Area Forecast Discussion

    
                        

985

FXUS63 KSGF 261930

AFDSGF



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Springfield MO

130 PM CST Mon Jan 26 2026



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Cold temperatures will persist through the week into the

  weekend...generally remaining below normal.





&&



.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...

Issued at 130 PM CST Mon Jan 26 2026



Water vapor imagery and upper level analysis show upper level

low pressure centered just south of Hudson Bay with several

troughs rotating through the base of the low. The first was

pushing across the OH/TN valley and lower Great Lakes with

another about to push into the northern plains and upper

Mississippi valley. The surface high has shifted to the south

into the southern plains and we`re starting to see a west-

southwest wind develop. Temperatures have responded to the

sunshine and onset of low level warm advection despite the

decent snow pack across the area. We`ve rebounded from morning

temperatures below zero and in some instances readings near -20

to midday readings generally in the teens above zero so far.



Tonight: As the upper wave dives southeast into the upper

Mississippi valley, we`ll see an increase in the surface

pressure gradient between the surface high to our south and the

low to our north. As a result, we`ll see fairly strong warm air

advection develop this evening and continue overnight with

the warm advection fighting with the snow cover for low

temperatures tonight. Have adjusted higher than previous

forecast with the warm advection and we should stay warm enough

to keep the area out of any cold weather headlines. It will

still be cold with lows in the single digits to around 13 and

wind chills from around -3 to 5 above.



Tuesday: The winds should diminish as the low shifts into the

Great Lakes region with another full round of sunshine expected.

Highs should reach the low to mid 30s.





&&



.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...

Issued at 130 PM CST Mon Jan 26 2026



Cold temperatures will persist through the remainder of the week

into the weekend. A couple waves of energy will move through the

region Tuesday night through Thursday and will increase the

cloud cover, however moisture doesn`t look overly impressive and

we are keeping precipitation chances out of the forecast for

now.



A stronger wave and surface cold front will push through late

Friday into Friday night and will enhance the cold air with

temperatures likely dropping below zero again Friday night into

Saturday morning.



We are expecting temperatures to remain below normal through the

weekend with the potential for more normal readings showing up

next week. Normals for this time of year are low to mid 40s for

highs and mid 20s for lows.







&&



.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/...

Issued at 1121 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026



For the 18z TAFS, winds will be the main aviation hazard with

this forecast. As the strong high pressure system shifts to our

south this evening, the pressure gradient will increase and

we`ll see gusty southwest winds develop through the evening and

much of the night. Gusts up to 25 kts will be possible. With

that, we`ll also see low level wind shear develop through the

evening and night at 35 to 50 kts. VFR conditions are expected

through the period.



&&



.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

KS...None.

MO...None.



&&



$$



SHORT TERM...Lindenberg

LONG TERM...Lindenberg

AVIATION...Lindenberg