ZCZC CAEPNSCAE 091200
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Public Information Statement
National Weather Service
107 PM EST Tue Nov 8 2016
...Climate Summary for September and October 2016...
...Tropical Storm Hermine September 1-2, 2016...
...Hurricane Matthew October 8, 2016...
...4th warmest September on Record at Columbia...
...8th warmest October on Record at Columbia...
...Drought Worsens Across the CSRA and Western Midlands...
September and October OF 2016 will be remembered for the two tropical
systems that affected the Palmetto State and Georgia. Much of the
rain that fell during each month was due to each event. The warm
temperatures from the Summer of 2016 continued into the Fall as
temperatures averaged 3 to 5 degrees above normal for each month.
Because of the tracks of each Tropical System the western portion of
the CWA continued to become drier and the eastern portion of the CWA
became wetter. This is easy to see in the rainfall reports from our
NWS Coop Observers and CoCoRaHS Observers over the past 2 months.
...Augusta Average Temperatures...
The average temperature at Augusta Regional Bush Field for September
was 77.4 degrees or 2.8 degrees above the normal of 74.6 degrees.
The average temperature for October was 68.4 degrees or 3.8 degrees
above the normal of 64.4 degrees.
...Columbia Average Temperatures...
The average temperature at Columbia Metro Airport for September was
79.4 degrees or 4.7 degrees above the normal of 74.7 degrees. The
average temperature for October was 68.3 degrees or 4.2 degrees
above the normal of 64.1 degrees.
It was the 4th warmest October on record at Columbia. Here are the
top 5 warmest October years:
1. 82.6 degrees 1925
2. 81.0 degrees 1921
3. 79.5 degrees 1933
4. 79.4 degrees 2016
5. 79.1 degrees 1911
...Augusta Rainfall...
Augusta Bush Field received 4.58 inches of rainfall during September
and 2.09 inches in October.
...Columbia Rainfall...
Columbia Metro Airport received 6.81 inches of rainfall during
September and 4.45 inches in October.
Here are some of the highest rainfall CoCoRaHS Reports for
September:
SC-BM-5 Branchville 8.3 SW......12.81 inches
SC-SM-1 Sumter 1.3 SE...........12.55 inches
SC-OR-9 Orangeburg 0.3 ENE......12.19 inches
SC-SM-14 Oakland 1.5 NE..........12.18 inches
SC-RC-6 Blythewood 4.7 NNE......11.97 inches
Here are some of the highest NWS Coop Observer Reports for
September:
SADS1 Saluda.....................12.40 inches
ORBS1 Orangeburg.................11.85 inches
BAMS1 Bamberg....................11.54 inches
LNTS1 Longtown...................11.28 inches
MANS1 Manning....................10.20 inches
Here are some of the highest rainfall CoCoRaHS Reports for October:
SC-CD-1 Summerton 8.4 SE........11.72 inches
SC-CD-6 Manning 1.9 SSE.........11.30 inches
SC-CD-2 Manning 8.2 S...........11.00 inches
Here are some of the lowest rainfall CoCoRaHS Reports for October:
GA-MD-1 Thomson 2.5 S............0.70 inches
SC-MC-5 McCormick 2.3 W..........1.00 inches
GA-CU-9 Appling 2.0 SE...........1.02 inches
Here are some of the highest NWS Coop Observer Reports for October:
MANS1 Manning.....................13.07 inches
HHLS1 Holly Hill..................11.74 inches
CEWS1 Cheraw.......................7.74 inches
Here are some of the lowest NWS Coop Observer Reports for October:
MCCS1 McCormick....................0.92 inches
CHDS1 Clarks Hill..................0.99 inches
CHPS1 Lake Greenwood...............1.35 inches
Highest Wind Gusts During September:
Augusta Bush Field (AGS)..............42 mph on the 2nd
Columbia Metro Airport (CAE)..........39 mph on the 2nd
Lake Murray Towers (IRMS1)............34 mph on the 2nd
Lake Murray Flotilla Island (LMFS1)...31 mph on the 29th
Lake Wateree (WATS1)..................28 mph on the 28th
Highest Wind Gusts During October:
Orangeburg County Airport (OGB).......64 mph on the 8th
Columbia Metro Airport (CAE)..........46 mph on the 8th
Augusta Bush Field (AGS)..............43 mph on the 8th
Augusta Daniel Field (DNL)............37 mph on the 8th
Lake Murray Towers (IRMS1)............37 mph on the 8th
Lake Wateree (WATS1)..................37 mph on the 8th
Lake Murray Flotilla Island (LMFS1)...28 mph on the 21st
TEMPERATURE RECORDS TIED OR BROKEN DURING THE MONTH OF
SEPTEMBER AND OCTOBER:
AUGUSTA...
