.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Low clouds are slowly lifting and scattering out this afternoon,
although it may take a couple more hours for all locations to
return to VFR. The greatest chance for showers and perhaps a
thunderstorm this afternoon and evening will be at CHO. While
confidence has increased enough for a TAF mention, it is
uncertain how well thunderstorms hold together crossing the Blue
Ridge into a slightly more stable airmass. Winds gradually
shift to south to southeasterly by this evening. Another round
of low clouds are looking likely tonight, and some patchy
fog/mist is also possible toward dawn. There is also an
increasing chance of showers and perhaps embedded thunderstorms
crossing the area in advance of a warm front late tonight
through mid morning Thursday. Given model disagreement in timing
and coverage, only included a PROB30 for now. Expect a return to
VFR conditions by mid morning Thursday.
Confidence is increasing in thunderstorms developing near MRB
early Thursday afternoon before progressing east across the area
during the afternoon to early evening. Strong wind gusts and
very heavy rain will be possible. Fog may form in the wake of
the storms Thursday night.
There will be a threat of thunderstorms Friday and Saturday as a
cold front slowly settles across the area. After the front
passes to the south early Sunday, predominantly VFR conditions
are expected through Monday. Northerly winds shift easterly by
Sunday evening.
AVIATION...ADS/SRT
Update as of: 342 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026