National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Current Regional Radar

Current Hazards

 

 

Current Forecast


188
FZUS61 KCLE 041456
GLFLE

Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
956 AM EST Wed Nov 4 2026

For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie

Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure of 29.40 inches over the Upper Midwest will move
northeast into northern Ontario through Thursday, pulling a weak
cold front across Lake Erie tonight. A stronger cold front with
pressure of 29.70 inches will cross Lake Erie Friday. A trough
averaging 29.90 inches will linger across the eastern Great Lakes
on Saturday. High pressure of 30.10 inches will build into the
Ohio Valley on Sunday.

LEZ162-163-042115-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
956 AM EST Wed Nov 4 2026

.REST OF TODAY...South winds 15 to 20 knots. Rain. Waves 1 to
3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
.TONIGHT...South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest. Rain
early, then a chance of rain late in the evening. Waves 2 to
4 feet.
.THURSDAY...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west
10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.FRIDAY...West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest 15 to
20 knots. Showers likely during the day, then a chance of showers
Friday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
.SATURDAY...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 10 to
15 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
.SUNDAY...West winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

$$

LEZ164>168-042115-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-
the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
956 AM EST Wed Nov 4 2026

.REST OF TODAY...South winds 15 to 25 knots. A chance of rain
late this morning, then rain this afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet
building to 3 to 5 feet.
.TONIGHT...South winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest. Rain
likely in the evening, then a chance of rain after midnight.
Waves 3 to 6 feet.
.THURSDAY...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots. Waves 3 to 6 feet
building to 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to
10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers overnight. Waves 3 to 6 feet
subsiding to 2 to 4 feet.
.FRIDAY...Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 15 to
20 knots. Showers likely. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to
6 feet.
.SATURDAY...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers
during the day. Waves 3 to 6 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
.SUNDAY...West winds 15 to 25 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet building
to 3 to 6 feet.

$$

LEZ061-169-042115-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
956 AM EST Wed Nov 4 2026

.REST OF TODAY...South winds 5 to 15 knots. A slight chance of
rain early this afternoon. A chance of rain late. Waves 1 to
3 feet.
.TONIGHT...South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest. Rain.
Waves 2 to 4 feet.
.THURSDAY...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots. Waves 3 to 6 feet
building to 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to
10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 3 to 6 feet subsiding
to 2 to 4 feet.
.FRIDAY...Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 15 to
20 knots. A chance of showers during the day, then showers likely
Friday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
.SATURDAY...West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest. Showers
likely during the day, then a chance of rain Saturday night.
Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet.
.SUNDAY...West winds 15 to 25 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet building
to 3 to 5 feet.

$$

LEZ161-042115-
MAFOR 0416/
ERIE WEST 1/3 11426 11436 11430 11420 14520. Waves 2 to 4 feet
building to 3 to 5 feet this afternoon. Waves 3 to 5 feet tonight
and Thursday morning.

ERIE CENTRAL 1/3 11426 12436 11420 11526 12520 11530. Waves 2 to
4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet this afternoon. Waves 3 to 6 feet
tonight and Thursday morning.

ERIE EAST 1/3 12410 13426 12526 11520. Waves 1 to 2 feet this
afternoon. Waves 2 to 4 feet tonight. Waves 3 to 6 feet Thursday
morning.

$$


Forecast Time Series for Western Lake Erie

Wind Speed Possibilities

 

Wind Direction and Speed Possibilities

Forecast hourly 18 hours - 3 hourly to 36 hours

 

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f30

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f36

 

 

Wind Gust Possibilities

 

Gust Direction and Speed Possibilities

Forecast hourly 18 hours - 3 hourly to 36 hours

 

f01

f02

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(click to enlarge)

Wave Heights

Now-15 hours

Significant

Occasional

(top 10%)

Wave Heights

18-60 hours

Significant

Occasional

(top 10%)

Wave Height Frequency Distribution

Significant Wave Probabilities

Water Level

General Forecast Time Series Days 3-7

(click to enlarge)

 

Prototype: Under Development: Not to be relied on for Operational Decision Making.