National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Current Regional Radar

Current Hazards

 

 

Current Forecast


589
FZUS61 KCLE 270228
GLFLE

Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
928 PM EST Wed Nov 26 2025

For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie

Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure 29.30 inches will move east across southern Ontario
tonight, pushing a trough averaging 29.70 inches across the lake.
The trough will settle over the region Thursday and weaken to an
average of 30.00 inches Friday. High pressure 30.40 inches will
briefly move east across the lake Friday night into Saturday
before low pressure 29.70 inches moves east across the Great
Lakes late Saturday into Sunday. High pressure 30.50 inches will
begin to build east into the region on Monday.

LEZ162>164-270915-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
928 PM EST Wed Nov 26 2025

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY...

.OVERNIGHT...West gales to 40 knots. A chance of snow
showers. Waves 7 to 11 feet. Waves occasionally around 14 feet.
.THURSDAY...West gales to 35 knots. A chance of snow showers.
Waves 5 to 9 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...West gales to 35 knots. A chance of snow
showers. Waves 5 to 9 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet.
.FRIDAY...West winds to 30 knots. Waves 4 to 7 feet subsiding to
3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...West winds 15 to 25 knots diminishing to 5 to
15 knots. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
.SATURDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south and
increasing to 15 to 25 knots. A chance of snow during the day,
then snow and rain Saturday night. Waves 2 feet or less building
to 3 to 5 feet.
.SUNDAY...Southwest winds to 30 knots becoming west 15 to
25 knots. Rain likely during the day. Waves 3 to 6 feet subsiding
to 2 to 4 feet.
.MONDAY...Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance
of snow Monday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or
less.

$$

LEZ165>167-270915-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
928 PM EST Wed Nov 26 2025

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

.OVERNIGHT...Southwest gales to 45 knots becoming west.
Rain showers likely with possible snow showers and thunderstorms,
then a chance of snow showers with a slight chance of rain
showers late. Waves 12 to 17 feet. Waves occasionally around
22 feet.
.THURSDAY...West gales to 40 knots. A chance of snow showers with
a slight chance of rain showers early, then a chance of snow
showers from late morning on. Waves 10 to 15 feet. Waves
occasionally around 19 feet.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...West gales to 40 knots diminishing to 35 knots.
A chance of snow showers in the evening, then snow showers likely
overnight. Waves 10 to 13 feet. Waves occasionally around
16 feet.
.FRIDAY...West gales to 35 knots diminishing to 30 knots. A
chance of snow showers. Waves 8 to 12 feet subsiding to 7 to
10 feet. Waves occasionally around 15 feet.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...West winds to 30 knots becoming northwest and
diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Waves 6 to 9 feet subsiding to
2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet.
.SATURDAY...West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south and
increasing to 30 knots. A chance of snow during the day, then
snow and rain Saturday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 4 to
7 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
.SUNDAY...South winds to 30 knots becoming west and diminishing
to 15 to 20 knots. Rain during the day, then a chance of snow and
rain Sunday night. Waves 6 to 10 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet.
Waves occasionally around 13 feet.
.MONDAY...Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. A
chance of snow Monday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to
3 feet.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ061-168-169-270915-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
928 PM EST Wed Nov 26 2025

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

.OVERNIGHT...Southwest gales to 45 knots becoming west to
40 knots. Rain showers, snow showers with a slight chance of
thunderstorms, then rain and snow showers late. Waves 14 to
19 feet. Waves occasionally around 24 feet.
.THURSDAY...West gales to 40 knots. A chance of snow and rain
showers in the morning, then snow showers likely with a slight
chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Waves 13 to 17 feet
subsiding to 11 to 15 feet. Waves occasionally around 22 feet.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...West gales to 40 knots diminishing to 35 knots.
Snow showers likely. Waves 11 to 16 feet. Waves occasionally
around 20 feet.
.FRIDAY...West gales to 35 knots diminishing to 30 knots. Snow
showers. Waves 9 to 13 feet subsiding to 8 to 11 feet. Waves
occasionally around 16 feet.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...West winds to 30 knots diminishing to 15 to
25 knots. A chance of snow showers in the evening. Waves 6 to
10 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around
13 feet.
.SATURDAY...West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south and
increasing to 15 to 25 knots. A chance of snow during the day,
then snow and rain Saturday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to
3 to 6 feet.
.SUNDAY...South winds to 30 knots becoming west and diminishing
to 15 to 20 knots. Rain during the day, then a chance of snow and
rain Sunday night. Waves 5 to 8 feet building to 7 to 10 feet,
then subsiding to 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 13 feet.
.MONDAY...West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south 5 to 15 knots.
A chance of snow. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ161-270915-
MAFOR 2704/
ERIE WEST 1/3...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT...11660 15650 11650. A
chance of snow showers. Waves 10 to 14 feet, and occasionally
around 18 feet overnight. Waves 8 to 12 feet, and occasionally
around 15 feet Thursday and Thursday evening.

ERIE CENTRAL 1/3...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT...11667 11666 15650.
Waves 12 to 17 feet, and occasionally around 22 feet overnight.
Waves 10 to 15 feet, and occasionally around 19 feet Thursday and
Thursday evening.

ERIE EAST 1/3...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT...11567 12657 11650 14657.
Waves 14 to 19 feet, and occasionally around 24 feet overnight.
Waves 13 to 17 feet subsiding to 11 to 15 feet, and occasionally
around 22 feet Thursday. Waves 11 to 16 feet, and occasionally
around 20 feet Thursday evening.

$$


Forecast Time Series for Lake Erie Islands

Wind Speed Possibilities

 

Wind Direction and Speed Possibilities

Forecast hourly 18 hours - 3 hourly to 36 hours

 

f01

f02

f03

f04

f05

f06

f07

f08

f09

f10

f11

f12

f13

f14

f15

f16

f17

f18

f24

f27

f30

f33

f36

 

 

Wind Gust Possibilities

 

Gust Direction and Speed Possibilities

Forecast hourly 18 hours - 3 hourly to 36 hours

 

f01

f02

f03

f04

f05

f06

f07

f08

f09

f10

f11

f12

f13

f14

f15

f16

f17

f18

f24

f27

f30

f33

f36

 

(click to enlarge)

Wave Heights

Now-15 hours

Significant

Occasional

(top 10%)

Wave Heights

18-60 hours

Significant

Occasional

(top 10%)

Wave Height Frequency Distribution

Significant Wave Probabilities

Water Level

General Forecast Time Series Days 3-7

(click to enlarge)

 

Prototype: Under Development: Not to be relied on for Operational Decision Making.