None
COLUMBIA...
THE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE AT COLUMBIA METRO AIRPORT ON SEPTEMBER 11TH
2016 WAS 76 DEGREES. THIS BROKE THE WARMEST MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
RECORD FOR SEPTEMBER 11TH WHICH WAS 75 SET IN 1964.
THE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE AT COLUMBIA METROPOLITAN AIRPORT ON
SEPTEMBER 26TH 2016 WAS 73 DEGREES. THIS TIED THE WARMEST MINIMUM
TEMPERATURE RECORD FOR THE DATE OF SEPTEMBER 26TH WHICH WAS LAST SET
IN 1993.
EVENTS FOR September and October 2016:
September 1-3, 2016...Tropical Storm Hermine moved along
eastern South Carolina from the 2nd through the 3rd. Hermine
began in the eastern Gulf of Mexico and became a Hurricane
before making landfall along the Florida Gulf Coast. Hermine
produced locally heavy rainfall and windy conditions. The
heavy rainfall in the basin of the Edisto River produced a
near river flood event along the N. Fork of the Edisto River
at Orangeburg. The river crested at 7.9 feet...flood stage is
8.0 feet...on the morning of the 5th.
Here are some rainfall amounts:
Branchville CoCoRaHS..............10.53 inches
Bamberg NWS Coop..................10.13 inches
Longtown NWS Coop..................9.13 inches
Lake Marion CoCoRaHS...............8.09 inches
Blackville.........................7.86 inches
Barnwell NWS Coop..................7.62 inches
USGS S. Fork of the Edisto River...7.57 inches
Holly Hill CoCoRaHS................7.47 inches
Springfield NWS Coop...............7.45 inches
McEntire JNG Base..................7.39 inches
St. Matthews CoCoRaHS..............6.32 inches
Shaw AFB...........................6.30 inches
Peak Wind Gusts:
Shaw AFB...........................54 mph
Orangeburg County Airport..........49 mph
Santee Cooper Regional Airport.....47 mph
McEntire JNG Base..................44 mph
Nr Snelling RAWS...................44 mph
Augusta Bush Field.................43 mph
Aiken County Airport...............41 mph
September 27th...
Heavy rain fell across the Piedmont...western Midlands and
northern CSRA with amounts from 3 to 7 inches. This produced
minor river flooding along Stevens Creek at Modoc. The creek
rose quickly and crested at 21.7 feet on the evening of the
28th. Flood Stage is 19.0 feet.
Here are some rainfall totals from the event:
Saluda NWS Coop...................7.01 inches
Saluda CoCoRaHS...................5.20 inches
Saluda CWOP.......................5.03 inches
Saluda CoCoRaHS...................4.68 inches
USGS Rain Gage Saluda SCDOT.......4.57 inches
October 7-9th, 2016...Hurricane Matthew developed
near the Leeward Islands on the on the 28th of
September and became a major hurricane as it moved
northward toward the Southeast U.S. coast. The storm
produced high winds and devastating rainfall across
the eastern portion of the state. Some of the hardest
hit areas were across the Pee Dee Region. The hurricane
made landfall in South Carolina at 11 am Saturday
October 8th at the Cape Romain National Wildlife Refuge
near McClellanville. This produced river flooding on 2
rivers within the CWA of Columbia. The Great Pee Dee
River at Cheraw crested around 32 feet on the 9th
producing minor flooding. Flood stage is 30.0 feet. The
North Fork of the Edisto River crested at 8.93 feet on
the 10th and produced some minor flooding.
Here are some rainfall totals from the event:
Manning CoCoRaHS..............11.00 inches
Blackville....................10.75 inches
Branchville CoCoRaHS..........10.15 inches
Manning CoCoRaHS..............10.00 inches
Santee CoCoRaHS................9.70 inches
Here are some of the wind gusts from the event:
Orangeburg County Airport......64 mph
Shaw AFB.......................63 mph
McEntire JNG Base..............58 mph
Sumter County Airport..........52 mph
Santee Cooper Regional Arpt....52 mph
Cheraw Municipal Airport.......47 mph
YEAR TO DATE MONTHLY TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION STATISTICS...
