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Strong to Severe Thunderstorms May Bring Excessive Rainfall to the Southern U.S. Saturday

Marginally severe thunderstorms capable of strong wind gusts and hail will be possible Saturday across much of central Texas, and during the afternoon across parts of the Southeast U.S. Heavy rain from thunderstorms may bring isolated flash and urban flooding, along with new and renewed rises on rivers and streams throughout East Texas and the lower Mississippi Valley. Read More >

Effective Tuesday, July 10, 2018, at 1200 PM Mountain Standard Time, 1800 Coordinated Universal Time (UTC), the NWS WFO in Pocatello, Idaho (WFO PIH) will change all public forecast zone names and boundaries.  Upon implementation of this change, all public forecasts and related products will use the zone numbers and names shown below.

The zone changes will improve services by allowing more fine-tuned warnings and advisories for hazards such as dust, fog, and winter weather.

 

Why is NWS Pocatello Proposing to Change Their Forecast Zones?

 

In Idaho, most long-fused watches, warnings, and advisories issued by the NWS (such as Wind Advisories and Winter Storm Warnings) are issued in areas called “zones”. Our current configuration of 11 forecast zones was created during the mid 1990s using broad-brushed climate areas and has not significantly changed since that time. Over the years, NWS Pocatello meteorologists have found that our current zone configuration does not adequately reflect important local differences in geography and weather impacts. This sometimes results in "over-warning", where an impact is occuring within the current structure of our zones.

To provide a better service to our community we are working towards changing our zone configuration from 11 zones to 25 zones. These proposed zone changes are based on both climatological data, such as average annual precipitation, known weather, water and climate impacts, and forecaster experience. These changes were extensively discussed and collaborated with local and state emergency managers.

The new proposed zones will allow us to better emphasize local impact areas and provide more accurately watches, warnings, and advisories in these known regions.  Recent feedback about this proposal from several local media sources and our Idaho Transportation Department partners was very positive.

 


How Will The New Zones Result in a Better Service?

 

There are numerous examples of how adopting a new forecast zone configuration would be valuable for both our core partners, and the public:

Example 1: High wind events sometimes target the Arco Desert region without having significant impacts in the immediate Idaho Falls and Rexburg areas. Under the current zone configuration, a High Wind Warning would include both of these areas. Under the new zone proposal, we would be able to issue a warning specifically for the Arco Desert without warning Idaho Falls and Rexburg, or we would have the option to issue an advisory instead of a warning for Idaho Falls and Rexburg to reflect lesser impacts compared to the Arco Desert.

Example 2: Significantly more snow often falls in the mountains of the Bear River Range west of Bear Lake than what is observed at lower elevations over Bear Lake and Montpelier. Under the current zone configuration, an advisory or warning would have to be issued for both Bear Lake/Montpelier and the adjacent mountains. Under the new zone proposal, we would have the option to issue a warning specifically for the Bear River Range without warning Bear Lake or Montpelier if significant accumulations are not expected there.

 

 

Proposed New Forecast Zones for July 2018

 

Proposed New Zones - July 2018
Full Resolution 

 

Current Forecast Zones (Pre-July 2018)
 

Current Forecast Zones
Full Resolution

 

Current Zones

Zone # Zone Name
IDZ017 Eastern Magic Valley
IDZ018 Sawtooth Mountains
IDZ019 Upper Snake Highlands
IDZ020 Upper Snake River Plain
IDZ021 Lower Snake River Plain
IDZ022 South Central Highlands
IDZ023 Caribou Highlands
IDZ024 Cache Valley-Idaho Portion
IDZ025 Wastach Mountains-Idaho Portion
IDZ031 Big and Little Wood River Region
IDZ032 Lost River-Pahsimeroi Region

Proposed New Zones

New Zone # New Zone Name
IDZ051 Shoshone/Lava Beds
IDZ052 Arco/Mud Lake Desert
IDZ053 Upper Snake River Plain
IDZ054 Lower Snake River Plain
IDZ055 Eastern Magic Valley
IDZ056 Southern Hills/Albion Mountains
IDZ057 Raft River Region
IDZ058 Marsh and Arbon Highlands
IDZ059 Franklin/Eastern Oneida Region
IDZ060 Bear River Range
IDZ061 Bear Lake Valley
IDZ062 Blackfoot Mountains
IDZ063 Caribou Range
IDZ064 Big Hole Mountains
IDZ065 Teton Valley
IDZ066 Centennial Mountains/Island Park
IDZ067 Beaverhead/Lemhi Highlands
IDZ068 Lost River Valleys
IDZ069 Lost River Range
IDZ070 Challis/Pahsimeroi Valleys
IDZ071 Frank Church Wilderness
IDZ072 Sawtooth/Stanley Basin
IDZ073 Sun Valley Region
IDZ074 Big Lost Highlands/Copper Basin
IDZ075 Wood River Foothills
 

 

Additional Information

 

Updated public zone shapefiles are available for download via the NWS GIS Portal

For more information or for comments, please contact us via e-mail or 208-232-9344