tonight with

southwesterly winds still gusting up to 25 mph at times. The

cold front is just to our north currently going through central

MO. Winds flip out of the northwest later this morning and will

continue to gust up to 30 mph through the afternoon especially

over the eastern Ozarks. Skies will be mostly sunny today with

highs reaching the mid 40s to lower 50s. Winds diminish tonight

as the low pressure system heads east and skies will start to

get cloudy once again ahead of the next system. Lows tonight

will be in the upper 20s to lower 30s.



Winds turn southwesterly and gust up to 20 mph again on

Thursday ahead of the next surface low. Skies will remain partly

cloudy through the day and a warm front moves through making it

feel mild with highs in the upper 40s to lower 50s. Winds stay

elevated through Thursday night and clouds stick around as well

as lows sit in the mid 30s.



&&



.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...

Issued at 248 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025



The cold front is getting pushed later and later still. Now, the

cold front isn`t expected to move through until Friday

afternoon. Therefore, Friday will still feel warm with highs

reaching the upper 40s to lower 50s. Winds will start out

southerly then flip northerly and gust up to 20 mph. Another

stronger front will pass through on Saturday. Saturday will

feature another shot of cold air in the evening hours and the

daytime highs will be mild in the mid 40s to lower 50s. The

stronger CAA finally reaches us Saturday night with lows sitting

in the teens and lower 20s with single digit wind chills.

Sunday will be chilly with highs only reaching the 30s, but

skies start to clear out as surface high pressure starts to move

in.



The start of next week has a 15-20% chance for rain on Tuesday as

a departing low tries to bring us a few rain showers.

Confidence is low for any widespread rain at this time.

Temperatures and precipitation chances are still low confidence

as guidance tries to get a handle on the placement of the next

system.



&&



.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/...

Issued at 522 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025



VFR through the period with gusty southwesterly winds turning

northwesterly within the next hour or two with wind gusts up to

25 knots through the afternoon. Wind shear has been included in

the forecast. Winds diminish by tonight and high clouds return

again.



&&



.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

KS...None.

MO...None.



&&



$$



SHORT TERM...Soria

LONG TERM...Soria

AVIATION...Soria