National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

FXUS63 KSGF 271052

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
552 AM CDT Mon Jun 27 2022


Key Messages:

1. Unseasonably cool air will be in place early in the week, but a
return to at or above normal temperatures is expected Wednesday
through Friday.

2. Dry weather is expected for much of the week. A weak front may
bring some chances for rain by late Friday and into the weekend.

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 209 AM CDT Mon Jun 27 2022

It`s been a quiet night so far, with satellite imagery showing
mid to high level clouds across the area. Overnight temperatures
will be cooler than previous nights, with temperatures in the 60s
already observed for many locations, and lows in the upper 50s to
low 60s expected.

These below normal temperatures are expected to continue into
today, with afternoon highs in the upper 70s to low 80s (5-10
degrees below the climatological normal). As an upper level ridge
over the western CONUS progresses east, surface high pressure
will move just to our north, allowing for mostly clear skies and
dry weather during the beginning of the work week.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 209 AM CDT Mon Jun 27 2022

As the upper ridge continues to propagate eastward, NBM
percentiles show a warming trend for the area through midweek.
Afternoon highs will be warmer each day, with temperatures ranging
in the 80s through Wednesday.

Towards the end of the week, a shortwave trough over Canada and
the upper midwest will begin breaking down the ridge, bringing
southwest flow back into the region. This will allow for warm,
moist air to return, resulting in afternoon highs in the low to
mid 90s once again.

An associated weak cold front will begin moving through the area
over the weekend, bringing additional chances for showers and
thunderstorms as well as more seasonable temperatures to the area.


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Tuesday morning)
Issued at 534 AM CDT Mon Jun 27 2022

Quiet, dry weather is expected through the TAF period and beyond,
allowing for VFR conditions to prevail at the sites. Surface
winds up to 10 kts will be primarily out of the north-northeast
before shifting out of the southeast by the end of the period.