Area Forecast Discussion

    
                        

316

FXUS63 KSGF 270711

AFDSGF



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Springfield MO

211 AM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Above normal temperatures and dry weather into next week.



&&



.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...

Issued at 211 AM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025



Analysis and current conditions: Upper level analysis and water

vapor imagery show a trough shifting into the southeast U.S.,

upper ridging over the southern into central plains and a nearly

stationary low over southern CA. The main polar jet was located

across southern Canada with a shortwave pushing east across

the province of Manitoba. At the surface, high pressure was

centered over the region behind the cold front which has shifted

well south into the Gulf. Temperatures over the CWA were in the

upper 50s to low 60s with dewpoints in the mid to upper 50s.



Short term forecast through Saturday night: Similar to last

night, there may be some fog that develops in the river valleys

and lakes, but most places should remain clear, with some

possible high cirrus streaming in from the west. Could see some

cumulus develop during the afternoon, but otherwise should be

sunny again with highs in the low to mid 80s. Lows tonight will

be a bit warmer than Friday night in the mid 50s to low 60s.





&&



.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...

Issued at 211 AM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025



The upper level ridge axis will build over the area on Sunday

with surface high pressure remaining over the area. The

California upper low will begin to lift northeast into the

Rockies as a storm system begins to push into the west coast

Sunday night into Monday. The energy associated with the

California low will stay to our west over the rockies and plains

and we should remain dry through the 7 day period as upper level

ridging remains over the area.



Temperatures will be warm in the low to mid 80s (normals for

this time of year are in the mid 70s).



8 to 14 day outlook continues the favoring of above normal

temperatures and below normal precipitation for the area which

goes through October 10th. Ensemble temperature anomolies

continue to show around 4 to 6 degrees above normal during this

time frame.





&&



.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/...

Issued at 1215 AM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025



High pressure remains in control over the area bringing VFR

conditions and light winds to the area for the 06z TAF period.

May see some high level cirrus move in from the west and some

afternoon cumulus develop, but should remain VFR.



&&



.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

KS...None.

MO...None.



&&



$$



SHORT TERM...Lindenberg

LONG TERM...Lindenberg

AVIATION...Lindenberg