National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Showers and Thunderstorms in the Southeast; Above Average Temperatures Expected in the West

Showers and thunderstorms will continue to produce locally heavy rainfall and isolated severe thunderstorms across the Southern Plains and Gulf Coast states through the weekend. Above average temperatures will start building over portions of the West this weekend and peak early next week. Read More >

ZOA CWSU Discussion KSFO TAF TDA
AWAITING CWSU INPUT
TAF TDA

KSFO/KSQL METAR
METAR
Area PIREPs
PIREP
   
Satellite Webcams, Ceiling≤030 Prob
Webcams

Click here to reload map


SIERRA 03 Hour Forecast SIERRA 12 Hour Forecast SIGMETs
TANGO 03 Hour Forecast TANGO 12 Hour Forecast
ZULU 03 Hour Forecast ZULU 12 Hour Forecast
Area Forecast Discussion Forecast Maps

679
FXUS66 KMTR 080650
AFDMTR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
1150 PM PDT Thu May 7 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1123 PM PDT Thu May 7 2026

- Warming and drying trend will continue through the early part
of next week

- Temperatures are forecast to peak on Monday

- Moderate risk for heat-related illnesses for sensitive
populations across the interior early next week

&&

.SHORT TERM...
Issued at 1123 PM PDT Thu May 7 2026
(Tonight through Saturday)


Widespread low clouds have pushed inland from the coast, covering
the bays and into some of the interior valleys. Expect chances for
pockets of fog overnight, with the strongest chances in the North
Bay. The marine layer`s influence will be stronger than last night,
that along with the blanket of lower cloud cover will keep overnight
temperatures mild. Most areas will see lows in the 50s and upper
40s. Only far interior valleys and higher peaks will see lows as
cold as the mid 40s.

Friday will start on the cloudy side, and that cloud cover looks to
linger into the late morning and even the early afternoon for some
areas. The duration of the cloud cover will keep coastal and
slightly inland areas on the cooler side compared to the areas that
stay clear. Inland cloud cover will start clearing in the mid
morning, however areas around the bays will keep cloud cover into
the late morning and early afternoon. Portions of the immediate
coast looks to keep cloud cover through the day with moderate to
breezy winds. This will keep temperatures on the coast in the lower
60s, then the 60s and 70s for areas more inland, and into the 80s
for areas not experiencing the morning cloud cover. A few areas in
the far interior portions of Monterey Co look to break 90 degrees
once again.

Friday night will see the affects of the building ridge to the north
with a compression of the marine layer and a reduction in the
overnight inland push of coastal stratus. This means that cloud
cover will still be prevalent along the coast, but will struggle to
enter the SF Bay and reach more of the inland areas. Additionally,
the inland push of coastal stratus looks to be much later, more so
into the night than the evening.

With a weaker marine influence, reduced cloud cover, and building
ridge, many more of the inland areas to break into the 80s for
Saturday. Coastal areas will stay low 60s, and the slightly inland
areas stay in the 70s, but most areas away from the coast look to
break 80. A few of the more inland areas look to break into the mid
90s than previous days.

&&

.LONG TERM...
Issued at 1123 PM PDT Thu May 7 2026
(Saturday night through next Thursday)

The compression of the marine layer and building of the ridge
continues Sunday and Monday, with Monday continuing to look like the
hottest day of the forecast. For Monday itself: Most of the interior
valleys look to break into the 90s with widespread 80s for all but
the near-coastal areas seeing the 60s and 70s.

The ridge and increasing pressure will form a thermal belt, causing
much warmer lows on the higher peaks (60s and a few 70s) and will
allow for those peaks to break into the 90s for Monday afternoon.

Model trends continue to show notable cooling Tuesday, but it will
still be on the hot side. The ridge begins to push east and a
through deepens in the pacific leading to weak onshore winds along
with a dissipation of the thermal belt.

From there, models split off in the movement of said trough. Some
outputs place it in the Northwest, putting us into stronger zonal
flow. Others place it farther south into the Bay Area, leading to
drizzle and much cloudier conditions. Then there are some hits
that the trough forms a cut off low in the middle of the Pacific,
calling for continued weak onshore flow. Each of these scenarios
call for a cool-down into the mid to late week, but offer fairly
different magnitudes. Be sure to keep checking back as the
forecast develops.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1007 PM PDT Thu May 7 2026

Another night of MVFR to IFR stratus is expected again tonight, with
stratus building along the coast and into the valleys. Stratus will
continue to build into the region tonight, with stratus clearing
late tomorrow morning. Though there could be lingering stratus
into the early afternoon for some sites. VFR conditions should
prevail into the afternoon and into the evening. The marine layer
tonight and into tomorrow morning is expected to be around
1500-1800ft. It is expected 1200-1000ft by tomorrow evening and
into Saturday morning. So stratus arrival might be a little
delayed tomorrow evening.

Vicinity of SFO...MVFR to IFR cigs are expected tonight and will
clear by late morning. Winds may remain gusty with 18-22kt gusts
expected over the next couple of hours, with 10-15kt winds expected
overnight. Tomorrow, as cigs clear onshore flow returns. Expect
breezy westerly winds around 15kt with gusts up to 25-30kt expected
from 21Z to 4Z. There is some uncertainty if stratus will make it to
SFO tomorrow night. Some guidance has this occuring around 9z, opted
to hint at the possibility instead of locking in on it.

SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO.

Monterey Bay Terminals...Stratus has returned this evening, which is
accompanied with onshore flow. MVFR to IFR cigs are expected through
the overnight hours, with cigs lifting late tomorrow morning. Gusty
onshore winds return for the afternoon, especially around KSNS where
they may get up to 15kt. Stratus should return to the southern half
of Monterey Bay.

&&

.MARINE...
(Tonight through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1007 PM PDT Thu May 7 2026

Fresh to strong northwest breezes will persist through the
weekend with steadily building rough seas. The rough seas will
begin to ease late Sunday into Monday, which is winds begin to
decrease to moderate to fresh northerly breezes.

&&

.MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM PDT Sunday for Pt Arena to Pt
Reyes 0-10 nm-Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.

Small Craft Advisory from 3 AM Friday to 9 PM PDT Sunday for
Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0-10 nm-Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60
NM-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM-Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10
nm.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Murdock
LONG TERM....Murdock
AVIATION...KR
MARINE...KR

Visit us at www.weather.gov/sanfrancisco

Follow us on Facebook, X, and YouTube at:
www.facebook.com/nwsbayarea
x.com/nwsbayarea
www.youtube.com/nwsbayarea




   Select:      24HR Change/Gradients  |  Forecast Gradients   
OSO001
   Select:      MOS/BUFKIT  |  HREF Ceiling  |  WRF RH  |  WRF Ceiling  |  NBM MOS  |  LAMP MOS   






Yesterday ⇛Visible  ⇛Nighttime  ⇛GeoColor+GLM Today
 
24-Hour Temp Change 24-Hour RH Change

⇛Visible  ⇛Nighttime  ⇛GeoColor+GLM

Webcams