National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

 

Fire Weather Forecast:

 


013
FNUS55 KTFX 280901
FWFTFX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for North-Central Montana
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
301 AM MDT Sat Mar 28 2026

.DISCUSSION...

A dry westerly flow aloft across the Northern Rockies and Montana
will bring some additional warming today with overall dry
conditions continuing through the weekend. Breezy west to
southwest winds are expected this afternoon and again Sunday
across central and southwest Montana. Daytime humidity will fall
to the teens today with slightly higher RH on Sunday. More
widespread cooling and a chance for showers along with windy
conditions occur with the passage of a Pacific cold front across
the region on Monday. Hoenisch

MTZ112-282300-
Eastern Glacier/Toole/Central/Eastern Pondera/Liberty-
301 AM MDT Sat Mar 28 2026

.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather...........Partly sunny.
* Chance Lightning.......0 percent.
* Max Temperature.......50-59...43-49 higher elevations.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min Humidity..........22-31 percent...30-40 percent higher
elevations.
24 hr trend......15 percent up...20 percent up higher
elevations.
* Wind (20 FT).
Lower Elevations...West winds 10 to 15 mph increasing to 20 to
25 mph in the afternoon.
Ridges.............West winds 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing Height.........500-1000 ft agl increasing to 6500-7000 ft
agl.
* Transport Winds.......West 20 to 25 mph increasing to around 30
mph in the afternoon.
* CWR...................0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather...........Partly cloudy.
* Chance Lightning.......0 percent.
* Min Temperature.......20-27.
24 hr trend......5 degrees down.
* Max Humidity..........75-85 percent...66-76 percent higher
elevations.
24 hr trend......34 percent up...25 percent up higher
elevations.
* Wind (20 FT).
Lower Elevations...Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
Ridges.............Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph.
* Mixing Height.........6000 ft agl decreasing to 1000 ft agl.
* Transport Winds.......Northwest 25 to 30 mph.
* CWR...................0 percent.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather...........Mostly sunny.
* Chance Lightning.......0 percent.
* Max Temperature.......47-55...38-47 higher elevations.
24 hr trend......3 degrees down.
* Min Humidity..........34-44 percent...45-55 percent higher
elevations.
24 hr trend......9 percent up...14 percent up higher elevations.
* Wind (20 FT).
Lower Elevations...Windy. East winds 15 to 20 mph increasing
to southwest around 25 mph in the afternoon.
Ridges.............Windy. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph
increasing to around 30 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing Height.........500-2000 ft agl increasing to 5000-6500 ft
agl.
* Transport Winds.......Southwest around 35 mph increasing to
around 45 mph in the afternoon.
* CWR...................0 percent.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7......
.MONDAY...Colder, windy. Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow and slight
chance of rain. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 30s.
West winds around 30 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of snow. Lows around 13.
Highs in the lower 40s. Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Warmer. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the lower 50s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain and snow. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Lows in the mid 20s.
Highs in the lower 40s.

$$

MTZ113-282300-
Hill and Blaine Counties-
301 AM MDT Sat Mar 28 2026

.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather...........Mostly cloudy.
* Chance Lightning.......0 percent.
* Max Temperature.......54-60.
24 hr trend......1 degree up.
* Min Humidity..........20-27 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent up.
* Wind (20 FT).
Lower Elevations...West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Ridges.............West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing Height.........500-2000 ft agl increasing to 4000-5500 ft
agl.
* Transport Winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph increasing to west
around 25 mph in the afternoon.
* CWR...................0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather...........Mostly cloudy.
* Chance Lightning.......0 percent.
* Min Temperature.......25-32.
24 hr trend......1 degree down.
* Max Humidity..........72-82 percent.
24 hr trend......23 percent up...33 percent up higher
elevations.
* Wind (20 FT).
Lower Elevations...Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Ridges.............Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing Height.........3500 ft agl decreasing to 500-1000 ft agl.
* Transport Winds.......Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
* CWR...................0 percent.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather...........Partly sunny.
* Chance Lightning.......0 percent.
* Max Temperature.......49-54.
24 hr trend......3 degrees down.
* Min Humidity..........36-46 percent.
24 hr trend......18 percent up.
* Wind (20 FT).
Lower Elevations...North winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
Ridges.............West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing Height.........500-1500 ft agl increasing to 2500-4000 ft
agl late in the morning.
* Transport Winds.......North 20 to 25 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* CWR...................0 percent.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7......
.MONDAY...Windy. Mostly cloudy. Rain likely and chance of snow.
Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s. Southwest winds
around 30 mph.
.TUESDAY...Windy. Partly cloudy. Lows around 15. Highs in the
lower 40s. Northwest winds around 25 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Warmer. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the mid 50s. Southeast winds 20 to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of rain and snow. Lows in
the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 50s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow and rain. Lows in the mid
20s. Highs in the lower 40s.

