National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Current Regional Radar

Current Hazards

 

 

Current Forecast


213
FZUS61 KCLE 161312
GLFLE

Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
912 AM EDT Sat May 16 2026

For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie

Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.

.SYNOPSIS...
A warm front lifts across the lake today, before stalling across
the southern Great Lakes through Sunday. The front lifts well to
the north Sunday night into Monday, before a cold front crosses
the lake from west to east late Tuesday night and Wednesday.

LEZ162>165-162015-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
912 AM EDT Sat May 16 2026

.REST OF TODAY...South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. A
chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms late this
morning, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms this
afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.TONIGHT...Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers
early, then a slight chance of showers late in the evening. A
slight chance of showers late. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.SUNDAY...West winds 10 knots or less becoming east. A chance of
showers in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. A chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Waves 2 feet or
less.
.MONDAY...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south 10 to
15 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.TUESDAY...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Showers likely with a
chance of thunderstorms. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north 15 to
20 knots. A chance of showers during the day. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ061-166>169-162015-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-
the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
912 AM EDT Sat May 16 2026

.REST OF TODAY...South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest
15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers late this morning, then a
chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms this
afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.TONIGHT...Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers
with a slight chance of thunderstorms early, then a slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms late in the evening. Waves 1 to
3 feet.
.SUNDAY...Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast.
Waves 2 feet or less.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. Waves
2 feet or less.
.MONDAY...South winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers Monday
night. Waves 2 feet or less.
.TUESDAY...Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers
and thunderstorms during the day, then showers likely with a
chance of thunderstorms Tuesday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet building
to 2 to 4 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north. A
chance of showers during the day. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ161-162015-
MAFOR 1615/
ERIE WEST 1/3 14510 12500 11600 11500. A chance of showers late
this morning, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms this
afternoon. A chance of showers this evening. Waves 1 to 3 feet
this afternoon and tonight. Waves 1 foot or less Sunday morning.

ERIE CENTRAL 1/3 11410 14510 13500. A chance of showers this
afternoon and evening. Waves 1 to 3 feet this afternoon and
tonight. Waves 2 feet or less Sunday morning.

ERIE EAST 1/3 13510 14500 11500. A chance of showers this
afternoon and evening. Waves 1 to 2 feet.

$$


Forecast Time Series for Lake Erie Islands

Wind Speed Possibilities

 

Wind Direction and Speed Possibilities

Forecast hourly 18 hours - 3 hourly to 36 hours

 

f01

f02

f03

f04

f05

f06

f07

f08

f09

f10

f11

f12

f13

f14

f15

f16

f17

f18

f24

f27

f30

f33

f36

 

 

Wind Gust Possibilities

 

Gust Direction and Speed Possibilities

Forecast hourly 18 hours - 3 hourly to 36 hours

 

f01

f02

f03

f04

f05

f06

f07

f08

f09

f10

f11

f12

f13

f14

f15

f16

f17

f18

f24

f27

f30

f33

f36

 

(click to enlarge)

Wave Heights

Now-15 hours

Significant

Occasional

(top 10%)

Wave Heights

18-60 hours

Significant

Occasional

(top 10%)

Wave Height Frequency Distribution

Significant Wave Probabilities

Water Level

General Forecast Time Series Days 3-7

(click to enlarge)

 

Prototype: Under Development: Not to be relied on for Operational Decision Making.