National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms and Heavy Rainfall Across the Central Plains and Central Appalachians

Severe thunderstorms producing damaging winds, heavy rainfall, hail and possibly a few tornadoes will continue through tonight across portions of Kansas and Oklahoma. Heavy rainfall will persist across the Central Appalachians through tonight, potentially leading to areas of flooding. The severe weather and heavy rainfall threat will shift into the lower Great Lakes on Wednesday. Read More >

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC  
907 PM EDT FRI NOV 7 2014  
   
..OCTOBER 2014 CLIMATE SUMMARY  
   
   
..ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES  
   
..BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION  
   
..SEVERAL HIGH TEMPERATURES BROKEN AT AUGUSTA AND COLUMBIA  
   
..7TH STRAIGHT MONTH OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AT COLUMBIA  
   
..EL NINO WATCH CONTINUES WITH A WEAK EL NINO EXPECTED TO DEVELOP  
  
THE THEME FOR THE MONTH OF OCTOBER WAS WARM AND DRY WITH VERY LITTLE   
WEATHER. SEVERAL TEMPERATURE RECORDS WERE BROKEN DURING THE MONTH   
AND MANY PLACES RECEIVED LESS THAN ONE INCH OF RAIN. SINCE THE   
WEATHER WAS VERY TRANQUIL THAT ONLY LEFT A FEW CHANCES FOR RAINFALL   
ACROSS THE MIDLANDS AND CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER AREA.   
  
THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE AT AUGUSTA REGIONAL BUSH FIELD WAS 65.3   
DEGREES OR 0.9 DEGREES ABOVE THE NORMAL OF 64.4 DEGREES. THE AVERAGE   
TEMPERATURE AT COLUMBIA METRO AIRPORT WAS 66.8 DEGREES OR 2.7   
DEGREES ABOVE THE NORMAL 64.1 DEGREES.   
  
RAINFALL AVERAGED 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS THE MIDLANDS AND CENTRAL   
SAVANNAH RIVER AREA DURING OCTOBER. THE DRIEST AREA WAS THE CENTRAL   
SAVANNAH RIVER AREA...MANY AREAS RECORDED LESS THAN ONE INCH OF   
RAINFALL. THE ONLY AREAS TO SEE RAINFALL CLOSE TO NORMAL WAS AROUND   
THE COLUMBIA METROPOLITAN AREAS OF RICHLAND AND LEXINGTON COUNTIES.   
SOME REPORTING LOCATIONS IN THE COLUMBIA METRO AREA RECEIVED BETWEEN   
2 AND 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL.      
  
HERE ARE SOME OF THE HIGHEST COCORAHS RAINFALL REPORTS FOR OCTOBER:   
...COMMUNITY COLLABORATIVE RAIN HAIL AND SNOW   
NETWORK...WWW.COCORAHS.ORG  
  
SC-KR-4  CAMDEN 6.6 NE..................3.92 INCHES  
SC-LX-5  LEXINGTON 1.5 WNW..............3.74 INCHES  
SC-LX-35 LEXINGTON 2.9 NE...............3.52 INCHES  
SC-LX-64 CAYCE 1.2 SW...................3.44 INCHES  
SC-LX-69 LEXINGTON 3.0 WSW..............3.38 INCHES  
  
HERE ARE SOME OF THE HIGHEST NWS COOP OBSERVER REPORTS FOR OCTOBER:  
  
USCS1 COLUMBIA UNIV. OF SC......3.28 INCHES  
SAHS1 SANDHILL RESEARCH CLEMSON.2.36 INCHES  
LNTS1 LONGTOWN SC...............2.25 INCHES  
MCCS1 MCCORMICK SC..............2.22 INCHES  
  
HERE ARE SOME OF THE LOWEST NWS COOP OBSERVER REPORTS FOR OCTOBER:  
  
MIDG1 MIDVILLE GA...............0.35 INCHES  
WYNG1 WAYNESBORO GA.............0.46 INCHES  
AKIS1 AIKEN 2E..................0.53 INCHES  
NWYS1 NEWBERRY WKDK.............0.72 INCHES  
  
HERE ARE SOME ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS FROM THE RICHLAND COUNTY   
MESONET (RCWINDS) FOR OCTOBER:  
  
HIGHEST AMOUNTS:  
GILLS CREEK................3.54 INCHES  
LAKE MURRAY................3.46 INCHES  
PINE VIEW-GARNERS FERRY....3.39 INCHES  
  
LOWEST AMOUNTS:  
SPRINGHILL.................1.26 INCHES  
CROSSROADS.................1.61 INCHES  
GADSDEN....................1.65 INCHES  
  
HIGHEST WIND GUSTS AT EACH ASOS LOCATION DURING THE MONTH:  
  
