National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Current Regional Radar

Current Hazards

 

 

Current Forecast


707
FZUS61 KCLE 120741
GLFLE

Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
341 AM EDT Mon Oct 12 2026

For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie

Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure 30.00 inches builds to the south of Lake Erie today
and persists through Tuesday. Low pressure 29.70 inches moves
through the Great Lakes late Tuesday with a cold front sweeping
across the lake early Wednesday. High pressure 30.20 briefly
builds across the Great Lakes on Thursday followed by low pressure
29.60 inches moving through on Friday.

LEZ162-163-121415-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
341 AM EDT Mon Oct 12 2026

.TODAY...West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. Waves
1 foot or less.
.TONIGHT...South winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers with a
slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.TUESDAY...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...West winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers
overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast
15 to 20 knots. Showers likely during the day. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.THURSDAY...Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest. A
chance of showers during the day, then showers likely Thursday
night. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
.FRIDAY...West winds to 30 knots becoming northwest. A chance of
showers during the day. Waves 3 to 6 feet.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ164>166-121415-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
341 AM EDT Mon Oct 12 2026

.TODAY...West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Waves 1 to
2 feet.
.TONIGHT...South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest 15 to
20 knots. A chance of showers with a slight chance of
thunderstorms after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 feet building to 2 to
4 feet.
.TUESDAY...South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest. Waves
3 to 5 feet.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west and
diminishing to 5 to 10 knots. A chance of showers overnight.
Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast
15 to 20 knots. Showers likely during the day. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.THURSDAY...Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest
15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers during the day, then showers
likely Thursday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
.FRIDAY...Northwest gales to 35 knots diminishing to 30 knots. A
chance of showers. Waves 5 to 8 feet building to 7 to 10 feet.
Waves occasionally around 13 feet.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ061-167>169-121415-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-
the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
341 AM EDT Mon Oct 12 2026

.TODAY...Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Waves
2 feet or less.
.TONIGHT...Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to
20 knots. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after
midnight. A chance of showers with a slight chance of
thunderstorms late. Waves 2 feet or less building to 2 to 4 feet.
.TUESDAY...South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest. A
chance of showers in the morning. Waves 3 to 5 feet.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming
northwest 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers overnight. Waves
3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast. A
chance of showers during the day. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.THURSDAY...Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south 15 to
20 knots. A chance of showers during the day, then showers likely
Thursday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet.
.FRIDAY...West winds to 30 knots becoming northwest and
increasing to 35 knot gales. Showers likely during the day, then
a chance of showers Friday night. Waves 5 to 8 feet building to
7 to 11 feet. Waves occasionally around 14 feet.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ161-121415-
MAFOR 1209/
ERIE WEST 1/3 11600 13510 12410 11510 11520. A chance of showers
overnight. Waves 1 foot or less today. Waves 1 to 3 feet building
to 2 to 4 feet tonight.

ERIE CENTRAL 1/3 11700 11610 13510 11410 12520. A chance of
showers overnight. Waves 2 feet or less today. Waves 1 to 2 feet
building to 2 to 4 feet tonight.

ERIE EAST 1/3 11700 11600 15510. Waves 2 feet or less today.
Waves 1 to 3 feet tonight.

$$


Forecast Time Series for Lake Erie Islands

Wind Speed Possibilities

 

Wind Direction and Speed Possibilities

Forecast hourly 18 hours - 3 hourly to 36 hours

 

f01

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f24

f27

f30

f33

f36

 

 

Wind Gust Possibilities

 

Gust Direction and Speed Possibilities

Forecast hourly 18 hours - 3 hourly to 36 hours

 

f01

f02

f03

f04

f05

f06

f07

f08

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f12

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f24

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f30

f33

f36

 

(click to enlarge)

Wave Heights

Now-15 hours

Significant

Occasional

(top 10%)

Wave Heights

18-60 hours

Significant

Occasional

(top 10%)

Wave Height Frequency Distribution

Significant Wave Probabilities

Water Level

General Forecast Time Series Days 3-7

(click to enlarge)

 

Prototype: Under Development: Not to be relied on for Operational Decision Making.