$$

MTZ114-282300-
Lewis and Clark National Forest Rocky Mountain District-
Rocky Mountain Front-
301 AM MDT Sat Mar 28 2026

.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather...........Partly sunny.
* Chance Lightning.......0 percent.
* Max Temperature.......56-62...41-51 higher elevations.
24 hr trend......5 degrees up.
* Min Humidity..........20-30 percent...32-42 percent higher
elevations.
24 hr trend......13 percent up...6 percent up higher elevations.
* Wind (20 FT).
Lower Elevations...Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph increasing to
west 20 to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Ridges.............Windy. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing Height.........1000-2500 ft agl increasing to 7000-8000 ft
agl.
* Transport Winds.......Southwest around 25 mph increasing to west
around 35 mph in the afternoon.
* CWR...................0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather...........Partly cloudy.
* Chance Lightning.......0 percent.
* Min Temperature.......26-36.
24 hr trend......8 degrees down...unchanged higher elevations.
* Max Humidity..........56-66 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent up...12 percent up higher elevations.
* Wind (20 FT).
Lower Elevations...West winds 20 to 25 mph decreasing to 10 to
15 mph after midnight.
Ridges.............Windy. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing Height.........6500 ft agl decreasing to 1000 ft agl.
* Transport Winds.......West 30 to 35 mph.
* CWR...................0 percent.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather...........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of snow in the
morning. Chance of rain and snow in the afternoon.
* Chance Lightning.......0 percent.
* Max Temperature.......51-59...36-46 higher elevations.
24 hr trend......3 degrees down...8 degrees down higher
elevations.
* Min Humidity..........34-44 percent...55-65 percent higher
elevations.
24 hr trend......12 percent up...23 percent up higher
elevations.
* Wind (20 FT).
Lower Elevations...Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
Ridges.............Windy. West winds 20 to 25 mph increasing
to around 30 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing Height.........1000-2500 ft agl increasing to 6000-7500 ft
agl.
* Transport Winds.......Southwest around 45 mph.
* CWR...................0 percent.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7......
.MONDAY...Colder. Very windy. Mostly cloudy. Snow and chance of
rain. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds
around 40 mph.
.TUESDAY...Windy. Partly cloudy. Chance of snow. Lows around 16.
Highs in the lower 40s. West winds around 30 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of snow and slight chance
of rain. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower 50s. Southwest
winds 20 to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with snow and chance of rain. Lows in
the lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of snow. Lows in the mid 20s.
Highs in the lower 40s.