COLUMBIA SC METROPOLITAN AIRPORT 2015/2016 MONTHLY AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES AND DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL...
AVG HIGH/DEP AVG LOW/DEP AVG TEMP NORM DEPARTURE
JAN 2015 55.7/-0.3 33.7/ 0.0 44.7 44.8 -0.1
FEB 54.1/-6.2 32.1/-4.7 43.1 48.5 -5.4
MAR 70.3/+2.1 46.9/+3.9 58.6 55.6 +3.0
APR 77.8/+1.5 50.4/+5.7 67.0 63.4 +3.6
MAY 86.0/+2.2 61.0/+1.5 73.5 71.7 +1.8
JUN 93.6/+3.6 71.6/+3.4 82.6 79.1 +3.5
JUL 96.4/+3.7 74.3/+2.7 85.3 82.2 +3.1
AUG 92.9/+2.2 72.2/+1.2 82.6 80.8 +1.8
SEP 85.9/+0.7 67.6/+3.4 76.7 74.7 +2.0
OCT 75.6/-0.5 53.6/+1.5 64.6 64.1 +0.5
NOV 69.4/+2.1 48.6/+6.3 59.0 54.8 +4.2
DEC 70.1/+11.9 50.1/+14.8 60.1 46.7 +13.4
JAN 2016 55.1/-0.9 33.6/-0.1 44.3 44.8 -0.5
FEB 60.1/-0.2 37.9/+1.1 49.0 48.5 +0.5
MAR 75.0/+6.8 49.8/+6.8 62.4 55.6 +6.8
APR 78.1/+1.8 53.6/+3.2 65.8 63.4 +2.4
MAY 83.4/-0.4 61.9/+2.4 72.7 71.7 +1.0
JUN 94.2/+4.2 71.7/+3.5 83.0 79.1 +3.9
JUL 99.2/+6.5 75.2/+3.6 87.2 82.2 +5.0
AUG 93.8/+3.1 74.8/+3.8 84.3 80.8 +3.5
SEP 89.2/+4.0 69.6/+5.4 79.4 74.7 +4.7
OCT 80.5/+4.4 56.0/+3.9 68.3 64.1 +4.2
AUGUSTA GA BUSH FIELD 2015/2016 MONTHLY AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND
DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL...
AVG HIGH/DEP AVG LOW/DEP AVG TEMP NORM DEPARTURE
JAN 2015 55.8/-2.1 32.1/-0.7 44.0 45.4 -1.4
FEB 55.4/-6.9 30.1/-5.8 42.8 49.1 -6.3
MAR 71.3/+1.4 45.3/+3.3 58.3 55.9 +2.4
APR 77.8/+0.5 54.9/+6.8 66.3 62.7 +3.6
MAY 86.7/+1.7 58.1/+0.8 72.4 71.1 +1.3
JUN 93.1/+2.1 68.1/+1.9 80.6 78.6 +2.0
JUL 95.8/+2.4 71.3/+1.5 83.6 81.6 +2.0
AUG 91.4/-0.4 69.8/+0.5 80.6 80.5 +0.1
SEP 85.5/-1.2 65.1/+2.5 75.3 74.6 +0.7
OCT 77.7/-2.1 52.4/+1.4 64.0 64.4 -0.4
NOV 70.2/+1.1 47.0/+5.6 58.6 55.2 +3.4
DEC 70.3/+10.3 48.3/+13.8 59.3 47.2 +12.1
JAN 2016 55.3/-2.6 33.1/+0.3 44.2 45.4 -1.2
FEB 61.7/-0.6 37.9/+2.0 49.8 49.0 +0.7
MAR 74.4/+4.5 47.1/+5.1 60.8 55.9 +4.9
APR 77.5/+0.2 50.1/+2.0 63.8 62.7 +1.2
MAY 83.2/-1.8 58.2/+0.9 70.7 71.1 -0.4
JUN 92.2/+1.2 68.8/+2.6 80.5 78.6 +1.9
JUL 97.5/+4.1 71.7/+1.9 84.6 81.6 +3.0
AUG 94.2/+2.4 72.1/+2.8 83.1 80.2 +2.6
SEP 88.9/+2.2 66.0/+3.4 77.4 74.6 +2.8
OCT 82.5/+4.8 53.8/+2.8 68.2 64.4 +3.8
COLUMBIA SC METROPOLITAN AIRPORT 2015/2016 MONTHLY PRECIPITATION...
