National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Moisture Will Bring Heavy to Excessive Rainfall with Possible Flooding This Week

Tropical moisture from the remnants of Odalys and Hurricane Polo will surge over the southwest into the central U.S. this week with several days of heavy to excessive rainfall which may bring limited to considerable flooding. Flood Watches have been issued through Wednesday in the southwest U.S. and moderate risk outlooks have been issued today through Thursday. Read More >

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Last Map Update: Mon, Sep 28, 2026 at 4:04:48 pm CDT

Scattered to Numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop across the region Tuesday night through Thursday. These will pose a risk for heavy rainfall and flash flooding across West Central Texas this week.
There is a low to medium (10-30%) chance of showers and thunderstorms today and during the day on Tuesday, and increasing chances (40-90%) Tuesday night through Friday. There is a Marginal to Moderate risk for Excessive Rainfall Tuesday through Thursday. The main concerns with any storms that do develop will be heavy rainfall, flooding, and strong gusty winds.
Showers and thunderstorms expected to develop on Wednesday with additional rounds Wednesday night into Thursday. Medium to high (40-80%) chance of rainfall amounts exceeding 2 inches, with low to medium chances (20-50%) of exceeding 3 inches.
Rain chances increasing this week, mainly for Wednesday and Thursday as multiple rounds of thunderstorms are forecast.
Scattered thunderstorms will develop Wednesday afternoon across the area. A few storms may be severe, especially across the Big Country and Concho Valley.
Above normal temperatures will continue through early this week, then near to below normal temperatures are expected for mid to late next week. Low chances (15-30%) for showers and thunderstorms today, then medium to high chances (40-90%) Tuesday through Friday next week.

 

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