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Lingering Winter Weather in Interior New England; Snow Squalls Developing Downwind of the Lower Great Lakes

A wintry mix will continue in interior New England through tonight as a coastal storm quickly passes to the east. Heavy snow is expected in northern Maine, with a coating of ice expected for much of interior New England. Behind this storm system, lake effect snow and snow squalls will develop from the Ohio Valley to interior New England through Monday. Read More >

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913
FXUS66 KMTR 111739
AFDMTR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
939 AM PST Sun Jan 11 2026

...New AVIATION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1227 AM PST Sun Jan 11 2026

- High and dry pattern with offshore flow and cold overnight
conditions

- Hazardous beach conditions at all Pacific Coast beaches today
and tomorrow and again throughout the week

&&

.SHORT TERM...
Issued at 1227 AM PST Sun Jan 11 2026
(Today and Monday)

High pressure in the Intermountain West and a coastal trough off the
California Coast will be responsible for our weather for the next
week. Calm, clear, and cool conditions will allow for efficient
radiational cooling - this is why we have been cold the past three
mornings. Everything seems to be on track with temperatures
generally within two degrees of the forecast. As such, cold weather
products are in effect through 9AM this morning. Patchy radiational
fog will be another hazard through the morning with STS just
developing it as I was typing this. Today and tomorrow will be very
similar with afternoon temperatures rising to 5 degrees above normal
and overnight temperatures falling to 5 degrees below normal.
Hazardous beach conditions return to all Pacific Coast beaches today
with an increased risk for strong rip currents, sneaker waves, and
large shore break. If you go to the beach: remain out of the water,
stay off of waterside infrastructure such as jetties, piers, and
rocks, and never turn your back on the ocean! Bonus: high clouds
streaming in from the Eastern Pacific Ocean will continue to make
for mesmerizing sunrises and sunsets.

&&

.LONG TERM...
Issued at 1227 AM PST Sun Jan 11 2026
(Tuesday through Saturday)

Global ensemble clusters are in agreement that an anomalously high
amplitude upper-level longwave ridge and its axis will dominate our
long term forecast. This will result in a warming trend of 10
degrees, with minimum temperatures slower to respond than maximum
temperatures. No records are forecast to be in jeopardy.
Unfortunately, periods of hazardous beach conditions with an
increased risk for strong rip currents, sneaker waves, and large
breaking waves are expected through the week, coinciding with great
beach weather. If you go to the beach: remain out of the water, stay
off of waterside infrastructure such as jetties, piers, and rocks,
and never turn your back on the ocean! Rain is still going to have
to wait for beyond the long term forecast. The 20th continues to be
the earliest possible return with the ECMWF and GFS showing some
form of troughing returning, but agreement is terrible not only
between the deterministic solutions but also across their ensemble
members.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 934 AM PST Sun Jan 11 2026

VFR. Broad ridge of high pressure resulting in clear conditions
across the board through this TAF period. The exception being
isolated dense FG invof KSTS overnight through sunrise Monday.
Winds generally light and variable.

Vicinity of SFO...VFR. Clear conditions anticipated through the
TAF period. NE wind component through the morning hours, but very
likely to stay under 7-8 kts.

SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO.

Monterey Bay Terminals...VFR. Clear skies with light and variable
winds. SE drainage flow out of the Salinas Valley during the
mornings.

&&

.MARINE...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 934 AM PST Sun Jan 11 2026

Expect mostly light winds and swell today. A longer period and
larger northwesterly builds this afternoon producing a rough sea
state through early Tuesday. Seas rebuild in the late work week.
Winds stay mostly light to moderate through the week.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 112 PM PST Sat Jan 10 2026

A Beach Hazard Statement will go into effect at 4PM PST Sunday and
continue through Monday evening for all Pacific Coast beaches from
Sonoma to Monterey County. A longer period moderate swell will
bring hazardous beach conditions with increased risk for rip
currents, sneaker waves, and larger shore break. This will result
in dangerous conditions along the shoreline. Hazardous beach
conditions are expected to continue through Thursday with the
issuance of additional Beach Hazard Statements likely.

Stay off of jetties, piers, rocks, and other waterside
infrastructure. Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous surf
and NEVER turn your back on the ocean. Monitor local weather, surf
and tide forecasts at www.weather.gov/mtr.

&&

.MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...Beach Hazards Statement from 4 PM PST this afternoon through
Monday evening for CAZ006-505-509-529-530.

PZ...Small Craft Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 9 AM PST Monday
for Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM.

Small Craft Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 9 AM PST Monday
for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Sarment
LONG TERM....Sarment
AVIATION...Behringer
MARINE...Behringer

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