ORANGEBURG COUNTY AIRPORT (OGB)...35 MPH ON THE 14TH  
AUGUSTA BUSH FIELD (AGS)..........30 MPH ON THE 16TH  
COLUMBIA METRO AIRPORT (CAE)......30 MPH ON THE 14TH   
AUGUSTA DANIEL FIELD (DNL)........29 MPH ON THE 14TH  
COLUMBIA HAMILTON OWENS FIELD.....25 MPH ON THE 11TH  
  
HIGHEST WIND GUSTS AT EACH LAKE OBSERVING SITE DURING THE MONTH:  
  
LAKE MURRAY TOWERS (IRMS1)..............34 MPH ON THE 4TH  
CLARKS HILL LAKE THURMOND DAM (CHDS1)...32 MPH ON THE 4TH  
LAKE MURRAY FLOTILLA ISLAND (LMFS1).....28 MPH ON THE 14TH  
LAKE WATEREE DAM (WATS1)................24 MPH ON THE 14TH   
  
WATER TEMPERATURE AT THE LAKE MURRAY TOWERS (DEPTH APPROX. 6 FEET):  
WARMEST...77 DEGREES ON THE 1ST  
COOLEST...69 DEGREES ON THE 31ST   
   
  
RECORDS TIED OR BROKEN DURING THE MONTH AT OCTOBER:   
  
AUGUSTA...  
ON THE 11TH...THE MERCURY CLIMBED TO 92 DEGREES BREAKING THE   
PREVIOUS RECORD OF 89 DEGREES SET IN 2010...1939 AND 1904.   
  
ON THE 12TH...THE MERCURY CLIMBED TO 90 DEGREES TYING THE RECORD SET   
IN 1931.   
  
ON THE 13TH...THE MERCURY CLIMBED TO 89 DEGREES BREAKING THE   
PREVIOUS RECORD OF 88 DEGREES SET IN 1954.  
  
ON THE 26TH...THE MERCURY CLIMBED TO 90 DEGREES BREAKING THE   
PREVIOUS RECORD OF 87 DEGREES SET IN 2010 AND 1939.  
  
COLUMBIA...  
ON THE 11TH...THE MERCURY CLIMBED TO 91 DEGREES BREAKING THE   
PREVIOUS RECORD OF 89 DEGREES IN 2010 AND 1939.  
  
ON THE 11TH...THE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE WAS 71 DEGREES. THIS TIED THE   
RECORD HIGH MINIMUM TEMPERATURE OF 71 DEGREES SET IN 1995.  
  
ON THE 26TH...THE MERCURY CLIMBED TO 87 DEGREES TYING THE RECORD SET   
IN 1974.   
  
EVENTS FOR OCTOBER 2014:  
  
OCTOBER 3RD...A SQUALL LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED   
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. THERE WAS GOOD ATMOSPHERIC SHEAR BUT VERY   
LITTLE INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM. THERE WERE SEVERAL   
REPORTS OF WALL CLOUDS AND FUNNEL CLOUDS DURING THE AFTERNOON.   
HOWEVER...NONE OF THE FUNNEL CLOUDS REACHED THE GROUND AND NO DAMAGE   
WAS REPORTED.   
  
OCTOBER 14TH...A FEW SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM   
DEVELOPED AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DOWNED A   
FEW TREES ALONG I-20 NEAR THOMSON IN MCDUFFIE COUNTY GA. ANOTHER   
STRONG SHOWER PRODUCED A SMALL AREA OF STRONG STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.   
THE WINDS...ESTIMATED TO BE AROUND 70 MPH...OVERTURNED A DUMPSTER AT   
THE ORANGEBURG COUNTY FAIRGROUNDS.   
  
YEAR TO DATE MONTHLY TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION STATISTICS...  
  
COLUMBIA SC METROPOLITAN AIRPORT 2013/2014 MONTHLY AVERAGE   
TEMPERATURES AND DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL...  
  
          AVG HIGH/DEP   AVG LOW/DEP   AVG TEMP   NORM  DEPARTURE   
JAN 2013  64.0/+8.0      41.1/+7.4      52.5      44.8    +7.7  
FEB       59.2/-1.1      36.2/-0.6      47.7      48.5    -0.8  
MAR       63.5/-4.7      38.5/-4.5      51.0      55.6    -4.6   
APR       76.7/+0.4      53.4/+3.0      65.0      63.4    +1.6   
MAY       81.4/-2.4      59.2/-0.3      70.3      71.7    -1.4  
JUN       88.1/-1.9      70.1/+1.9      79.1      79.1     0.0  
JUL       88.4/-4.3      72.7/+1.1      80.5      82.2    -1.7   
AUG       87.6/-3.1      71.0/ 0.0      79.3      80.8    -1.5      
SEP       86.9/+1.7      65.5/+0.3      76.2      74.7    +1.5   
OCT       77.9/+1.8      54.8/+2.7      66.3      64.1    +2.2  
NOV       65.0/-2.3      40.5/-1.8      52.7      54.8    -2.1    
DEC       62.5/+4.3      40.6/+5.3      51.5      46.7    +4.8        
ANNUAL    75.1/-0.4      53.6/+1.2      64.4      63.9    +0.5  
  
