Some rain chances today will precede near record warm and dry conditions through mid-week. A weather disturbance will bring high rain chances late this week ahead of cooling and drying conditions this weekend.
An unsettled weather pattern will result in shower and thunderstorm activity across the Natural State mainly during the latter portions of this week. The onset of shower and thunderstorm activity looks to be in the Thursday timeframe, resulting in a Marginal to Slight Flash Flood Risk for central and western Arkansas. Reasonable state-wide rain amounts are up to 1", but higher end amounts of 2-4" would favor western Arkansas during this timeframe.
A wet latter portion of this week will result in beneficial rainfall amounts across the state, where most locations should receive at least an inch. Western Arkansas continues to be the favored area for higher amounts, with the most likely range of 1-3" and the higher end scenario of 3-5" by the end of the event Saturday.
Lows on Monday morning will range from the 40s over parts of north and northeast Arkansas with temps ranging from the 50s to lower 60s across the southern half of the state.
On this day in weather history, an early season winter storm affected a large portion of the state. A foot of snow was recorded at Harrison, 10 inches of snow at Fayetteville, and 9.4 inches of snow at Little Rock.
Note: "N/A" or "MISG" will be displayed if values are not available. In the LOCATION column, click on links for a list of recent observations at sites of interest. In the WIND column, VRB is "variable" and G is "gust". Wind speeds are in MPH. In the BARO (pressure) column, values are in inches. In the REMARKS column, HX is "heat index", WCI is "wind chill index", and VSB is "visibility" (if shown).
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