Area Forecast Discussion

    
                        

046

FXUS63 KSGF 221133

AFDSGF



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Springfield MO

633 AM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Above normal temperatures into early next week. Highs in the

  middle 70s to around 80 and dry weather are expected.



&&



.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...

Issued at 1111 PM CDT Wed Oct 21 2026



Ridging will continue to support dry and warmer than normal

conditions today and tonight.



Look for highs in the mid 70s to around 80 today and lows in

the mid 40s to low 50s tonight.



RH values will bottom out around 25-35% today, but winds will

generally be 5 mph or less.



&&



.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

Issued at 1111 PM CDT Wed Oct 21 2026



High pressure will continue to build through the weekend into

early next week according to ensemble data, with high

confidence in well above normal conditions (highs in the 70s to

around 80). No precip is expected in this time frame.



Toward the middle of next week around 5-10% of ensembles are

showing some light rain as a trough passes through the area,

which is a decrease of around 5-10% from this time yesterday.

While this time period has the greatest rain chances in the next

7 days, it is still far more likely to be dry than to wet. There

remains quite a bit of uncertainty with temperatures due to

model spread. For example, NBM 25-75th percentile MaxT spread

increases to around 15 degrees on Tuesday and Wednesday next

week.



&&



.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/...

Issued at 632 AM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026



VFR conditions and light winds will persist through the TAF

period.



&&



.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

KS...None.

MO...None.



&&



$$



SHORT TERM...Titus

LONG TERM...Titus

AVIATION...Titus