JAN 2014  52.4/-3.6      28.1/-5.6      40.3      44.8    -4.5   
FEB       60.3/ 0.0      37.4/+0.6      48.9      48.5    +0.4  
MAR       65.2/-3.0      39.1/-3.9      52.2      55.6    -3.4  
APR       78.3/+2.0      52.8/+2.4      65.6      63.4    +2.2   
MAY       86.4/+2.6      62.2/+2.7      74.3      71.7    +2.6  
JUN       92.4/+2.4      71.6/+3.4      82.0      79.1    +2.9  
JUL       92.7/ 0.0      73.4/+1.8      83.0      82.2    +0.8  
AUG       92.2/+1.5      71.7/+0.7      82.0      80.8    +1.2   
SEP       84.9/-0.3      68.4/+4.2      76.7      74.7    +2.0   
OCT       79.9/+3.8      53.6/+1.5      66.8      64.1    +2.7   
  
AUGUSTA GA BUSH FIELD 2013/2014 MONTHLY AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND   
DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL...  
  
          AVG HIGH/DEP   AVG LOW/DEP   AVG TEMP   NORM  DEPARTURE   
JAN 2013  65.4/+7.5      39.4/+6.6     52.4       45.4    +7.0   
FEB       59.8/-2.5      35.5/-0.4     47.6       49.1    -1.5   
MAR       63.8/-6.1      37.9/-4.1     50.8       55.9    -5.1   
APR       76.2/-1.1      48.5/+0.4     62.4       62.7    -0.3   
MAY       81.0/-4.0      55.8/-1.5     68.4       71.1    -2.7   
JUN       88.2/-2.8      67.4/+1.2     77.8       78.6    -0.8   
JUL       87.9/-5.5      71.0/+1.2     79.5       81.6    -2.1   
AUG       87.7/-4.1      68.6/-0.7     78.2       80.5    -2.3   
SEP       87.2/+0.5      61.8/-0.8     74.5       74.6    -0.1   
OCT       78.4/+0.7      51.9/+0.9     65.2       64.4    +0.8   
NOV       65.9/-3.2      38.7/-2.7     52.3       55.2    -2.9  
DEC       62.5/+2.5      38.0/+3.5     50.3       47.2    +3.1  
ANNUAL    75.3/-1.6      51.2/+0.2     63.3       63.9    -0.6  
  
JAN 2014  52.7/-5.2      26.3/-6.5     39.5       45.4    -5.9   
FEB       61.9/-2.5      34.9/ 0.0     48.4       49.1    -0.7   
MAR       66.1/-3.8      37.6/-4.4     51.9       55.9    -4.0  
APR       77.3/ 0.0      49.1/+1.0     63.2       62.7    +0.5  
MAY       85.3/+0.3      58.0/+0.7     71.6       71.7    +0.5  
JUN       90.7/-0.3      67.2/+1.0     78.9       78.6    +0.3   
JUL       92.2/-1.2      68.4/-1.4     80.3       81.6    -1.3  
AUG       91.7/-0.1      67.6/-1.7     79.7       80.5    -0.8  
SEP       84.9/-1.8      66.6/+4.0     75.7       74.6    +1.1    
OCT       81.4/+3.7      49.3/-1.7     65.3       64.4    +0.9  
  
COLUMBIA SC METROPOLITAN AIRPORT 2013/2014 MONTHLY PRECIPITATION...  
  
               TOTAL   NORMAL   DEPARTURE    
              (INCHES)   
JAN 2013       1.21     3.58    -2.37  
FEB            5.51     3.61    +1.90  
MAR            3.65     3.73    -0.08  
APR            4.63     2.62    +2.01   
MAY            3.62     2.97    +0.65  
JUN            6.17     4.69    +1.48  
JUL           11.21     5.46    +5.75   
AUG            7.51     5.26    +2.25  
SEP            2.04     3.54    -1.50      
OCT            1.98     3.17    -1.19  
NOV            2.06     2.74    -0.68  
DEC            5.88     3.22    +2.66  
ANNUAL        55.47    44.59   +10.88     
  
JAN 2014       3.40     3.58    -0.18  
FEB            2.92     3.61    -0.69  
MAR            3.93     3.73    +0.20  
APR            2.99     2.62    +0.37  
MAY            5.72     2.97    +2.75  
JUN            1.41     4.69    -3.28  
JUL            2.83     5.46    -2.63  
AUG            4.88     5.26    -0.38  
SEP            2.81     3.54    -0.73  
OCT            3.05     3.17    -0.12  
  
AUGUSTA GA BUSH FIELD 2013/2014 MONTHLY PRECIPITATION...  
  