$$

MTZ115-282300-
Chouteau and Fergus Counties-
301 AM MDT Sat Mar 28 2026

.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather...........Mostly cloudy.
* Chance Lightning.......0 percent.
* Max Temperature.......58-63...52-59 higher elevations.
24 hr trend......5 degrees up.
* Min Humidity..........19-25 percent.
24 hr trend......3 percent up.
* Wind (20 FT).
Lower Elevations...Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to
the west in the afternoon.
Ridges.............West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing Height.........500-2000 ft agl increasing to 5000-5500 ft
agl.
* Transport Winds.......West 15 to 20 mph increasing to around 30
mph in the afternoon.
* CWR...................0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather...........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
* Chance Lightning.......0 percent.
* Min Temperature.......27-37...33-38 higher elevations.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max Humidity..........61-71 percent...50-56 percent higher
elevations.
24 hr trend......15 percent up.
* Wind (20 FT).
Lower Elevations...West winds 10 to 20 mph.
Ridges.............West winds 20 to 25 mph decreasing to 10 to
15 mph after midnight.
* Mixing Height.........4000 ft agl decreasing to 500-1000 ft agl.
* Transport Winds.......West around 30 mph decreasing to 20 to 25
mph after midnight.
* CWR...................0 percent.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather...........Partly sunny. Slight chance of rain in the
afternoon.
* Chance Lightning.......0 percent.
* Max Temperature.......54-59.
24 hr trend......5 degrees down.
* Min Humidity..........34-41 percent.
24 hr trend......15 percent up.
* Wind (20 FT).
Lower Elevations...Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to
the south in the afternoon.
Ridges.............West winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* Mixing Height.........500-1500 ft agl increasing to 2500-3000 ft
agl late in the morning, then increasing to 4500-6000 ft agl in
the afternoon decreasing to 4000 ft agl late in the afternoon.
* Transport Winds.......West 25 to 30 mph.
* CWR...................0 percent.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7......
.MONDAY...Cooler, windy. Mostly cloudy with rain likely and
chance of snow. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. West
winds around 30 mph.
.TUESDAY...Windy. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of snow. Lows
around 18. Highs in the mid 40s. North winds around 25 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Warmer. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs
in the upper 50s. Southeast winds 20 to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of rain. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the lower 50s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of snow and rain. Lows in the
upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s.

$$

MTZ116-118-282300-
Lincoln Ranger District of the Helena National Forest-
Helena and Townsend Ranger Districts of the Helena National
Forest-
301 AM MDT Sat Mar 28 2026

.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather...........Mostly sunny.
* Chance Lightning.......0 percent.
* Max Temperature.......58-68...47-57 higher elevations.
24 hr trend......9 degrees up...3 degrees up higher elevations.
* Min Humidity..........16-26 percent.
24 hr trend......1 percent up...7 percent up higher elevations.
* Wind (20 FT).
Lower Elevations...South winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
Ridges.............Windy. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph
increasing to west around 25 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing Height.........1000-1500 ft agl increasing to 7500-8000 ft
agl.
* Transport Winds.......Southwest 20 to 25 mph increasing to west
around 35 mph in the afternoon.
* CWR...................0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather...........Partly cloudy.
* Chance Lightning.......0 percent.
* Min Temperature.......32-39.
24 hr trend......3 degrees up.
* Max Humidity..........54-64 percent.
24 hr trend......14 percent up...21 percent up higher
elevations.
* Wind (20 FT).
Lower Elevations...West winds 15 to 25 mph.
Ridges.............Windy. West winds 15 to 25 mph.
* Mixing Height.........6000 ft agl decreasing to 1000-2500 ft agl.
* Transport Winds.......West 30 to 35 mph.
* CWR...................0 percent.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather...........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of rain in the
afternoon.
* Chance Lightning.......0 percent.
* Max Temperature.......57-67...46-56 higher elevations.
24 hr trend......1 degree down.
* Min Humidity..........28-38 percent...41-51 percent higher
elevations.
24 hr trend......13 percent up...21 percent up higher
elevations.
* Wind (20 FT).
Lower Elevations...Windy. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph
increasing to around 25 mph in the afternoon.
Ridges.............Windy. Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph
increasing to around 30 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing Height.........1000-2000 ft agl increasing to 8000-9500 ft
agl.
* Transport Winds.......Southwest around 35 mph increasing to
around 45 mph in the afternoon.
* CWR...................0 percent.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7......
.MONDAY...Colder. Very windy. Mostly cloudy with snow likely and
chance of rain. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s.
West winds around 35 mph.
.TUESDAY...Very windy. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of snow. Lows
around 19. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds around 35 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Warmer, windy. Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow and
slight chance of rain. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid
50s. South winds around 25 mph.
.THURSDAY...Colder. Snow with rain likely. Lows in the lower 30s.
Highs in the lower 40s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Lows in the mid 20s.
Highs in the lower 40s.

$$

MTZ117-282300-
Central and Eastern Lewis and Clark National Forest Areas-
301 AM MDT Sat Mar 28 2026

