National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Storm Impacting the Southwest U.S.; Above Normal Temperatures Further East

A storm system will shift across the southwest U.S. through Thursday with widespread showers and isolated thunderstorms. Isolated flooding is possible. High-elevation snow is also expected in parts of Nevada and the southern Sierra Nevada range. East of this storm, above average temperatures will challenge or break daily record high temperatures this week in the southern Plains and southeast U.S. Read More >

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Last Map Update: Tue, Nov 18, 2025 at 6:40:38 pm CST

Heavy rainfall is possible across the Northwest Hill Country, Heartland, and Edwards Plateau is expected Wednesday evening through Thursday Night.
There is a Marginal Risk for severe storms Wednesday afternoon and evening. An isolated severe thunderstorm is possible, but they should remain short lived. The main hazards are lightning, large hail, and locally heavy rainfall.
There is a Marginal Risk on Wednesday and a Marginal to Slight Risk for excessive rainfall on Thursday, potentially leading to flash flooding across parts of West Central Texas. Rain showers and thunderstorms chances are high (70-80%) Wednesday night into Thursday, as a disturbance develops across the region. A frontal passage on Thursday will provide additional support for this activity. Rainfall totals may range from 1 to 2 inches with locally higher amounts over 3 inches.
Rainfall totals could be on the heavier side with 5-6+ inches being the worst case scenario. Most locations will generally be in the 1-2 inch range.

 

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