TOTAL NORMAL DEPARTURE
(INCHES)
JAN 2015 2.60 3.58 -0.98
FEB 4.76 3.61 +1.15
MAR 2.78 3.73 -0.95
APR 4.03 2.62 +1.41
MAY 1.71 2.97 -1.26
JUN 8.79 4.69 +4.10
JUL 1.53 5.46 -3.93
AUG 4.85 5.26 -0.41
SEP 6.15 3.54 +2.61
OCT 14.46 3.17 +11.29
NOV 5.47 2.74 +2.73
DEC 6.45 3.22 +3.23
ANNUAL 63.58 44.59 +18.99
JAN 2016 1.94 3.58 -1.64
FEB 4.69 3.61 +1.08
MAR 1.88 3.73 -1.85
APR 2.80 2.62 +0.18
MAY 2.61 2.97 -0.36
JUN 2.39 4.69 -2.30
JUL 1.79 5.46 -3.67
AUG 4.83 5.26 -0.43
SEP 6.81 3.54 +3.27
OCT 2.09 3.27 -1.18
AUGUSTA GA BUSH FIELD 2015/2016 MONTHLY PRECIPITATION...
TOTAL NORMAL DEPARTURE
(INCHES)
JAN 2015 2.10 3.91 -1.81
FEB 4.70 3.92 +0.78
MAR 3.04 4.18 -1.14
APR 4.86 2.84 +2.02
MAY 0.93 2.65 -1.72
JUN 3.50 4.72 -1.22
JUL 3.52 4.33 -0.81
AUG 3.74 4.32 -0.58
SEP 4.05 3.22 +0.83
OCT 4.62 3.27 +1.35
NOV 5.41 2.82 +2.59
DEC 6.92 3.39 +3.53
ANNUAL 47.39 43.57 +3.82
JAN 2016 1.66 3.91 -2.25
FEB 3.76 3.92 -0.16
MAR 3.18 4.18 -1.00
APR 4.42 2.84 +1.58
MAY 5.71 2.65 +3.06
JUN 2.87 4.72 -1.85
JUL 1.31 4.33 -3.02
AUG 3.66 4.32 -0.66
SEP 6.81 3.54 +3.27
OCT 4.45 3.17 +1.28
THE 3-MONTH OUTLOOK FOR FALL/WINTER
(November/December/January)...
The forecast calls for a 33 to 40 percent chance of above
normal temperatures with a 40 percent chance of below normal
rainfall.
ENSO (EL NINO SOUTHERN OSCILLATION)...
...ENSO Neutral Conditions Present...
...La Nina Watch...
Equatorial sea surface temperatures are below average in
the central and east-central equatorial Pacific Ocean.
La Nina is favored to develop...approximately at 70 percent
chance...during the the Northern Hemisphere Fall 2016 and
slightly favored to persist...approximately 55 percent
chance...during Winter 2016-2017.
CLIMATE OUTLOOKS AND ENSO DISCUSSIONS COURTESY NOAA CLIMATE
PREDICTION CENTER...WWW.CPC.NOAA.GOV.
Note...much appreciation goes out to our NWS Cooperative Weather
Observers...CoCoRaHS (Community...Collaborative...Rain...Hail and
Snow Network) Observers...South Carolina State Climate Office...
Southeast Regional Climate Center...Richland County Emergency
Services...USGS and local weather partners for the data they provide
throughout the year. Their hard work and dedication is greatly
appreciated.
Temperature records for Columbia go back to 1887 and for Augusta
back to 1873. Precipitation records for Columbia go back to 1878
and for Augusta back to 1871.
ADDITIONAL CLIMATE INFORMATION...INCLUDING CURRENT AND ARCHIVED
DAILY AND MONTHLY SUMMARIES...CAN BE FOUND ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE COLUMBIA SC HOME PAGE AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/CAE .
$$
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