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118 PM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026
.AVIATION...

Surface warm front is slowly lifting out of northern OH into SE MI
this afternoon, clearing the southern terminals by late afternoon
and eventually the northern ones by early evening. Behind the front,
VFR conditions are maintained with limited low cloud (<5kft) though
southerly winds quickly strengthen with peak gusts into early
tonight around 40kts. System's cold front eventually arrives over
southern lower MI tonight supporting a preceding line of gusty
showers and thunderstorms pushing over SE MI late tonight (~5-10Z).
Given the late arrival window, decaying convection/convective
remnants are likely so have opted to maintain prob30 thunder groups
for this forecast update.

For DTW...Dry and windy this afternoon into the evening once the
warm front lifts north of the airport. A line of gusty showers and
some thunderstorms work through from the west late tonight.
Convective gusts possibly approach 50 knots.

DTW THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES...

* Low in ceilings at or below 5000 through this evening, moderate to
high tonight.

* Low in thunder late tonight into Monday.

TAF Dashboard (AWC)

516 FTUS43 KDTX 152030 AAB TAFDTW TAF AMD KDTW 152030Z 1521/1624 19024G39KT P6SM SCT060 BKN150 FM160500 17018G34KT 6SM -SHRA BKN040 OVC060 PROB30 1606/1609 3SM TSRA BR OVC040CB FM161000 22020G34KT P6SM OVC035 FM161800 25022G36KT P6SM BKN035 PROB30 1618/1624 2SM -SHSN BKN030=