
Extremely critical fire weather conditions are expected to develop across the Great Basin and Southwest today, and exceptionally dry and windy conditions will promote rapid wildfire spread through the weekend. Scattered severe thunderstorms and heavy rain are possible across parts of the Ozark Plateau into lower Ohio Valley and parts of the northern Rockies into adjacent Great Plains. Read More >
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071 FXUS66 KMTR 262358 AFDMTR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Francisco CA 458 PM PDT Fri Jun 26 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1220 PM PDT Fri Jun 26 2026 - Gusty onshore winds through Saturday with east-west mountain passes as high as 50+ mph. Winds increase for the waters this weekend, with marine impacts through early next week - An upper trough brings cooler temperatures, moisture, and a deeper marine layer with AM drizzle Saturday - Beach hazards return Saturday morning through Wednesday morning for south and southwest facing beaches along the Pacific Coast && .SHORT TERM... Issued at 1220 PM PDT Fri Jun 26 2026 (This evening through Saturday night) Radar shows ongoing light rain showers across the far interior areas as a cold front moves down, associated with the larger upper level low propagating across the PacNW. With troughing firmly in place, a deeper marine layer allowed for some coastal drizzle this morning for a few spots, now currently mixing out. High clouds associated with this system continue to move into the region, helping to keep interior areas a bit cooler today. Along with these clouds, cooler 850 mb temps will usher in 10-15 degree below normal surface temperatures for both this afternoon and Saturday. As the low moves slightly southward today and tomorrow, a tighter gradient will allow for a significant uptick in onshore winds both days, with gusts 50+ mph through west-east passes and mountain peaks...20-40 mph wind gusts elsewhere. With better moisture in the lower levels, the marine layer on Saturday will remain sufficiently deep, and another round of drizzle/light rain (<0.05") is expected in the morning. Winds will increase not only across inland areas, but also over the waters. Gusts up to 30-40 kt will be possible with seas of 8 to 10 ft. Marine hazards are currently in effect through Sunday morning, please see the marine discussion for further information. An uptick in long period southerly swell will result in a high risk of rip currents and sneaker waves. Never turn your back to the ocean! Beach hazards will be in effect this weekend and into much of next week, see the beaches discussion for more information. && .LONG TERM... Issued at 1220 PM PDT Fri Jun 26 2026 (Sunday through next Thursday) The aforementioned low will move up to Idaho/Montana beginning Sunday, but weak troughing will remain in place over California through at least the middle of next week as high pressure attempts to push in from the west. A very slow increase in heights will support the marine layer becoming more compressed each day, but could still make it relatively far inland with patchy fog for the coastal terrain through at least Tuesday. Temperatures will follow suit, slowly warming into the middle of the week, but generally should remain at or below normal through the forecast period. Model guidance has finally started to catch on to this cooler influence from the trough, but forecasted temperatures near the end of the period may still be a bit too high depending on how long it takes for the ridge to push in. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 433 PM PDT Fri Jun 26 2026 Low clouds will continue to fill in further inland through this evening. Gusty westerly winds will ease slightly tonight, increasing again on Saturday afternoon across the region, mainly 20-35 kts at TAF sites. MVFR/IFR conditions prevailing through Saturday morning with pockets of BR/DZ 03-15Z Sat, which may reduce visibilities along the coast and some slightly more inland areas 4-6sm. CIGs scattering from the north to the south mid morning into the early afternoon hours. Vicinity of SFO...MVFR CIGs prevailing through mid Saturday morning, locally IFR tonight, especially in areas of BR/DZ and vis near 6sm. Winds will remain elevated but ease through the evening with gusts near 15 knots. Cloud cover lifts and scatters into the mid morning as gusty west winds return. Strong gusts build into Saturday afternoon, with around a 40% chance of wind gusts reaching 35 knots. SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO. Monterey Bay Terminals...Cloud cover will increase this evening with MVFR conditions, locally IFR conditions in any BR/DZ overnight. Winds will reduce into the evening with elevated winds returning by Saturday afternoon with gusts near 25 knots at times. && .MARINE... (Today through Wednesday) Issued at 1156 AM PDT Fri Jun 26 2026 Winds have reduced in the outer waters, but continue to be breezy to gusty along the immediate coast. Winds across the waters will reduce through the day but begin to strengthen again Saturday afternoon. These strong winds and rough seas will result in hazardous conditions for small craft across the waters at times well into the work week. Expect gale force gusts to develop in the northern outer waters and along coastal jet regions over the weekend as well. Long period southwest swell will persist through the extended forecast. && .BEACHES... Issued at 110 AM PDT Fri Jun 26 2026 A Beach Hazards Statement has been issued for the Pacific Coast Beaches from Saturday morning through Wednesday morning as long period southerly swell returns to the coast, creating an increased risk of sneaker waves and strong rip currents, especially for south and southwest facing beaches. Hazardous beach conditions are advertised, specifically for moderate to steeply sloped beaches along the Pacific Coast of the North Bay, San Mateo, Santa Cruz counties. Sneaker waves will run up the beach much farther than other waves, potentially catching beachgoers by surprise and resulting in people being swept into the water. Rip currents are strong enough to pull the strongest swimmers away from shore. Swim near a lifeguard if possible. Stay back from the beach, and away from jetties, piers, beachside rocks, and other infrastructure near the water. Never turn your back to the ocean! && .MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CA...Beach Hazards Statement from late tonight through late Tuesday night for CAZ006-505-509-529-530. PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PDT Sunday for SF Bay N of Bay Bridge. Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PDT Saturday for Mry Bay. Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM Saturday to 3 AM PDT Sunday for Mry Bay-Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0-10 nm. Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM to 3 PM PDT Saturday for Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM-Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm. Gale Warning from 3 PM Saturday to 3 AM PDT Sunday for Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM-Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm-Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm. Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM PDT Saturday for Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm. Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM Saturday to 3 AM PDT Sunday for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM. && $$ SHORT TERM...Zuber LONG TERM....Zuber AVIATION...Murdock MARINE...Murdock Visit us at www.weather.gov/sanfrancisco Follow us on Facebook, X, and YouTube at: www.facebook.com/nwsbayarea x.com/nwsbayarea www.youtube.com/nwsbayarea |
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