Tropical Moisture Brings Slight Risk of Excessive Rainfall to the Southwest; Strong to Locally Severe Storms on the Plains

Heavy rain and flash flooding are possible across portions of the Southwest through Friday, where Flood Watches are in effect. Strong to locally severe thunderstorms are possible today across portions of the Plains. A tropical wave is causing heavy rainfall in Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, which may cause urban and small stream flooding and landslides today. Read More >

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Last Map Update: Thu, Sep 18, 2025 at 6:06:29 am CDT

Watches, Warnings & Advisories

National Weather Service Wichita, Kansas

National Weather Service Springfield, MO

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National Weather Service Little Rock, AR

National Weather Service Fort Worth/Dallas, TX

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Storm Chances Thursday

Severe Potential Thursday

Heavy Rain Threat Thursday

Forecast Summary

Ft Smith Radar

Shower and thunderstorm chances will increase through the daytime on Thursday as a frontal boundary moves through the area. Highest chances will occur during the afternoon and evening hours on Thursday. There is also a severe thunderstorm chance along with a marginal threat of excessive rainfall which may lead to flooding.

A marginal risk for severe weather is outlooked for Thursday across most of eastern OK and also northwest AR as a frontal boundary moves into the region. Locally damaging winds and large hail the are primary threats, while at the same time a threat for heavy rain also exists Thursday.

Thunderstorm chances are forecast to continue Thursday over eastern OK and northwest AR as an area of low pressure sets up over the Plains. At this time, a marginal risk for excessive rainfall exists across the region which could lead to flash flooding. The greater potential for a heavy rain threat is Thursday afternoon through late evening.

An unsettled pattern will continue into next week with a trend toward near normal temperatures and an overall wetter pattern. Confidence in details remains low however.

Ft Smith Radar (Ft Smith, Ar - KSRX)

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