.AVIATION /14Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... Prevailing VFR conditions are expected amongst the terminals through this evening. Temporary reductions are possible at times this afternoon and evening due to scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highest confidence for afternoon showers and storms appears to be from a line south of CBE/MRB to BWI/MTN. Locations further south toward IAD, DCA and CHO have a better opportunity for showers and thunderstorms given the placement of shortwave energy rolling through.Thunderstorm development would likely occur between 20-01z/4-9pm. Coverage will be isolated to scattered with more scattered to widespread shower activity overnight as the front swings through. Went with PROB30s to encompass the afternoon shower and thunderstorms threat with prevailing showers this evening based on current guidance. Beyond the showers and thunderstorms, not looking at a whole lot of low clouds nor fog outside the mountains. Skies will remain between SCT-BKN this afternoon trending BKN-OVC this evening as the front pushes in. MAV/MET guidance continues to hold a high likelihood of low cigs/vsbys mainly west of Blue Ridge heading into Friday morning. This will be something to monitor in subsequent TAF cycles. Any temporary restrictions this evening into early Friday morning will give way to VFR conditions Friday afternoon as brief dry air moves into the region. A leftover shower or thunderstorm is possible from KCHO south Friday afternoon and evening as the front stalls nearby. Additional scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible during the afternoon/evening hours this weekend. This will lead to temporary reductions amongst the terminals at times otherwise VFR conditions will prevail. South to southeast winds Saturday will switch to the west and southwest winds Sunday at less than 15 kts. Winds turn to the north and northwest Monday and Tuesday as VFR conditions continue. AVIATION...KLW/EST/SRT Update as of: 1051 AM EDT Thu Sep 10 2026