               TOTAL   NORMAL   DEPARTURE    
              (INCHES)    
JAN 2013       0.60     3.91     -3.31  
FEB            9.40     3.92     +5.48   
MAR            3.11     4.18     -1.07  
APR            4.23     2.84     +1.39  
MAY            2.26     2.65     -0.39  
JUN           10.83     4.72     +6.11  
JUL            9.05     4.33     +4.72  
AUG            5.84     4.32     +1.52  
SEP            1.12     3.22     -2.10  
OCT            0.36     3.27     -2.91  
NOV            1.82     2.82     -1.00  
DEC            6.90     3.39     +3.51   
ANNUAL        55.54    43.57    +11.97  
  
JAN 2014       2.48     3.91     -1.43   
FEB            3.73     3.92     -0.19   
MAR            2.56     4.18     -1.62  
APR            4.59     2.84     +1.75  
MAY            5.50     2.65     +2.85  
JUN            2.27     4.72     -2.45  
JUL            5.53     4.33     +1.20  
AUG            1.76     4.32     -2.56  
SEP            2.26     3.22     -0.96  
OCT            0.61     3.27     -2.66  
  
THE OUTLOOK FOR NOVEMBER...  
  
THE FORECAST CALLS FOR EQUAL CHANCES OF ABOVE...BELOW OR NORMAL   
TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION.     
  
THE 3-MONTH OUTLOOK FOR FALL (NOV/DEC/JAN)...  
  
THE FORECAST CALLS FOR EQUAL CHANCES OF ABOVE...BELOW OR NORMAL   
TEMPERATURES. A 33 TO 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF ABOVE NORMAL   
PRECIPITATION FOR THE 3-MONTH PERIOD.   
  
ENSO (EL NINO SOUTHERN OSCILLATION)...   
..A EL NINO WATCH CONTINUES FOR WINTER INTO SPRING 2015  
  
AN EL NINO WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE   
DEVELOPMENT OF EL NINO CONDITIONS WITHIN THE NEXT SIX MONTHS.   
  
AT THIS TIME...ENSO NEUTRAL CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS THE   
EQUATORIAL PACIFIC OCEAN. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE ABOVE AVERAGE   
ACROSS MOST OF THE PACIFIC OCEAN. THE CHANCES OF EL NINO   
DEVELOPING IS 60 TO 65 PERCENT DURING THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE FALL   
AND WINTER. ENSO MODELS INDICATE THAT EL NINO CONDITIONS WILL   
DEVELOP DURING NOVEMBER AND DECEMBER PERIOD AND PERSIST THROUGH THE   
NORTHERN HEMISPHERE SPRING 2015. AT THIS TIME...IT LOOKS AS THOUGH   
THE EL NINO THAT IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WILL BE WEAK.    
  
CLIMATE OUTLOOKS AND ENSO DISCUSSIONS COURTESY NOAA CLIMATE   
PREDICTION CENTER...WWW.CPC.NOAA.GOV.  
  
NOTE...  
MUCH APPRECIATION GOES OUT TO OUR NWS COOPERATIVE WEATHER   
OBSERVERS...COCORAHS (COMMUNITY...COLLABORATIVE...RAIN...HAIL AND   
SNOW NETWORK) OBSERVERS...SOUTH CAROLINA STATE CLIMATE   
OFFICE...SOUTHEAST REGIONAL CLIMATE CENTER...RICHLAND COUNTY AND   
LOCAL WEATHER PARTNERS FOR THE DATA THEY PROVIDE THROUGHOUT THE   
YEAR. THEIR HARD WORK AND DEDICATION IS GREATLY APPRECIATED.   
  
TEMPERATURE RECORDS FOR COLUMBIA GO BACK TO 1887 AND FOR AUGUSTA    
BACK TO 1873. PRECIPITATION RECORDS FOR COLUMBIA GO BACK TO 1878 AND   
FOR AUGUSTA BACK TO 1871.   
  
ADDITIONAL CLIMATE INFORMATION...INCLUDING CURRENT AND ARCHIVED   
DAILY AND MONTHLY SUMMARIES...CAN BE FOUND ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER   
SERVICE COLUMBIA SC HOME PAGE AT   
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/CAE