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Dangerous, Record-Breaking Heat to Continue in the Central and Eastern U.S.; Severe Thunderstorms in the Upper Midwest; Critical Fire Weather in the Four Corners

Dangerous, record-breaking heat will continue across most of the central and eastern U.S this week. Heat indices will exceed 100 degrees. Severe storms will be possible from the northern Plains into the Midwest and Great Lakes regions, as well as across the southern Appalachians Thursday, with the primary threat large to very large hail. Critical fire weather to continue in the Four Corners Region Read More >

Welcome to our research papers page. Our mission here at the National Weather Service is to protect life and property. We sometimes conduct research here in our office to increase our knowledge of the atmosphere. Our goal is to apply this knowledge to help us better protect your life, lives of others, your property, and the property of others. We hope you find these research papers informative.

Below, we've included links to research paper some of our meteorologists have completed. If you have questions about any of these, please e-mail our Science and Operations Officer, Brian Curran.

Red Flag Threat Index
Greg Murdoch, Ryan Barnes and Chris Gitro (WFO Binghamton)

Red Flag Climatology for WFO Midland's Fire Weather Forecast Area
Greg Murdoch, Ryan Barnes and Jack Ciccone

An Operational Technique Used to Detect "Mountain Wave Signatures":
A Forecast Methodology for Severe Westerly Winds in the Mountains of West Texas

Todd Lindley (WFO Lubbock), Cody Lindsey and Jeffrey Cupo (WFO Mobile)

HI-RISE - Hazardous Incident Rapid In-Flight Support Effort:
Use of Asynoptic Upper-Air Data to Improve Weather Forecasts at Wildland
Fires & Other Hazardous Incidents

Greg P. Murdoch and Seth R. Nagle (WFO San Angelo)

Observations of a Tropical Storm in West Texas
Todd Lindley, Alex Lyster and Rebecca Gould (WFO Boston)

The Pecos County, Texas Hail Storms of 10 May 2002: A Null Tornado Event From a Warning Decision Perspective
Todd Lindley and Greg Morgan

Lightning Fatalities, Injuries, and Damage Reports in the United States from 1959-1994
co-authored by Brian Curran

Positive Ground Flashes Produced by Low-Precipitation Thunderstorms in Oklahoma on 26 April 1994
co-authored by Brian Curran

The Casa Grande Burn - Recognizing Critical Fire Weather Patterns
Alex Lyster and Greg Murdoch

Aspects of Significant West Wind Events Across West Texas and Southeast New Mexico
Jim DeBerry and Greg Murdoch

The Geography/Topography of WFO Midland's County Warning Area and its Influences on Weather and Climate
Doug Cain and Greg Murdoch

A Case Study in Tornado Forecasting: Applying Storm-Relative Mid-level Winds Using the Eta 12 and 24 Hour Forecast
Greg Murdoch

Rotational Velocity Trends in Some Tornadic Supercells over Southwest Texas and Southeast New Mexico
Terry Huber and John Pendergrast

The Association of La Niña on Midland, Texas Precipitation
Rich Naden and Eric Platt