National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Current Regional Radar

Current Hazards

 

 

Current Forecast


007
FZUS61 KCLE 231940
GLFLE

Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
340 PM EDT Sat Aug 23 2025

For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie

Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure ridging averaging 30.00 inches continues to exit
eastward from Lake Erie before a cold front sweeps eastward across
the lake tonight into Sunday morning. Behind the front, a trough
averaging 29.90 inches lingers over Lake Erie through Tuesday. A
ridge averaging 30.20 inches should affect Lake Erie this
Wednesday through Thursday as the embedded high pressure center
moves from the Lower Missouri Valley to Atlantic waters near
the Delmarva Peninsula.

LEZ162-163-240215-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
340 PM EDT Sat Aug 23 2025

.TONIGHT...Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest. A
slight chance of showers and thunderstorms this evening, then a
slight chance of showers after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
.SUNDAY...Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. Waves
1 to 2 feet.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...West winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.MONDAY...Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance
of waterspouts. A chance of showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.MONDAY NIGHT...West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest. A
chance of showers in the evening. A chance of waterspouts. Waves
1 to 3 feet.
.TUESDAY...Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of
waterspouts Tuesday night. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. Waves
1 foot or less.
.THURSDAY...West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest. Waves
1 foot or less.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ164-165-240215-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
340 PM EDT Sat Aug 23 2025

.TONIGHT...Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest. A
slight chance of showers and thunderstorms through the early
overnight, then a slight chance of showers late. Waves 1 to
2 feet.
.SUNDAY...Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. Waves
1 to 2 feet.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest
15 to 20 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
.MONDAY...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 10 to
15 knots. A chance of waterspouts. A chance of showers. Waves
2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
.MONDAY NIGHT...West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest. A
chance of waterspouts. A chance of showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.TUESDAY...Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of
waterspouts. A chance of showers Tuesday night. Waves 1 to
3 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest.
Waves 2 feet or less.
.THURSDAY...West winds 5 to 15 knots. Waves 2 feet or less.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ166>168-240215-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-
the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
340 PM EDT Sat Aug 23 2025

.TONIGHT...Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest. A
chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms this
evening, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after
midnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.SUNDAY...Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. Waves
1 to 3 feet.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest
15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers overnight. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
.MONDAY...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 10 to
15 knots. A chance of waterspouts. A chance of showers. Waves
2 to 4 feet.
.MONDAY NIGHT...West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest
15 to 20 knots. A chance of waterspouts. Showers likely. Waves
2 to 3 feet.
.TUESDAY...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to
15 knots. A chance of waterspouts. A chance of showers Tuesday
night. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 2 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. A
chance of waterspouts during the day. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
.THURSDAY...West winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ061-169-240215-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
340 PM EDT Sat Aug 23 2025

.TONIGHT...Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. A slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms early, then a chance of
showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms. A slight chance of
showers late. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.SUNDAY...West winds 5 to 15 knots. A slight chance of showers
early. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...West winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers.
Waves 2 to 3 feet.
.MONDAY...West winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots.
A chance of waterspouts. A chance of showers. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
.MONDAY NIGHT...West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest
10 to 15 knots. A chance of waterspouts. A chance of showers.
Waves 2 to 4 feet.
.TUESDAY...West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest 10 to
15 knots. A chance of waterspouts. A chance of showers. Waves
1 to 3 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. A
chance of waterspouts during the day. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
.THURSDAY...Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. Waves
1 to 3 feet.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ161-240215-
MAFOR 2321/
ERIE WEST 1/3 11500 11510 11610 11710 11700 12600 11610. Waves 2
feet or less.

ERIE CENTRAL 1/3 12510 11610 11710 11700 12600 11610. Waves 1 to
3 feet.

ERIE EAST 1/3 11510 11500 12510 13600 11610. A chance of showers
tonight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

$$


Forecast Time Series for Lake Erie Islands

Wind Speed Possibilities

 

Wind Direction and Speed Possibilities

Forecast hourly 18 hours - 3 hourly to 36 hours

 

f01

f02

f03

f04

f05

f06

f07

f08

f09

f10

f11

f12

f13

f14

f15

f16

f17

f18

f24

f27

f30

f33

f36

 

 

Wind Gust Possibilities

 

Gust Direction and Speed Possibilities

Forecast hourly 18 hours - 3 hourly to 36 hours

 

f01

f02

f03

f04

f05

f06

f07

f08

f09

f10

f11

f12

f13

f14

f15

f16

f17

f18

f24

f27

f30

f33

f36

 

(click to enlarge)

Wave Heights

Now-15 hours

Significant

Occasional

(top 10%)

Wave Heights

18-60 hours

Significant

Occasional

(top 10%)

Wave Height Frequency Distribution

Significant Wave Probabilities

Water Level

General Forecast Time Series Days 3-7

(click to enlarge)

 

Prototype: Under Development: Not to be relied on for Operational Decision Making.