.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A few sprinkles are possible today as a warm front lifts across,
with a shower or two possible tonight as a cold front swings by.
A rumble of thunder can't be ruled out, but both thunder and
impactful precipitation chances appear too low at the moment to
even include a PROB30 group at any of the TAF sites. Some LLWS
is possible if surface winds go light or maintain a more S/SE
component into the evening as winds increase and veer aloft.
Otherwise SE to S and eventually SW winds are expected through
tonight, becoming W late. Winds will start light, but a few
gusts around 15 knots are possible this afternoon. By this
evening, southerly gusts of 15-20 knots become more likely,
though gusts may be occasional given reduced diurnal mixing.
Once the cold front crosses, an uptick in wind gusts is likely.
Blustery conditions are expected on both Sunday and Monday with
a relative minimum during the overnight hours. An initial wave
of gusts is possible (25-35 knots) Sunday morning in the wake of
the cold front and as diurnal mixing increases. Gusts may level
off a bit before increasing again later in the day into the
early evening as a secondary front surges through. Gusts to
around 40 knots may be possible during this time. Monday will be
breezy as well with 20-30 knot gusts likely. All of this is out
of a west to northwest direction. High pressure building in
Monday night will cause winds to become much lighter.
Sub-VFR ceilings and rain appear possible at times during the day
Tuesday. VFR conditions will return for Wednesday. Winds are
expected to be light and variable on Tuesday, and then light out of
the north on Wednesday.
AVIATION...DHOF/KJP
Update as of: 205 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025