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206 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025
.AVIATION...

A weak frontal boundary remains draped across The forecast area far
southern MI this afternoon with high pressure to the south and
building in from the north. Remnant moisture and peak heating along
this front will help touch off a few isolated showers and
thunderstorms this afternoon. Any activity should be mainly in the
vicinity of the Detroit sites between 22-01Z so will hold with the
prob30 due to low coverage. High cu across the rest of the sites
before going clear tonight.   Another round of afternoon cu is
possible Friday. Northwesterly flow will go light and easterly
tonight before reemerging out of the south Friday.

For DTW/D21 Convection... A low chance of storms this afternoon.

THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES...

* Low for ceiling 5000 ft or less in the afternoon with
   thunderstorm activity.

* Low for thunderstorms this afternoon.

TAF Dashboard (AWC)

 

925 FTUS43 KDTX 032100 AAA TAFDTW TAF AMD KDTW 032100Z 0321/0424 30007KT P6SM SCT080 PROB30 0323/0401 3SM TSRA OVC040CB FM040200 06004KT P6SM SKC FM041500 16007KT P6SM SCT050=

pWind

pWind Direction Change

Ensemble Wind Direction Distribution

Forecast hourly 18 hours - 3 hourly to 36 hours ... Updated Hourly

 

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pGust

Ensemble Wind Gust Distribution

Forecast hourly 18 hours - 3 hourly to 36 hours ... Updated Hourly

 

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DTW Flow Probabilities based on Ensemble Winds

 

 

Forecast hour to 18 hours - 3 hourly to 36 hours ... Updated Hourly

 

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DTW Flow Probabilities based on Ensemble Gusts

 

 

Forecast hour to 18 hours - 3 hourly to 36 hours ... Updated Hourly

 

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Ceiling Guidance at DTW

Visibility Guidance at DTW

 

 

TCF

https://www.aviationweather.gov/tcf

       

pConvection

 

 

 

WCAA Dashboard

 

Hourly Snow Rate at DTW

3 Hourly (centered running total) Snow Rate at DTW

Hourly Snow Density at DTW

 

Hourly Precip Type at DTW

 

6hr Prob Snow

 

For Planning and Situational Awareness Only