NWS El Paso

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Last Map Update: Sat, Aug 16, 2025 at 7:00:13 am MDT

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Flood Watch

Daily Rain Probabilities

Saturday Rainfall

Forecast Highs

Thunderstorm Probabilities

Saturday

This chart shows the probability of each location getting at least a tenth of an inch of rainfall each day. We have increasing monsoon moisture moving in Friday, and persisting into next week. This should give all areas across the Borderland, better rain and storm chances.

A Slight Risk for Excessive Rainfall has been issued for Saturday for portions of Otero County. A slight risk means that there is a 15% chance that Flash Flood Guidance will be exceeded within 25 miles of a point.

Here is a look at our forecast daily high temperatures across the region. Not a LOT of change over the course of the next week, but generally a bit cooler than normal for the first few days, due to the increased moisture, then trending warmer for mid week next week and beyond, as high pressure and drier conditions return.

Here is a look at our forecast for daily thunderstorm chances across the region. They start out moderate to high, with this new deep channel of monsoon moisture over the region. Mid week, next week, and beyond we see some drying as high pressure reforms to our north, and begins to draw in drier air. We will likely be slow to dry out, but we do expect to see a trend towards fewer storms each day.

We will see a good chance of off and on rain showers on Saturday. Scattered thunderstorms will be embedded with the rain showers. A few of the thunderstorms may produce excessive rainfall leading to flash flooding. High temperatures will a few degrees below average.

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