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220 PM EDT Sun Apr 5 2026
.AVIATION...

Low pressure now over Quebec has left broad cyclonic flow in place
across the Great Lakes. Low VFR ceilings and breezy west flow (gusts
to 30 knots) will persist through the remainder of the afternoon
before conditions improve tonight as winds subside and skies clear.
Any clearing will be brief tonight before a quick-hitting clipper
arrives early Monday morning. This system lacks deep moisture, but
should have enough instability and lake enhancement to produce a
window of rain and/or snow showers between roughly 08z and 14z. The
instability component of this system results in variable
precipitation rates and p-types, so expect cig/vsby restrictions to
be variable throughout the morning as well. Additional scattered
rain-snow showers remain possible in the afternoon as boundary layer
instability stays in tact.   

.DTW THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES...

*   High for ceiling at or below 5000 ft through this afternoon. Low
    this evening. Medium Monday.   

*   Moderate for ptype to be rain/snow mix Monday morning and Monday
    afternoon.

TAF Dashboard (AWC)

 

276 FTUS43 KDTX 051737 TAFDTW TAF KDTW 051737Z 0518/0624 28020G31KT P6SM FEW025 OVC040 FM052300 29012G20KT P6SM BKN035 FM060200 26007KT P6SM SCT200 FM060800 24005KT 5SM -SNRA OVC025 FM061200 30007KT P6SM BKN028 FM061500 29011G21KT P6SM BKN035 TEMPO 0617/0621 5SM -SHRASN=

pWind

pWind Direction Change

Ensemble Wind Direction Distribution

Forecast hourly 18 hours - 3 hourly to 36 hours ... Updated Hourly

 

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pGust

Ensemble Wind Gust Distribution

Forecast hourly 18 hours - 3 hourly to 36 hours ... Updated Hourly

 

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DTW Flow Probabilities based on Ensemble Winds

 

 

Forecast hour to 18 hours - 3 hourly to 36 hours ... Updated Hourly

 

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DTW Flow Probabilities based on Ensemble Gusts

 

 

Forecast hour to 18 hours - 3 hourly to 36 hours ... Updated Hourly

 

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Ceiling Guidance at DTW

Visibility Guidance at DTW

 

 

TCF

https://www.aviationweather.gov/tcf

       

pConvection

 

 

 

WCAA Dashboard

 

Hourly Snow Rate at DTW

3 Hourly (centered running total) Snow Rate at DTW

Hourly Snow Density at DTW

 

Hourly Precip Type at DTW

 

6hr Prob Snow

 

For Planning and Situational Awareness Only