National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rain in the Mid-Atlantic; Severe Thunderstorms in the Northern Plains; Critical Fire in the West

Locally heavy rain and flash flooding will be possible today into tonight near the Mid-Atlantic/Carolina coast. Storms with large hail and severe wind gusts are expected across parts of the central and northern Plains into the upper Mississippi Valley. Dry thunderstorms, and warm, dry, and windy conditions will produce fire weather conditions in parts of the Great Basin and northern Rockies. Read More >

Click a location below for detailed forecast.

Last Map Update: Thu, Aug 14, 2025 at 1:16:53 pm CDT

There are no watches, warnings, or advisories at this time.

Storms.
It will be getting hotter again as an upper level high builds back over the region. Highs today will be near normal then will increase a few degrees Thursday reaching the upper 90s to low 100s. Rain chances drop back to near zero with only a slight chance in the higher elevations of the Big Bend.
Tonight, the best chances of thunderstorms will be during the evening, from south of the Guadalupe Mountains to near Lajitas. Any storms that do develop will be accompanied by occasional lightning, small hail, gusty winds, and brief, heavy rainfall. Lows will average an uncomfortable ~ 6-8 F above normal.
Friday, the best chances of thunderstorms will be during the afternoon, in the vicinity of the Davis Mountains. Any storms that do develop will be accompanied by occasional lightning, small hail, gusty winds, and brief, heavy rainfall. Highs will average ~ 5-7 F above normal.

Text Product Selector (Selected product opens in current window)
Submit Storm Report Spotter Briefing Skywarn Storm Data Tornado Statistics Social Media
Storm Reports Spotter Briefing Storm Spotters Storm Data Tornado Statistics Social Media
 
Area Forecast Discussion Hourly Forecast Graphs Digital Forecasts Fire Weather Aviation Hydrology
Forecast Discussion Hourly Forecast Graphical Forecast Fire Weather Aviation Hydrology
 
Observations Air Quality Satellite Climate Past Events weather Radio
Observations Air Quality Satellite Climate Past Events Weather Radio