.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather...........Partly sunny.
* Chance Lightning.......0 percent.
* Max Temperature.......57-64...48-58 higher elevations.
24 hr trend......5 degrees up...10 degrees up higher elevations.
* Min Humidity..........17-23 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent up.
* Wind (20 FT).
Lower Elevations...West winds 20 to 25 mph.
Ridges.............West winds 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing Height.........1000-1500 ft agl increasing to 6500-7500 ft
agl.
* Transport Winds.......West 25 to 30 mph.
* CWR...................0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather...........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
* Chance Lightning.......0 percent.
* Min Temperature.......31-37.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max Humidity..........51-61 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent up...22 percent up higher
elevations.
* Wind (20 FT).
Lower Elevations...West winds 20 to 25 mph decreasing to 10 to
15 mph after midnight.
Ridges.............West winds 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing Height.........4500 ft agl decreasing to 1000-2000 ft agl.
* Transport Winds.......West 25 to 30 mph.
* CWR...................0 percent.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather...........Partly sunny. Slight chance of rain in the
afternoon.
* Chance Lightning.......0 percent.
* Max Temperature.......57-62...47-56 higher elevations.
24 hr trend......3 degrees down.
* Min Humidity..........32-42 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent up...18 percent up higher
elevations.
* Wind (20 FT).
Lower Elevations...Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph increasing to
20 to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Ridges.............Windy. West winds 15 to 20 mph increasing
to southwest around 25 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing Height.........1000-1500 ft agl increasing to 7000-8000 ft
agl.
* Transport Winds.......Southwest around 30 mph increasing to
around 40 mph in the afternoon.
* CWR...................0 percent.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7......
.MONDAY...Colder, windy. Rain and snow likely. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds around 30 mph.
.TUESDAY...Very windy. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of snow. Lows
around 17. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds around 35 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Warmer. Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and
snow. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid 50s. South winds
20 to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain and snow likely. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Lows in the mid 20s.
Highs in the upper 30s.

$$

weather.gov/greatfalls


 

 

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846
FXUS65 KTFX 282340
AFDTFX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
540 PM MDT Sat Mar 28 2026

Aviation Section Updated.

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Short lived warmth this weekend, then trending cooler and
unsettled for next week.
- Mountain snow/lower elevation rain expected Sunday and Monday.
- Second system arrives Thursday and Friday, bringing another
round of lower elevation rain/mountain snow to the area.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/Issued 245 PM MDT Sat Mar 28 2026/

Weak upper level ridging over the Western US has brought a return
to warmer, albeit cloudy, weather to the Treasure State, at least
temporarily. Clouds will continue to increase through the day
today and overnight tonight as our next weather system approaches,
with snow beginning to fall over the Continental Divide tomorrow
afternoon before precipitation spreads eastward Sunday evening.
Expect most of the precipitation from this system to be light,
with the only areas susceptible to more impactful amounts being
over Kings Hill Pass (where 2-4 inches of snow are expected) and
over Marias Pass (where 6-10 inches of snow are expected).

This system will clear the area late Monday and Tuesday, which
will allow warmth to return to the area for Wednesday as
temperatures soar back into the mid 50s to low 60s. The return of
above average temperatures will not last long, however, as yet
another (though likely stronger) upper level trough will push into
the area Wednesday night and into Thursday, bringing another round
of cooler temperatures and another chance for widespread mountain
snow and lower elevation rain. Behind this system, northwesterly
flow aloft will keep us a bit cooler and generally cloudy with
some higher terrain snowfall. Ludwig

&&

.AVIATION...
29/00Z TAF Period.

VFR conditions generally prevail for most locations; however, a
weak Canadian cold front will move through the plains tonight into
Sunday morning and bring scattered to broken MVFR/IFR/LIFR
stratus and even some patchy fog to the Hi-Line terminals, mostly
between 29/09 and 29/18Z. KGTF may briefly be on the southern
extent of this area of clouds, but maintained VFR conditions for
now with less than a 50% chance for degraded conditions. Winds
decrease for all areas this evening and become more northerly over
the plains late tonight and Sunday morning. Gusty west to
southwesterly winds return for most locations after 29/18Z. - RCG

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF 34 59 37 45 / 0 20 40 40
CTB 22 51 24 34 / 0 10 20 40
HLN 35 63 34 46 / 0 10 50 50
BZN 34 68 37 51 / 10 10 30 70
WYS 27 57 34 50 / 0 10 10 70
DLN 35 65 40 53 / 0 0 10 30
HVR 27 51 32 44 / 0 10 50 20
LWT 34 56 32 42 / 10 20 70 70

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$
http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls


 

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